Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "PowerfulJRE"
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Even if Russian captures the Donbass, the war will not end, Ukraine will never accept any armistice or ceasefire unless the Russians leave all territories in Ukr they occupied in 2022. The Russians may think the war will end with the capture of the DOnbass, nope, I think the war will drag on until 2023, where the Russian war effort will collapse with teh collapse of the Russian economy. The war by end of summer of 2022 will center on the Donbass and Eastern Ukraine and devolve into a ww1 style war of attrition. Russian troops will be left in Ukraine to fend for themselves as the Russians are bankrupt, Russia simply quits the special operation. Russia experiences political and economic chaos which leads to loss of control over huge swathes of Russia east of the Urals and the Caucasus. as thousands of angry Russian soldiers in Ukraine go back to Russia , angry at the Russian gov. not paid at all, had to hitchhike their way back to Russia, discriminated against since they are poor, not white , blamed for losing the war in Ukraine, abused by their officers in the military, going back to a collapsed economy Russia , no jobs, food too expensive. abusive local leaderships in their poor area. and these soldiers know how to kill, have experience in killing handling military weapons and vehicles, wonder what they will do coming from historically rebellious to Moscow areas of Russia, you are going to have a civil war in these places who blame Moscow for all their problems and these places will seccede in fact, China will financially and materially support them to exploit their natural resources and get puppet regimes in these places. to stabilize their borders and buffer zones. Russia wont even have viable military as they are bankrupt and had to demobilize their army. and too busy dealing with internal political divisions in Moscow but also against multiple secessionist republics, complete shitshow for Moscow. I see huge swathes of Russia balkanizing into various independent republics while Russia is still a huge country they would have lost control east of the Urals , and in the Caucasus. Russia becomes a great game between the USA and China. proxy fighting for its resources.
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