Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  8. Putin's days are not only numbered but so is Russia's , Putin's actions will have great effects on the Russian federation, I forsee after the war is over , post Putin Russia has lost the war, Political economic and social chaos in Russia. Something similiar to 1917 all over again. which will last for a few years. I dont think it will be a civil war, but it will be the breakdown of law and order, in Russia, collapse of the Russian economy, many PMCs and militias popping up all over the place and being the law and order of the area, power plants break down, many areas of Russia without power and internet, criminals , anyone with the gun and can organize become the new rule of law. Millions of Russian refugees will flee to their neighbours many will die when winter sets in and they get stuck at the borders in the dead of winter out int he open. with inadequate winter clothing and heating. Millions of Russians will die from this time of chaos which will last a few years, not only due to murder but also to the breakdwon of transport infrastructure, and the Russian ruble becoming worthless, Russian economy effecitvely becomes a barter economy where USD EUro UK pounds, Chinse Yuan and crypto are accepted and Russian ruble is toilet paper which makes food expensive and valuable , also millions of pensioners will lose their pensions and have to cope with hunger and bad winters. Im not surprised if UN Central Asians, Chinese and NATO troops are forced to deploy to Russia to maintain peace and order . and to stop the massive flow of refugees to their countries.
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  39. a operation olympic with 1 million US casualties would have deterred the USA from conducting operation coronet. Olympic would take several more months to finish and the UK ANZAC allied reserves would have been sent to the battle . Im not surprised if the US accepts KMT Chinese troops to fight in Kyushu. Even French Indian & Filipino troops would be sourced. Heck not surprised those units slated for Coronet will be sent it to fight in Kyushu. Operation olympic or the battle of Kyushu would have lasted in 1st or 2nd quarter of 1946 and deemed the most bloodiest battle in USA history. The Japanese army would be wrecked. The USSR on the other hand while successful in conquering Manchuria and the Sakhalin and Kuriles have suffered tremendous casualties and bogged down trying to break into Korea. The Japanese gov seeing while its a defeat as it has lost a tremendous amount of territory sees that the Allies are tired and have suffered tremendous casualties enough to give them pause. The Japanese use this to negotiate thinking they could negotiate a way out keeping the Japanese empire intact. The USA suffering a million casualties in Kyushu decides not to invade the rest of the home islands and settles on blockading japan and now using anti crop chemicals and attacking anyone attempting to fish. sinking fishing boats etc. The Soviets dont have a viable navy in Asia to conduct a invasion of Hokkaido. and Korea is proving difficult to conquer. Meanwhile the Japanese have withdrawn from most of China only occupying the east coast. GB with the help of the USN recapture Hong Kong and Singapore, Malaya , Burma and oust the Japanese from southern China. Japanese surrender unconditionally in August 1947 after mass famines and Soviets conquering Korea and Soviet invading Hokkaido. Japan post war is administered by the USA Kyushu and Honshu, Shikoku , Okinawa, while USSR administers Hokkaido. Honshu and Shikoku are given to local Japanese administration in 1949 US admin of Okinawa , Iwo Jima and Kyushu are not given back until 1992. The Soviets never give back Hokkaido and turn Hokkaido into a Soviet oblast , all Japanese in Hokkaido are forcibly deported to Japan. and Hokkaido is resettled with Soviet citizens. Also large Soviet forces are stationed in Hokkaido. Japan SDF is stronger and bigger during the cold war and better armed. larger number of US troops are stationed in Japan. to confront a possible Soviet invasion, there is national conscription of all Japanese males age 18 and above for compulsory military service similiar to West Germany.
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  44. Russian failures are all across the board here. Putin only wants good news, you give him bad news realistic assessments he will fire you. so his own people gave him the wrong assesments ti keep their jobs. bad corruption for several decades hollowed out the Russian army. Poor centralized doctrine not much different from the Soviets times, poor morale, unmotivated. corrupt poor Russian army leadership across the board. poor pay of Russian soldiers poor equipment , poor logistics. Yep the Russian army really blundered into this one, very simliar to the winter war of 1940. and the Russian army currently is a huge elephnat with arthritis and can only do limited offensives and cannot win the war. so is scaling down its objectives to like only the Donbass, LOL. in fact, I htink the Ukrainians are in a bit better positions the Russians have run out of reserves, they cant call up general mobilization since PUtin might get kicked out and you are only throwing in even more poor quality soldiers into the meatgrinder. The Ukr army stil has tens of thousands of reserves being trained and the Ukr army will soon go into counter offensive, the Russian army is a good target to be hit by a major knockout blow offensive and can collapse a major portion of their army similiar to what happened to the German army in Bagration 44. Im thinking this will happen in the next month or two. However I do think Putin with his army collapsing will probably use massive amounts of chemical weapons to stop the offensive then on to peace talks. and in the peace talks for the Russians the war is lost but Putin still waves around his nukes and chems to try to get what he wants. but his army is gone. Probably suffered a 25 percent loss. I think the peace will end up with the Russians keeping part of the Donbass. a withdrawing from the rest of Ukraine. many of teh sanctions will end. but some will remain. Also Ukraine will not recognize Donbass and Crimea both of which will be annexed by Russia. Tensions still bad between Russia and Ukraine, and NATO gives assurances, that they will intervene if Ukraine gets attacked again. putin still keeps power and tightens up his control over Russia, millions of Russians fleet from the country and refugee to Europe and North America, Austrralia. Many Russian soldiers dont go back to Russia and refugee in Europe.
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