Youtube hearted comments of John Walsh (@johnwalsh4857).

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  57. The collapse will get worse as the war goes on will get worse when the war is over when the Russian gov tries to shift the Russian economy from war to civlian, I forsee economic depression , hyperinflation, soldier who are paid say the ruble equivalent to 8K USD now all in rubles will suddenly find they have lost their value by 75 percent. by the time they go home after they demobilize , and faced with very high unemployment, the hundreds of thousands of Russian war veterans coming home to high unemployment depressed economy hyperinflation high prices of foodstuffs many will go into crime or get employed by the many PMCs private armies of Russian elites. who pay well and treat their soldiers much better than the Russian army. and with many soldiers getting out of the Russian army to these PMCs or form criminal gangs, then Putin tries to purge Russian elites and shift blame to them for the war failures and to try to ban PMCs, well....that will be a good recipe for a CIVIL WAR. I think this will occur within 10 years of the end of the Russian Ukraine war. and in the meantime, Ukraine will be rebuilding and rearming and reforming its economy , gov and esp. its mlitary for round 2 reform and rebuild along NATO lines. So imagine in ten years after the war is over, Russia on the verge or going into full blown civil war, with a now strengthened , strong and stable Ukrainian gov economy and military very vengeful and looking to take back its lost territory looking to take advantage of a Russian civil war. (not surprised in the meantime, the Ukrainians fund anti Putin and secessionist groups in Russia). ....the coming Russian civil war will be very bloody and confusing as the Syrian civil war with many factions and possibly even foreign intervention. Just like the 1917 to 1922 one=.
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  98. Russia currently is in a similar situation to the Russian empire before the 1917 Russian civil war. 40 percent of its budget is now geared to military spending. and its shifting 6 percent and more of its economy to war. its in a bloody stalemate not winning in Ukraine. suffering horrendous casualties and equipment losses., more repression of free speech from the state. Rising food prices. It will get worse in the next few years culminating in Russia becoming more repressive suffering from venezuela style hyperinflation, suffering from battlefield defeats and even more significant casualties. This will trigger widespread protests in Russian cities , and lead to more Russian gov repression, and the match that causes the fire will be simliar to the start of the Russian civil war in 1917, Russian security forces massacre Russian civilian protesters which leads to a general mutiny in the Russian army, As the Russian gov collapses so does the collapse of the command and control of the Russian army in Ukraine, which is taken advantage of by the Ukrainian army who launches major offensives which collapses the Russian army in Ukraine and Ukraine regains a lot of its lost territory in the offensives. The end of the Ukraine war ends not with a negotiation but with the Russian army in Ukraine collapsing in mass surrenders and desertions with their officers abandoning their troops just like in the end of the 1st Chechen war. There is no Russian gov to negotiate with . The upcoming Russian civil war which I think starts in 2027(110 years from the start of the last one) wil be very bloody. and also have a lot of factions. I think the west and China will meddle in the war and support their proxies. However just line in the 1917 to 1922 civil war which had the Reds(communists) vs. the whites(anti communists), this civil war it will be Freedom/Liberty and the letter L who are supported by the west and Ukraine vs. the Nationalists/Patriots and the letter Z supported by China. With the collapse of the Russian army in Ukraine, the Russians left massive amounts of weapons and military equipment , many of which will be given to the Russian Freedom Legion which I think will be massively expanded into a real army(from 2 current battalions as of April 2024). with recruits from the surrendered Russian soldiers in Ukraine and volunteers from Russia itself along with volunteers from Ukraine and other countries. and aided by support from the west. The other side is like the whites during the 1917 Russian civil war, factionalized with an assortment of Russian nationalist movements and regional militias but with the uniting goal of being opposed to liberal democratic Russia that is influenced by the west. China supports it with funds and weapons. The Freedom of Russia army is more coordinated and united with support from the west plus a head start in former Russian army weapons and equipment and large appeal from the Russian people. The Patriots also have a significant influence from the Russian people and initially have a bit larger recruit base but is poorly coordinated but support heavilly by China, Iran, North Korea etc. The Russian civil war is bloody and also affects its neighbours as millions of Russian refugees cross into their countries with teh largest European refugee crisis since end of WW2. Also well armed Russian bandits raid into their neighbours and also become pirates, the Russian navy has practically devolved into a Pirate navy hijacking shipping in the black caspain and Baltic seas .
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  120. as I said before the longer Russia is in this war the more its economy, will break leading to disruption of Russian society leading to political change. I think the pivotal event will be Biden winning the US elections of 2024(this year), made even worse by a possible demo sweep of the Congress and senate. With this the American will significantly raise the aid to Ukraine in 2025 and every year after that making it very difficult for the Russians to conduct the war in ukraine. In fact the Russian minister of econmics stated that the Russian economy cannot indefinitely support the war in Ukraine as the war in Ukraine is costing the Russians 400 million USD(official estimates) per day just to maintain the Russian army in Ukraine and not counting manufacturing costs, buying parts for weapons and whole weapons systems etc. The Russians have put 30 percent of their 2024 budget to prosecuting the war in Ukraine. and as the war drags on, the Russians will probably devote a higher percentage in the next years. This will have a very bad impact on Russian infrastructure, as the money and personel dedicated to maintaining it, goes to the war in Ukraine, the already mediocre Russian infrastructure starts breaking down bad. That is why you are seeing poorly made dams collapse, and Russian heating systems fail during winter killing hundreds of Russians. it will get worse. Also Russian national wealth fund is set to run out in 2025, in fact with the Russian economy being put on war mode, producing more military supplies than civlian goods, Russia cannot anymore support its currency as its forced to print more rubles. and this leads to hyperinflation with that a massive rise in the price of essentials like food and gasoline. Also analysts estimate the Russian cold war stocks of tanks and APCs are estimate to run out by late 2025 and into 2026. This will cut the production and refurbishment of tanks and APCs by two thirds. The Russian industry itself cannot produce enough tanks and APCs to keep up with the destruction of tanks and APCs in the Ukrainian battlefield. and it will get much worse as US and allied aid to Ukraine ramps up in the next few years. The Russians will be forced to spend even more money probably buying maybe North Korean tanks (which are bad copies of Soviet cold war designs), the Russians are so desperate enough in the past that they bought millions of poor quality North korean artillery ammo as the Russian artillery expenditure is so rapid , local Russian production cannot keep up. Heck the Russians even bought a good number of poor quality North Korean surface to surface missles (NK SCUDS). Again poor north Korean copies of Soviet cold war weapons. Russia is that desperate these days. and it will get worse. Also the Russians since 2023 had started fielding 70 year old T-55s and T-62s and WW2 artillery in large numbers in Ukraine. The last time the Russians fielded T-55s in large numbers was during the 1968 invasion of Czechoslovakia. Heck a number of the Russian T-55s in Ukraine are so old they served in the Soviet army during the Hungarian revolution of 1956. Also despite the Ukrainians having shortages in artillery ammo and some essential weapons systems due to lack of US aid for half a year, are still holding the line strong. The Russians are only able to make small gains of territory but at the cost of massive amounts of casualties and loss of tanks and APCs. The Russians are able to blow holes in Ukrainian lines but not able to exploit them and collapse the whole Ukrainian line. The Ukrainian are able to retreat back a short distance and establish a new line of defense. and the Ukrainians are also counterattacking hard to plug up lines and repel Russian attacks. All this very much is a sign of weakness for the Russians that the war is really not going well for them. Only a matter of time that the Russian gov economy and political stability will break from all this and 1917 2.0, will happen again. and this will be probably the most important event in the 21st century as Russia turns into a massive failed state, a massive version of Syria/Somalia. with massive geopolitical implications.
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  128. yes always have a plan B and C. and maybe even D just in case that is why Zelensky did not criticize trump at all. he smart hedging his bets. so now its Plan B. time to butter up trump and play games , 2025 will be game negotiations with Trump. In my opinoin the situation is Trump is pres. Trump is for himself , Trump has lots of assets and investments in Russia, also borrowed lots o money from Russian, lots of Russian investments in his companies. So Trump really has vested interest with Putin. HOWEVER....the big guys in the USA and European political and military industria infrastructure have a vested interest to see Russia not win this war, their goal, a much weakened economically and military Russia without Putin and a weak Russian gov. but a Russia stable and not in civil war. Trump may think he is da man, but nope he has to answer to these people. who are much richer than he is. So Trump probably has a vested interest which coincides with the vested interest of the leaders of the American political sphere and military industrial complex. A weakened Russia stable with a weak gov is easilly exploitable by US companies for its cheap natural resources esp . by Trump who is just salivating to get more money from this. and also with Ukraine, the big boys in the US gov and miltiary want Ukraine to not only survive but serve as a foil vs. Russia. Like a wall to keep Russia out of Europe. and to that end , USA and the Europeans want a strong Ukrainian military and a stable ukrainian gov . and the hundreds of billions of USD in Ukrainian reconstruction money comiong will handsomely benefit trump . So I think 2025 will be the year of negotiations, and the war will go on, and there is an even chance the USA continues military aid to Ukraine even under trump. Seeing that possibly in 2026 you might see the start of the collapse of the Russian economy with hyperinflation along with widespread discontent which leads to Putin getting removed from power. So in the future maybe in the USA interest to keep a strong Ukraine hostile to the Russians to act as a wall for Europe, and a Russia will a weak Russian gov and military but with a stable more or less gov that is easilly exploitable for its cheapo natural resources.
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  136. not surprised if Patrushev is running Russia right now having won the struggle with SHoigu, so after Putin went belly up and frozen, the FSB/Rosgvardia(under Patrushev) and the Russian army/GRU(under Shoigu) were ruling Russia jointly but there was a power struggle in the background. However starting early 2024 due to the poor Russian army performance in Ukraine, the FSB won the power struggle, hence Patrushev is in the driver's seat and SHoigu sidelined. Yep so you have a hardliner Patrushev running the show, with the FSB in command of the Russian army. and the war in Ukraine. If that is so, Ive heard Patrushev is even more of a war hawk than Putin and has maximalist goals on Ukraine. If the war goes on and bloodily stalemated with a depressed Russian economy, Patrushev may well lose his position, however from what I heard, Patrushev/FSB won the power struggle handidly and effectively removed Shoigu's supporters in the Russian army and gov. and Patrushev boys are now firmly in charge of the Russian army. so there is really no major faction to challenge Patrushev/FSB for now. Patrushev has also purged (fired and or arrested) possible dissenters in the Russian army. the Loud mouth Prigozhin is dead, Surovikin I hear has been arrested, Igor Girkin is languishing in prison. (rumored to be dead). Navalny dead. and so on, that means Patrushev probably cleaned out purged any possible rival to his regime. and now the Russian army officer corps are populated by yes men and FSB informants. along with lots of micromanagement down to the battalion level from the Kremlin. That is why you notice the Russian army tactics are not just plain jane unimaginative attritional meat attacks. However I do hear a lot of grumblings in the Russian officer corps and many are not happy with how the war is being run. So if the Patrushev flubs up, we could see possible revolt from the Russian army.
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  147. true ...being Chinese from the Philippines, the Chinese are all about making a buck , very capitalistic business oriented. Yah the Chinese want to take back Taiwan not only for the land but to win their civil war which started in 1921 and has not ended yet since the KMT is still alive in Taiwan and protected by the USA. They want to get rid of the KMT and any opposition to the CCP once and for all. As for making a buck, the CCP are very much enemies of the KMT in Taiwan and the Taiwan independence parties. much they have strong business relationships with each other, all of them are enemies but making a buck with each other. Same can be said with the China and USA relationship. Political and military rivals but deep and strong business relationships. USA and EU are China's best business partners and customers but also China's main political and military rivals. As for the Russian Chinese relationship. They never liked each other, heck then almost went to war in 1969 with the Sino Soviet border clashes and the USSR threatened war with China in 1979 if China besieged Hanoi . and still have some border issues. the Russians did not like the way the Chinese were pirating their military designs. and entry into their economy. However due to the Ukraine war and desperation of the Putin gov. China is making a buck out of the Russians , also China is making a buck out of the Ukrainians. by selling both sides drones, electronic equipment , parts, and not surprised if the Ukrainians are buying artillery ammo in the black market and Chinese artillery ammo is being sold there. Russia bought lots of artillery ammo from North Korea, and North Korea has long been a middle man for military arms sales for China. During the Iran Iraq war North Korea was a middle man to sell Chinese weapons to Iran which at the time had arms embargoes on it. Meanwhile the Chinese were selling weapons directly also to the Iraqis. Again the Chinese making a buck.
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  166. im not surprised by any of this Putin bankrolled the Trump campaign for billions of USD through Russian oligarch investors to Musk and his friends companies then funnelled to Rep super pacs lobbies etc. Trump convinced Putin he is his only saviour in the war with Ukraine and the money was used to bribe Rep poliiticos to nominate Trump. However as we all know, Trump is known for backstabbing his business partners esp. when he has the leverage to do so for more money, in this case, Trump when he wins probably went to tell Putin well we have to make a new deal. and that was why Putin was reportedly pissed off(probably Patrushev was pissed off) however knowing Trump , he cant afford to alienate Trump. since the USA has all the leverage vs. Putin. and Russia. So not only does Trump get paid LOTs of money by Putin but also gets to indulge in the hundreds of billions of USD in reconstruction funds going to Ukraine after this war is over. Trump specializes in real estate and construction, so Ukraine needs reconstruction, and that is where Trump will make mucho dinero a lot more money. Probably also threatened Putin(Patrushev) if his investments in Russia are ever harmed, he would go all out and support Ukraine even more. Trump feels he can make more money in Ukraine than in Russia. while satisfying and appeasing the US military industrial complex. as they get to sell even more weapons to Ukraine post war as Ukraine rebuilds rearms and reforms its military to NATO lines. Plus he gets adoration from the world , and Ukraine for stopping the war and saving Ukraine. Probably gets the Nobel Peace prize he covets.
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  246. Now as for the media saying a lot that trump is enamoured with Putin, Trump i like a giddy school boy around putin etc. etc. etc. Nope dont think so, since in the interview of Epstein as to what he thought of Trump, he said that Trump was an expert ingratiator, he is expert at buttering people up, stroking people egos so he can get a good deal then he backstabs them later, like his former business partners, black mails them , tells their wives of their infidelities, then uses that to bed them, then later swindles his business partners by not paying the full amount he owes them. since he has blackmail on them. I think Trump will do the same with Putin. Trump will backstab Putin. Trump will drain both Putin and zelensky for what they are worth, however even Trump and USA politicos, strategic planners, etc. they would like Russia to be properly weakened. so they can properly controlled and not a threat to their neighbours, Putin out and with weak leaders in power, and not coillapse in civil war but stable politically. Zelensky, well he is already controlled very much by the Americans. and they want to build up Ukraine so it can be a counter to a possible future resurgent Russia if Russia gets a another strong leader after Putin is gone. and also make money while doing it. since Trump would like all that sweet hundreds of billions of USD in Ukraine rebuild aid along with being the leader who saved Ukraine.and he downgrades and laughs at Biden saying this guy was mediocre in aid while I won the war or something like that, heck a nice Trump tower in Kyiv would be nice along with avenues being named after him.
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  247. ive already known for a while now that Trump has been bought by Putin a long time ago, probably has blackmail on him and Melania. and in the 2024 election Putin through his oligarchs funneled money through Musk and his buddies to Trump and the Rep super pacs and lobbies to effectively bribe the entire Rep part to nominate trump. Trump is effectively Putin's puppet. Same with Musk. I think the whole thing will probably piss off the Europeans and the Ukrainians and the negotiations will basically be not about ending the Ukraine war, but officiating a USA withdrawal from Ukraine. and minimizing the American support for NATO to the point that the Americans probably wont be supporting NATO if the RUssians ever attack. However I think Ukraine will not accept the peace deal and be defiant. and will be backed up by the Europeans. esp. UK, France and Germany. who will continue to send even more increased aid to Ukraine. The war will probably rumble on. with increased sanctions on Russia, from the Europeans, and sanctions being lifted on Russia by the USA. so now the Ukrainians will have to weather the storm until the 2028 elections and hope that the demos get elected again. and resume support for Ukraine, if the war is still ongoing. I think the lifting of USA sanctions on Russia will give the Russian economy a boost , however if that happens, I think the Europeans will retal unfreeze the 300 billion USD Russian assets held in the EU and give them to Ukraine. I can also see EU nations ramp up their arms productions and send them to Ukraine in addition with Ukraine buying off weapons abroad.
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  268. True, Im not surprised if Putin died in October 2023, and Russia was since ruled by Patrushev and Shoigu and now these two bozos have been engaging in a brutal power struggle which sees oligarchs FSB and military men getting arrested or falling from windows or just yesterday a FSB col. Maksim Yeremin aka. Putin's hooligan died choking on a lump of meat. Last month Russian general Magomed Khandayev a close Shoigu associate died myteriously. So Im not surprised if the FSB(Patrushev) and the Russian Army/GRU(Shoigu) have been engaging in a brutal power struggle behind the scenes, possibly since late 2022. Ive heard rumors that Putin himself has not been ruling the country since mid to late 2022 since he was very sick at the time reports said. which lead to his death in Oct 2023, again rumors say natural causes but others speculate Putin may have been poisoned. I think a dead Putin is quite useful as the ones behind the scenes have more control of the state of affairs so as not to escalate to the use of nukes. I think Putin is a very useful rallying point and a scapegoat for the war, if the elites feel that the war is lost and they need to cut their losses. Swan lake will probably start playing on Russian TV before the announcement that Putin has kicked the bucket. . and negotiations can begin. to end the war. and then the Russian gov will start releasing certain damning facts on putin saying that he was a bully etc. etc. etc. and that the Russian leaders were victims themselves. yada yada yada.
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