Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  34. In the negotiations , PUtin will threaten to use more chems and maybe even nukes to stop more Ukrainian offensives. They'll claim they used chems since Ukrainians have just invaded Russian territory. or some BS like that.k Putin by this time knows his army is kaput. so wants a face saving reason for peace. with great bitterness. the Ukrs agree to part with the eastern part of the donbass but again Ukraine does not recognize this and Crimea's annexation. Ukraine will still not be part of the EU and NATO however very close cooperation with them. Massive marshal plan trillion dollars at least to repair Ukraine. For Russia, lifting of many sanctions, some still in place due to Russia's occupation of Crimea and East DOnbass. While its back to business as usual, Russia's economy has been badly hurt by the war and sanctions. war scared off the investors. Putin tightens his hold on Russia, scaring millions to leave the country. Europeans really offended by the large scale use of chems by the Russians which not only kills Ukr soldiers but also lots of civilians. boycotts of Russian products worldwide esp. in the 1st world continues. Economic chaos in Russia. China steps in besides lending money to Russia to keep the the Russian economy alive, China starts also getting Russian resources are bargain prices. China also buys a lot of Russian weapon systems , submarines missles etc. However Putin's leadership stops the Chinese from buying off Russian companies. Putin tries to reform the Russian army downsizes it massively tries to make it more professional but this is slow going since Russia has other more pressing matters to attend to. The Russian army has stopped becoming a strong monolithic army to a territorial defense force. Putin probably dies in the next five to ten years. Reputation broken, legacy kaput , Russia is in sort of political chaos first free elections in Russia. Next Russian leadership is more acceptable to the west. However Russian economy while stabilized is still in bad shape, just like the 90s. and with Putin gone. China steps in more, buys up more Russian corporations, extends her influence into Central Asia Caucasus for their very important resources. The war in Ukraine has really been beneficial to China having gotten CHina access to cheap resources , upgraded its weapons tech, not surpirsed CHina hires out Russian scientists to upgrade its weapons systems for a future showdown with the USA. Russia has effectively become a economic vassal to China. Belarus , LUkashenko gone, democratic Belarus gov. which similiar to Ukraine goes heavilly to the west, lots of USA , 1st world investments that fled Russia go into Ukraine and Belarus. Im not surprised after Putin is gone, wih the price of massive economic aid and lifting of the rest of the sanctions, , Russia can agree to have Ukraine and Belarus join the EU but not NATO, probably even Moldova. Giving back Crimea and Donbass are very dicey political topics the Russians will not give those up. Due to the war Russia has lost prestige, and has become a scorned laughingstock. Its oligrachs have also lost a lot since the west sequestered confiscated a lot of their assets due to the massive use of Chemical weapons by the Russians.
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  44. its amazing that the Ukrs were able to punch thru Russian defenses at Robotyne without air support, the Southern Front is a disaster for the Russians, who are suffering from supply and manpower shortages esp. in artillery and artillery ammo, its so bad that the Ukrs actually have artillery superiority over the Russians in the Southern Front. since the Ukrs are very effectively targetting Russian logistics and artillery with HMARS, JDAMs and cluster munitions which have destroyed a lot of Russian artillery. Russians are desperately shipping more men and artillery to Robotyne try to stop the Ukrs but these are getting interdicted by the Ukr HAMRS and JDAMs. the other fronts have seen Russian diversionary attacks esp. at Kupiansk but all failures. in fact the Bakhmut front is shaping to be a disaster for the Russians as the Ukrs have retaken all the high ground and are encircling the Russian defenders there, supposedly Putin has ordered the Russian defenders at Bakhmut to fight to the death hahahha. I can see the Ukrs going as far as capturing Tokmak and even Bakhmut by Oct 2023. and while the Ukr offensive would be seen as a failure its actually a success, as they would have captured Tokmak at important transportation hub in the area but also Bakhmut for politicla reasons, the Ukr recapture of Bakhmut woulud alone be a political disaster for Putin. Also I think an even more significant blow to Putin would be the loss of massive amoutns of Russian casualties, vehicles and resources. Im not surprised Putin would be forced to do another mobilization heck he may even declare the special military operation a real war. I expect a Russian winter offensive to try to recapture Tokmak. Ukraine is winning by further weakening Putin's political standing. Heck you will probably see another coup vs. Putin after the Ukr recapture of Bakhmut.
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