Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "The Pentagon Leaks: What it Means for Ukraine" video.

  1. As strange as it seems to get leaks through obscure gaming websites I seem to remember a report that the first people to be aware that one of the two Iraq-USA wars was about to start were staff at Domino's Pizza in Washington who noticed that there were a heck of a lot of pizza orders coming from Pentagon and government offices staying at work very late one night. Not sure if that is true but it is an interesting story.
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  2. Three takeaways: 1: I thought that if Russia effectively ran out of tanks by October then at that point any thoughts of Russian advances would disappear and only Ukrainian forces would be able to advance from then on but if Russia is already down to 500 tanks that situation could happen as early as August. When it gets to the point that Russia has only the same number of tanks as does Ukraine then the superior western tanks Ukraine has alongside the Bradleys they have will have a huge advantage over the inferior Russian tanks and those remaining Russian tanks will suffer high rates of attrition. 2. The fact that Ukraine is running very low on anti-aircraft and/or anti missle defence projectiles is another reminder that western countries have not taken this war as seriously as they should have and done everything to ensure that Ukraine wins the war as soon as possible. If western countries had taken the war more seriously then they would have sent far more military equipment and supplies to Ukraine much earlier and ramped up their own military production much faster. 3. It wouldn't entirely surprise me if autocracies like those in the the UAE and in Egypt decided to to things to help another autocracy such as Russia. Of course autocracies can be in conflict with each other (Nazi Germany and the communist Soviet Union being a prime example) and autocracies and democracies can be allies out of convenience but I can still imagine dictators in the UAE, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and in other countries not entirely liking the idea of a massive win for democracy over autocracy in the total defeat of Russian forces in Ukraine. And Egypt in particular has had varying attitudes regarding whether to be an ally of western democracies or of Soviet/Russian autocratic state.
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