Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics" channel.

There are a lot of other things that are going badly for Russia and were not mentioned. Russia has an incredibly low unemployment rate and every Russian who joins the military or goes to work at an arms factory or flees the country makes that labour shortage worse. Russia is quickly using up its liquid assets in its national wealth fund and is going to be facing a serious problem when there's nothing left. Russia is quickly using up its stores of army equipment in decent condition that it took Russia 80 years to accumulate. It may all be gone by next summer and then Russia is going to have a much more difficult time providing adequate amounts of military equipment to Russian forces. Ukraine is gradually damaging Russian oil refineries. Ukraine is gradually destroying Russian fuel depots and ammunition depots and anti-aircraft systems. Ukraine is getting better and better at producing its own drones and missiles to use in the war. Russian forces are suffering huge losses of men and equipment to take relatively small amounts of territory and control less Ukrainian territory than they did in May 2022. Ukraine now controls some Russian territory and that has led to a number of problems for Russia and Putin. - the need to use troops to protect the whole border with Ukraine. - an embarrassment for Putin being the first Russian leader since 1941 to suffer an invasion. - 200,000 Russians fleeing the region and telling people that Putin is doing a poor job protecting Russia. - the erasure of another Putin red line indicating that Putin's red lines are meaningless. - a lot of Russians and even some Russian state media personalities questioning how the war is going. Russia's arms export industry has collapsed. Russia's gas industry is in serious trouble with far less revenue and might take over a decade to recover and Gazprom is suffering huge losses. Canada, the United States, Guyana and Brazil have been increasing their oil production and now Saudi Arabia has indicated that it is going to do the same so oil prices are likely to be heading downward and staying there for the foreseeable future unless Israel destroys Iranian oil facilities and Iran responds by attacking Saudi oil facilities and trying to shut down the strait of Hormuz. The United States and Qatar have plans to significantly increase gas exports and Canada is building a huge LNG export port. China's economy has been stagnant and China has been quickly building up its renewable energy and dams and coal plants and seems determined to transition to electric vehicles. China also recently signed an agreement with Qatar to import a lot of Qatar natural gas for many years to come and signed a major agreement with Saudi Arabia, Russian infrastructure is no doubt continuing to deteriorate due to lack of maintenance and it's likely that Russians will be freezing in the dark in their apartments again this winter. I think that if Putin knew and understood everything that is going wrong for Russia he would not be happy at all with the situation. 2025 will be bad for Russia and its forces and for Putin. 2026 will be very bad for Russia and its forces and for Putin. Putin's only hope is a Trump victory.
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@naas699 How goes Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine? Everything going according to plan and on schedule?
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 @MaximumEfficiency North Korea, Iran, Syria and Belarus is not over half of the world in any way shape or form.
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I doubt it very much. I can't imagine any Russian politician or military leader or bureaucrat daring to tell Putin that he should demolish one of his own palaces. That surely must have come from Putin himself.
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How goes Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine? Everything going according to plan and on schedule?
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You're confused. Most of the people who died in the Air India terrorist attack were Canadian residents and Canadian citizens. And trying to clamp down on free speech and democracy is much more likely to lead to more terrorism than to less terrorism.
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Patience, patience. Russia spent 80 years focused on accumulating military equipment instead of trying to bring the Russian people out of poverty. Ukraine has destroyed or captured over half of it but that takes time.
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I remember hearing the claim that the reason why the United States increased its involvement in fighting wars in the Middle East in the 1990s and 2000s was that with the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union and with a certain book about "the end of history" American taxpayers started questioning why the United States still had to spend so much money on a huge military and wanted a peace dividend in lower military spending and thus lower taxes so those running the military industrial complex tried to find new enemies to justify maintaining high military spending. If that was what happened and Jake is right about the consequences of the invasion into Iraq and belicose language by American political leaders then those leaders of the American military industrial complex have certainly got what they wanted. That doesn't change the fact that Iraq then and North Korea and Russia today have had extremely brutal, oppressive, aggressive dictators. Plus Russia was already behaving in an Imperialist way towards its neighbours before the American nvasion into Iraq.
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The comment section is full of Russian trolls trying to convince the world that Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine is going according to plan and is on schedule. That's a clear sign that the invasion has been a disaster for the Russian military and for Russia in general. Countries that launch successful invasions that go according to plan on schedule don't need to hire trolls to try to convince the world that the invasion has gone well because it's self evident. Obviously the presence of so many Russian trolls also indicates that this video is highly effective at pointing out the reality of the situation and that angers the Russian government.
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If all that is left of Russia's Black Sea fleet is trapped in port then of course that is where Ukrainian sea drones will attack and sink or destroy Russian ships. Ukraine can't destroy Russian ships out on the open sea if Russia's military leaders are too afraid to let their ships go out on the open sea.
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If a private business had equipment depreciating at a rapid rate and also was losing a lot of assets then if its accountants were honest they would include huge negative figures for those things on the income statement. That is what is happening to the Russian state except I don't think Russia's government accountants are publicly acknowledging those things. Because of a shortage of skilled workers in Russia the basic infrastructure is deteriorating rapidly - that's why so many Russian citizens spent last winter freezing in the dark in their apartments. That's why a lot more Russian citizens will spend the upcoming winter freezing in the dark in their apartments. As well Russia is losing military equipment assets accumulated over 80 years at a very raoid rate and by autumn 2025 will have little if any remaining stored army equipment in decent conditions. So even if Russia's cash flow situation looks fine right now a fair and accurate income statement for the Russian regime would show that it is operating at a significant financial loss and that is unsustainable in the long run. It won't be surprising if by the winter of 2025-2026 Russia is struggling to get enough tanks and other military equipment on the battlefield and also finds a catastrophic collapse of its basic infrastructure. And ramping up production of military equipment is going to be very hard for Russia when it already has a very low unemployment rate. Where will it find the extra workers, especially if Russian forces suffer another million casualties by autumn 2025?
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Authorities say that Indian ambassadors were involved in a campaign of murder and intimidation and collection of data on Canadian citizens in Canada. How the heck is that an own goal for Canada? Your comment makes zero sense.
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What the heck are you ranting about? Canadian diplomats weren't carrying out a campaign of intimidation, violence, murder attempts and nefarious data collection on Canadian expatriates in India. How the heck do you figure Canada created this dispute? Your comment makes zero sense.
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I took a look at the comments to see if the army of fervent nationalist Indian trolls would arrive to spout nonsense. Yup, of course they did. And just like Modi they haven't the faintest idea of what democracy and free speech mean. If Modi and Indian trolls are upset that people in favour of a Sikh state need to travel all the way to Canada to speak out openly in favour of such a state than create true free speech in India so that Sikh nationalists can speak out openly in India. And stop clamping down on media and trying to snuff out a free press. This is like when Putin oppresses free speech in Russia and then complains about Russian expatriates in other countries who say things he doesn't like. And terrorism is wrong and evil but the best way to stop terrorism is to give Sikhs and every other minority group in India a democratic route to gain independence if that is what they desire.
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How goes Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine? Everything going according to plan and on schedule?
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 @AnAn___ You have paranoid delusions. You need to fix that.
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Of course people say Christian nationalist. People use that term a lot to describe the Christian nationalists in the United States. If someone is a Christian nationalist that's what they should be called. If someone is a Hindu nationalist that's what they should be called. And if you don't think there are any Hindu nationalists in India including in government then you're delusional.
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Russian troll completely lacking any morality, credibility or self respect identified.
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How goes Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine? Everything going according to plan and on schedule?
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You couldn't find a decent job that didn't involve spouting propaganda for a terrorist, imperialist, genocidal Russian dictatorship? Things must be worse than we thought in Russia. If Russia's three day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine was on schedule and working as planned then the Russian dictatorship wouldn't need to use an army of trolls and bots to try to convince the world that the Russian three day special military operation was on schedule and going as planned.
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It's going to be quite a surprise to Ukrainian soldiers, NATO soldiers and Russian soldiers to hear your secret information. You going to tell them your inside info because they were all sure that Ukrainian soldiers were fighting against Russian soldiers?
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So you're admitting that the Indian High Commissioner is guilty of one or more crimes? You're not doing a good job defending the Commissioner.
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How the heck is Canada aggravating when it is the actions of India that caused the dispute? Your comment makes zero sense. If India doesn't want conflict with Canada then it shouldn't start conflicts with Canada. It's really not that hard to understand.
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@RojaJaneman You're ranting again. The only reason why people who support a separate Sikh state are speaking out in Canada is that Indian restrictions on free speech and democracy make it almost impossible to freely speak out in India. India needs to allow true free speech and democracy so that Sikh separatists can speak out freely in India and then they won't feel the need to go to Canada to do so. Quebec separatists are free to speak out in Canada and even had two referendums on separation so they certainly don't go to India to speak out.
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Think you meant to say "Big difference here". Sometimes spellcheck messes up one's sentences.
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Not too keen on democracy and equal rights for all are you? Not surprising.
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Russia sure needs a lot of trolls trying to convince the world that Russia's there day special military operation to capture Kiev and conquer Ukraine is going according to plan and is on schedule. Armies that succeed in invasions don't need to hire trolls to convince the world that a disastrous invasion has been successful. Every time a Russian troll puts out a post saying the invasion is going well is more proof that for Russia the invasion has been a disaster.
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Venezuela has immense natural resources. So does the Congo. Things aren't going very well for them.
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@Viktor-gk5ri I'm not sure that Russia has lots of enablers just across the border. It basically has one - China. China is huge but relying so much on one export market is turning Russia into somewhat of a client state of China with Russia having little negotiating power when dealing with China. Russia wants a new gas pipeline to China and the Chinese said they didn't want much more gas from Russia and they wanted it heavily subsidized by the Russian government. And at the same time China signed a deal with Qatar to import lots of Qatar LNG for many years to come. Russia also recently signed a major deal with Saudi Arabia although it's not clear what is entailed. China's economy is somewhat stagnant and China faces rapid demographic decline and huge problems such as in its bubble of a housing industry. China is rapidly building coal plants and renewable energy and dams and is trying to quickly transition to electric vehicles. It's also selling a lot of solar panels to the rest of the world to speed the transition from fossil fuels. China itself controls a lot of valuable minerals. If the CCP is stupid enough to attack Taiwan then the world's wealthy countries will almost certainly put major sanctions on China which will lead to a contraction of the Chinese economy and a decrease in demand from China. Russia might benefit from China buying Russian instead of western agricultural products but Chinese demand for Russian oil and minerals would likely decline.
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@nerdynautilus5373 "Let the propaganda flow through you" is likely the main instruction that every Russian troll receives before beginning to work as a propagandist for Putin. Don't think. Don't question. Don't demonstrate any morality, decency or humanity. Just repeat whatever your boss tells you to say.
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58,000 Rubles salary would be a bit over $600 a year to live on, well under $2 a day. Even for Russia that sounds low. You sure about your figures?
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@Princip666 Russia's leaders planned to conquer Ukraine in a few days but at the current rate will take a thousand years to conquer Ukraine and Russia will have used up its stores of military equipment accumulated over 80 years within a year or two and Russian forces have suffered vast casualties and Russia has been severely damaged in many ways by the decision to invade Ukraine so yes - Russia is losing. Russia's invasion into Ukraine is like a man continously banging his head into the wall because he wants to invade, steal and occupy his neighbour's apartment. He thinks he's making progress because the wall has dents in it everywhere he banged his head but at the rate he's going it's going to take him a thousand years to break through the wall and he will have died of old age long before that and in the mean time by continuing his attacks on the wall he's doing immense damage to himself. Someone who is logical would stop banging his head against the wall but Russian dictators are not known for logic.
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Terrorism is horrible but the best way to avoid having people resort to Terrorism is to have free speech and democracy so that Sikh separatists and others can speak out freely and stage a referendum on independence if they want. When democratic routes to freedom and independence are banned and not offered to people some of them may turn to Terrorism because they don't see an alternative. Quebec separatists in Canada are free to speak out and form government and have held two referendums on independence. Scottish separatists in Britain are free to speak out and form government and have held a referendum on independence. Those are the examples that India should follow.
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Since the time he did a long video filled with someone spouting Indian government propaganda about the India-Canada diplomatic dispute and made no serious attempt to challenge the Indian propaganda it's been clear that this is someone to stay away from. Jake, you hsve an excellent reputation. Don't spoil it doing videos with this guy.
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