Comments by "Henriikka K" (@henriikkak2091) on "Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics" channel.

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  26. Of course we are. - Russia has normalized nuclear threats. That alone increases the likelihood of the use of nuclear weapons. - Look at Japan or South Korea, who their neighbors are and how they are posturing. If you were in their place, how confident would you be that a conventional army and international treaties were powerful enough deterrents against a conflict? Three, the UN Security Council has been crippled. Putin decided to invade Ukraine because the international order backed in large part by the US nuclear umbrella had collapsed. Not the other way around. Europe needs to reconfigure its security architecture around this new reality. Whatever it is or will be, it includes rearming. Four, US allies around the world need to reassess the situation and their relationship with the US, a fickle ally that's being challenged from the inside and outside. Five, Budapest Memorandum seems like a horrible mistake right now. It didn't have to be. Ukraine and Kazakhstan could have been grat examples of nuclear nonproliferation. There is one country between Ukraine and Russia, though, that enjoys US security guarantees and it's not Ukraine. The US calculation is that striking Russia might destabilize it fatally and therefore keeps blocking it. The thinking is that Russia's collapse would be a bigger crisis than Ukraine's because it has a ton of nuclear weapons. This ignores the catastrophic consequences of the potential collapse of Ukraine. What it would mean for Europe and democratic countries around the world to allow rogue nuclear powers to get away with this. To terrorize others with impunity. I can't think of anything that points in the other direction.
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