Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Target Europa: Russia's Next Geopolitical u0026 Propaganda Target in Europe." video.

I think in the Trump presidency USA becomes more isolationist , but does not abandon the world stage entirely, its focus now is on China. and getting better relations with Russia. to play it vs. China. and I think despite all the bluster, Xinping does not invade Taiwan, probably does more intimidation excercises and aggressive rhetoric but nothing much. As for Ukraine, well. I think USA will stop all aid to UKraine including the ones promised but not sent. not surprised if Biden in his final act before the inaguration sends all the aid and maybe more. Then Zelensky will have to play it very very carefully , Ukraine cannot afford to be incompetent and stupid vs. Russia in the next 4 years. So UKraine will have to mobilize its young population train and source its weapons wherever and whenever it can. Zelensky cannot afford to play politics here or it will be disastrous for him. Im pretty sure Trump cant just end the war with one phone call. but he can maybe bring on a direct negotiation between Putin and Zelensky. possibly ending the war mid 2025. in a Korean war style armistice. with Russia having the upper hand in negotiations.
2
so my scenario here is that you have a Trump admin who will probably do all it says during the presidential campaign like massive rise in tariffs, withdrawal from NATO, USA effectively becomes isolationist. the rest of NATO EU step up in a dramatic way and replace USA aid to Ukraine as peace talks break down. with UK and French troops deploying to Ukraine HOwever USA ups its oil drilling massively bringing down world oil prices, which strongly impacts the RUssian economy. Russia does not do war with NATO even with USA withdrawal and Trump stating the RUssians can do whatever it wants with NATO, Russians do not attack NATO countries since its military is near total committed to Ukraine and does not have enough forces to take on NATO even without USA out of the organization. War goes on , this time, Ukraine is not constrained anymore by the Americans, a lot more Ukrainian bombing of Russian oil infrastructure ammo dumps etc. hits the Russians hard. The war goes on, the Russians step up yes probalby gain more land at thte same rate but getting massive casualties ,
2
also depends on what happens in the EU. without USA aid and USA dallying on its NATO membership and worrying statements from Trump and EU fears of Russian aggression on NATO members, I think the rest of NATO will break from the USA. and this time with urgency rearming and covering up the USA aid to Ukraine, USA stops sending aid to Ukraine, the rest of EU/NATO steps up dramatically. Yes USA may withdraw from NATO lifts all the sanctions on Russia, but the EU NATO and allies do not comply with the USA and breaks from it. and steps up aid to Ukraine. This time, there is a sense of urgency and then you dont have delayed aid anymore from NATO members since the USA is blocking them politically, thsi time the pro Ukraine NATO members do not listen to the USA then massively ups the aid to Ukraine. Russia threatens war but its army is so much stuck in Ukraine cant even do much , but do sabre rattling, France UK, send troops to Ukraine. and lift all the restrictions on their weapons use on Russian soil. France and UK probably threaten the Russians too of war if nukes are used. the French and UK may have much smaller stockpiles than the Russians but they will mostly work, the Russian nukes are very much in question , my estimate 75 percent of it will not work.
2