Comments by "Jim Mcneal" (@jimmcneal5292) on "Why Birth Rates are Declining Everywhere" video.

  1. Only in absolute numbers
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  2. Few things to mention: 0)the decline in average birth rates is not that bad until it goes below 2.1 children per woman. We don't want overpopulation here. It's more of a problem of certain ethnic groups going to extinction. 1)there are countries with stable or increasing birth rates above replacement level — particularly Israel and central Asian countries, especially Kazakhstan. 2)there are communities with insanely high birth rates — particularly orthodox Jews, Mormons and Amish. Their birth rates don't seem to decline. 3)I think there's no going back to nuclear monogamous family structure just because of how ineffective it is. If most people form monogamous families, average family will have 2 or 3 kids.That means cost per kid is insanely high. What I think will happen is that some of rich people will start to have harems, with women giving birth to copious amount of kids. This way a)woman can't just leave and take kids because there are other women in harem and kids will remain with man in family; b)cost per kid decreases drastically. If you have 1 kid instead of none you need 3-room apartment instead of 2-room one. If you have 2 kids you need 4-room apartment. If 3 kids you need either 4 or 5-room one. However if you have harem of 10 wives and 14 kids with each you need only house for youself, dorm for wives and two barracks: for boys and girls(also something for toddlers). The absolute cost is high, but cost per kid is insanely low. It's like having assembly line instead making cars in your garage. Not saying that it will be the only family formation, but I believe we will see a lot of such families(and I'll try to have such one too)
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