Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Russia on the offensive again" video.

The motives for this offensive in my opinion is Garasimov trying to fend off allegations of his criminal incompetence by other Russian generals, Garasimov has been criticized for being criminally incompetent and constantly micromanaging and meddling into the work of other generals, he is also considered to be a politicking ahole who likes to bully his subordonates and likes to fire any Russian officer who crosses him or threatens his position real or perceived whether they are competent or not. So the Avdiivka offensive is his baby and he wants to prove to the Russian leadership and other Russian generals that he is competent. and has the balls and knowhow to successful lead and plan a campign. I would compare Garasimov to the suckhead Soviet generals Buddyonny and Pavlov. he is that bad. and Garasimov is still in power due to his close friendship with Shoigu and Putin. Also what hurt Garasimov's prestige was his political fights with Prigozhin and Igor Girkin with the latter two having a strong following among Russian military bloggers, nationalists and Russian officers along with the dismissal of Major General Vladimir Selivyorstov commander of 106th airborne division, (who was later reinstated after loud calls from various poltiical factions) which was caused by his political fights and criticisms of General Garasimov.
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yep not only are the Russian personel on the Ukrainain front lines are now rotating but they are also not being paid properly. Yep, you have foreign volunteers who have been recruited with promises of high pay from poor third world nations like Cuba , Nepal , Sub saharan Africa, etc. These guys are also promised that they wont be sent to the front line but they are going to be posted behind the lines guarding logistics, however in reality when they get to Ukraine, they are put on the front line as expendable meat and if they refused and want to go back, they cant, they get punished by the Russians. and abused. and when they are killed they are listed as missing in action, and families not paid. many of them have been kaput and become fertllizer in Ukraine, already 8 Nepalese gurkhas have been killed in Ukraine, yep the Ukraine war is so bad and brutal it eats even the famed Gurkhas for breakfast.
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@arturobianco848 yah unfortunately that quantitiy is being rapidly wasted away yah quantity may have a quality of its own, however if the quality really sucks, then quantity is useless.
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@ailinofaolin8897 More Russian troll funny propoganda, you people really amuse me hahaah
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@dpelpal yes it is quite funny, also funny is how the Russians lost 450 tanks at Izium in Oct 2022 According to Igor Girkin the worst lost of tanks since Kursk 1943 was not lost in combat but all abandoned as the remannts of the Russian 1st guards tank army ran away using stolen cars and bicycles to go back to Russia haha.
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yah Putin probably thought Ukraine would be a cake walk also in keeping with teh stupid Russian tradition of only telling your boss the good news and what he wants to hear, he was probably told that the Ukrainian army was weak, they would desert in a heartbeat and ovethrow Zelensky and that the Ukrainian would rise up and overthrow Zelensky. etc. and Putin probably dismissed news that the Ukrainian army was getting equipped with hundreds of Javelin and NLAW ATGMs and getting NATO SOF training. or that the EUro Maidan protesters were all CIA paid actors who just did it for the money...yep Putin blundered into this war thinking it would last a few days then the whole situation turned into a massive pile of shit for him, and he cant get out without risking the collapse of his regime. and I think by now , Putin has really downgraded his goals which is basically keeping as much as he can with the bare minimum of controlling the DOnbass and Crimea before negotiating for an armistice. That is why I think this wars final outcome is predicated on who wins the USA presidential elections of 2024, if Trump or someone like him wins, then Russia gets a marginal win with 20 percent of Ukraine and regime survival for Putin, and if Biden wins, well the war goes on and the USA probably increases aid to Ukraine. and from what I read, Russian economists predict that the Russian economy can only take the war until 2025 when the Russian wealth fund(aka war fund) runs out. and the Russian economy starts to deform badly. Also Shoigu stated that the Russian army can fight in Ukraine until at least 2025 which coincidentally is the year the winner of the USA presidential elections of 2024 comes into office(or continues office in the case of Biden). I think the war ends either in 2025 or in 2026 with either a Russian marginal win as I mentioned earlier or Russian elites depose Putin and withdraw completely from Ukraine in exchange for normalized relations with the west, removal of sanctions. everything will be blamed on Putin (probably dead by that time) and his inner circle. as the elites try to salvage as much of the Russian economy as they can.
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and even if the Putin regime survives this war, this war is disastrous for the Russian economy and Russian prestige, something which can take decades to recover from. Putins legacy is now kaput, he will be known in history as a foolish Russian leader and this war will define his legacy. in fact everything else he did will be forgotten and undone due to this war. and threatens to push Russia into failed state status after the war.
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well im not surprised that they had the resources to do it, since the Russians have been micro mobilizations a lot , while not doing a massive general mobilizaton, these micro mobilizatons are very much underhanded recruiting from state factory workers, prisons, foreign migrants workers, refugees, , Russian ethnic republics, even foreign recruitment from all over the world being promised high wages. (Cuba and Nepal have been mentioned in the news but I think that is only the tip of the ice berg). Also the Russians still have thousands of tanks and APCs in their stocks. Yah while the Russians still have a lot of resources, their logistics suck, along with their leadership coordination poor morale and training are still there, while their coordination and logistics has somewhat improved their Soviet style combat doctrine still remains the same. Yah while they have a lot of resources and manpower to throw at the Ukrainians , their logistical situation is still quite bad, since the Ukrainians are targetting their supply trucks and trains and logistic depots so while the Russians can do big offensives they cnat sustain them for long and they fall apart due to lack of fuel and ammo. Also the RUssian logistics is reliant on trains and the front lines in the east are far from rail heads and the Russians need to transport supplies from their rail heads via trucks and the Russians have a truck shortage since the Ukrainians are targetting them a lot(not to mention the fake Chinese truck tires on Russian trucks), the Russians have gotten so desperate that they are using civlian pick up trucks and cars to ferry supplies to their troops on the front line. Also the Russians are attackng on flat open ground sown with a lot of Ukrainian mines. with teh Ukrainians on high ground positions. Russian strategy seems to just try to drown the Ukrainians with tanks and APCs after the usual Russian massive rolling artillery barrage , the Russian tanks and APCs would run into mines get disabled then the Ukrainians would hit them with artillery and ATGMs. and the Ukrs would sow more mines with MLRS NATO mines. These factors are the main reasons why the Russian Avdiivka offensive is so slow and bloody. for the Russians. The motives for this offensive in my opinion is Garasimov trying to fend off allegations of his criminal incompetence by other Russian generals, Garasimov has been criticized for being criminally incompetent and constantly micromanaging and meddling into the work of other generals, he is also considered to be a politicking ahole who likes to bully his subordonates and likes to fire any Russian officer who crosses him or threatens his position real or perceived whether they are competent or not. So the Avdiivka offensive is his baby and he wants to prove to the Russian leadership and other Russian generals that he is competent. and has the balls and knowhow to successful lead and plan a campign. I would compare Garasimov to the suckhead Soviet generals Buddyonny and Pavlov. he is that bad. and Garasimov is still in power due to his close friendship with Shoigu and Putin.
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yah Putin probably thought Ukraine would be a cake walk also in keeping with teh stupid Russian tradition of only telling your boss the good news and what he wants to hear, he was probably told that the Ukrainian army was weak, they would desert in a heartbeat and ovethrow Zelensky and that the Ukrainian would rise up and overthrow Zelensky. etc. and Putin probably dismissed news that the Ukrainian army was getting equipped with hundreds of Javelin and NLAW ATGMs and getting NATO SOF training. or that the EUro Maidan protesters were all CIA paid actors who just did it for the money...yep Putin blundered into this war thinking it would last a few days then the whole situation turned into a massive pile of shit for him, and he cant get out without risking the collapse of his regime. and I think by now , Putin has really downgraded his goals which is basically keeping as much as he can with the bare minimum of controlling the DOnbass and Crimea before negotiating for an armistice. That is why I think this wars final outcome is predicated on who wins the USA presidential elections of 2024, if Trump or someone like him wins, then Russia gets a marginal win with 20 percent of Ukraine and regime survival for Putin, and if Biden wins, well the war goes on and the USA probably increases aid to Ukraine. and from what I read, Russian economists predict that the Russian economy can only take the war until 2025 when the Russian wealth fund(aka war fund) runs out. and the Russian economy starts to deform badly. Also Shoigu stated that the Russian army can fight in Ukraine until at least 2025 which coincidentally is the year the winner of the USA presidential elections of 2024 comes into office(or continues office in the case of Biden). I think the war ends either in 2025 or in 2026 with either a Russian marginal win as I mentioned earlier or Russian elites depose Putin and withdraw completely from Ukraine in exchange for normalized relations with the west, removal of sanctions. everything will be blamed on Putin (probably dead by that time) and his inner circle. as the elites try to salvage as much of the Russian economy as they can.
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@scipioafricanus5871 hey I was being nice hahahah
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@私は日本を愛しています-g5t hahah and we were told a year ago that Russia would defeat Ukraine in three days, hey so far the Ukrainains already recaptured 50 percent of their lost territtory and the Russians are struggling, you Russian trolls are so funny hahhahh
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@dpelpal yah its bad black comedy.
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@worfoz yep also Putin is micromanaging too. Shoigu got promoted to his position without even military experience , Garasimov probably took credit for his subordonates and kissed ass all the way up. and to think before the war , NATO analysts praised Garasimov as a visionary hhhahhha, yah in 2022 to present that visionary has turned out to be more like a moron
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@Peterski they should stop drinking fake Russian vodka hahaah
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@thekinginyellow1744 true Surovikin is a lot more competent that Garasimov or heck if they reinstated Igor Girkin that would also be scary
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@thekinginyellow1744 also the Russian army has this ingrained promote the kiss ass incompetents , demote and remove the ones who perform and have excellent ability.
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@КАБы_да_КАБы True he said that, however Garasimov is good at showing everyone how brilliant he was when in actuality he does not know what to do when his mlitary theories fail in a real battlefield, does not know how to be flexible and adapt to the situation, many Russian generals are like this,
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@ailinofaolin8897 really more Russian troll obfuscation of the facts huh????
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@КАБы_да_КАБы and Russia is begging weapons from north korea and iran, HOW EMBARASSING.
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@КАБы_да_КАБы I remember when Izium fell in late 2022 to the Ukrainians , the remnants of the supposedly elite Russian 1st guards tank army stole cars and bicycles left all their tanks and ran back to Russia hahaha, Igor Girkin said it was the largest loss of Russian tanks since Kursk 1943 450 tanks all abandoned and captured by Ukraine hahaahah. The Russians are the biggest donors of tanks to Ukraine hahaha
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@johnm7267 more Russian trolls confused and living in a make believe fantasy alternate reality, dont worry trolls, reality will come soon after theis war is over, and sorry we will not accept Russian refugees to the EU like its was the 90s.
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@КАБы_да_КАБы hahaahh, yah to run back to Russia and probably hide. that is why Putin had to do a general mobilization after this disaster. to replace the ones who ran hahah
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@КАБы_да_КАБы sorry the west would like Russia to be longer in Ukraine since its economy will collapse harder later.
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@КАБы_да_КАБы sorry Russia will still lose this war as for the Russians the best defence is the best offense you are welcome.
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@КАБы_да_КАБы nope, NATO is stronger now than they were 20 years ago, in fact, are you stating, that the ukrainians are stronger than Russia that is why Russia is not winning????
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