Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "How the war can destabilize Russia" video.

One little addition to what you were saying. It not only matters what percentage of Russians who become politically engaged join "bubbles" other than the Putin bubble but it also matters how those people are distributed across Russia. If 17% of all Russians join a non-Putin bubble that may not sound like a high percentage but if they are to some extent concentrated in certain regions so that in those regions at least 50% of people are in a particular non-Putin bubble then that is a serious concern for Putin. If in particular Moscow and another large western Russian city both have at least 50% of the population in a particular non-Putin bubble then even if in the country as a whole "only" 17% of people are in that particular non-Putin bubble he will still be in a very difficult position.
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@sixmillionsilencedaccounts3517 Russia producing military supplies and equipment to Ukraine to be wasted, destroyed or used up makes Russian GDP look higher but it makes Russians and their economy no better off than if Russia just blew up those military supplies and equipment in the parking lots of the factories where they were made. Even before the Russian invasion of Ukraine only a low percentage of Russia's GDP like China's GDP was actual consumer spending that was of benefit to citizens and now things are worse. Producing military shells and bullets and military vehicles to send to Uktaine inflates the Russian GDP but is of absolutely no real benefit to Russia or to Russian citizens. As well, it would be foolish to trust any economic information supplied by the Russian government which lies all the time.
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