Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "NATO-Russia war: Can it really happen?" video.

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  15. This is worrying. I had thought of a more limited scenario in which Russia accidentally, on purpose, sends a missile into Poland to hit a farm field just to see what NATO would do and if NATO did not respond with any action then Russia might gradually work up to more serious attacks on a NATO country hoping that as long as it does so gradually NATO countries will never see a sudden dramatic escalation by Russia that makes them all get involved. Sort of like the "friend" you have who starts out by asking you for small favours and keeps asking for slightly bigger favours until one day he's living in your house and asking you to loan him money to help him make his car payment for the month. Most countries in Europe have presumed that the days of fighting a major war with massive casualties in Europe are in the past and certainly may be reluctant to get involved in a major conflict with Russia over a relatively minor incursion in a remote area. Though especially if Ukraine does get aid and continues to fight on at least another year I would think that the Russian military and Russia in general will be in such bad shape that even risking a war with NATO would seem to be very reckless for Russian leaders. I'm thinking of how after the Spanish civil war Spain was in such bad shape that Franco refused to get involved in WW2 even when it appeared that Germany and Italy were achieving great success and dominating Europe. It's true that as there has been little fighting on Russian territory Russia is not in as bad shape as was Spain in 1940 but then Russia risking a war with all of NATO is a much bigger risk than Spain appeared to face if it had joined Germany and Italy in the summer of 1940 when they had no serious opposition in mainland Europe. On the other hand Putin is an Imperialist and I think that by 1940 Spain had given up serious Imperialist ambitions. One thing is that it's hard to see even Putin risking getting tangled in a war with NATO while the Russian military is still struggling in Ukraine and it's not clear yet what would lead to the Ukrainian war ending unless Trump wins the presidency and actively supports Russia in the war but I believe that a majority of American politicians still do not want Russia to win the war. Especially if Biden wins the election the war in Ukraine could still be going on three years from now and I don't think that much at all would be left of the Russian ground military by then. For that matter even if the war goes on another 18 months I don't think that there will be much left of the Russian ground military. Maybe that would make China think that it is the perfect time to invade Eastern Russia and take back the territory that Russia took from China in the 1800s.
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