Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "How Long Will the War in Ukraine Take: How Time shapes and distorts our view" video.

Well there are so far 2 major points in this war: 1. The intiial Russian invasion Feb to April , 2023 which I think was a draw, tactical success for the Russians since they captured about 40 percent of Ukraine, strategic loss for the Russians since not only were they not able to topple the Kiev Gov. but also retreated from Kiev with heavy losses. so STALEMATE. 2. Ukrainian offensives in Kherson and Kharkov August to Nov 2022. Ukrainians recaptured 50 percent of what they lost to Russia so far, reducing Russia holding from 40 percent to 20 percent of Ukraine. UKRAINIAN VICTORY. Currently the war is a stalemate , where both sides are not able to knock out the other and are engaging in limited offensives , a back and forth where things have not really changed.
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my view , depends on what happens in the 2024 USA elections. fi Trump wins, war ends in 2025-2026 wiht a korean war style armistice, Russia probably controls 10-20 percent of Ukraine, no peace treaty both Ukraine and Russia will ready up for the next war. Biden wins, war ends sometime in 2025-2026, with a Ukraine win, as Putin is removed from power via a coup as the oligarchs , power brokers realize the Russian economy cant take another 4 years of war and USA and NATO are steadilly increasing funding to Ukraine. Russian troops withdraw back to Russia, Ukraine also gets back Crimea via negotiation. Formal peace treaty between Russia and Ukraine. Meanwhile in Russia , everything is blamed on Putin and his gang.
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