Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Three ways Ukraine can win the war" video.

  1. The war is definitely a drain of Russia to the tune of 1 billion USD a day. Ukraine is not Chechnya Afghanistan, Syria, where the Russians spent a lot lower to sustain their war efort per day since in thoise wars they were fighting poorly armed insurgents, in Ukraine they are fighting a tough strong conventional army armed with the latest NATO weapons. The war in Ukraine is definitely not sustainable. esp. as the 1st world is putting the screws on the Russian economy and tightening it. The Ukrainian army is getting stronger due to Ukr recruits getting trained properly to do operational offensives and getting better armed with NATO weapons while the Russians are getting weaker with massive equpment manpower losses, economy going down more, along with more sanctions and recruits with lower morale and training. This war is simply not sustainable for Russia the longer the war goes. and Putin and the Russian command simply does not know how to end the war where their current Russian regime will politicallly survive. Moscow can walk away from this war, total withdrawal back to pre war borders in return for a return of status quo relations with the west but this will have massive political implication which can get Putin removed from power permanently. But knowing Putin's pyschology, he is a tough fighter and will fight on until either he dies or he wins or in his mind he won while not achieving his original goal silver and bronze medals stiil OK. The longer the war goes the worst will be the post war effects on Russia. and can throw Russia into civil war. when Putin goes and there is no strong leader to take over or there is political chaos in Moscow as well as economic collapse which is the worst case outcome for Russia in this war.
    11
  2. Well I think Putin can accept the defeat in Ukraine unfortunately if he gets defeated in Ukraine big chance he will get overthrown and killed by his own men. If he survives then he will probably accept it as Saddam hussein accepted his defeat in the First Gulf War. Putin may be super egotistical but he is also pragmatic at the same time. and will cut his losses when he needs to. Unfortunately his commitment in Ukraine is so big that cutting his losses here is a no go, very similiar to that with Chechnya, subduing Ukraine will make or break his career and life.
    1