Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Lex Clips"
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Yes I think 2024 is a very important year for both sides of the war since its the USA 2024 presidential elections and I think its pivotal to determining the final outcome of this war, and Putin will do everything to get trump or someone like him to win the elections and cut off aid to UKraine, and force Ukraine to an armistice. So yah expect this war to get a lot worse in 2024 as Putin has his back to the wall. and getting very desperate so his regime survives and he does not fall out of a window. So yah Putin will probably do: 1. Full mobilization, and go to total war footing as PUtin has nothing to lose and very desperate. 2. Escalate the confrontation between Russia and NATO to the point of near war status, to scare US voters to vote for a pro peace candidate. also crash the markets and put the US economy into recession. Putin and the Russian elites will be watching the events of the 2024 USA elections and the results will have a pivotal impact on the war. If Trump (or someone like him) wins, war ends in 2025 or 2026 with an armistice with Russia with the Russians keeping whatever they won in Ukraine. Putin will spin this as a victory and his regime survives. or if Biden wins war ends in 2025 or 2026, USA further increases aid to Ukraine maybe even more sanctions on Russia, Russia may try all out desperate offensives to try to inflict as much damage on the Ukrainians and dig in again for the 2028 US elections. but I think the Russian economy cannot take the strain of 4 more years of the war anymore, Russian economists forecast that the Russian economy can last until 2025 or 2026 before it starts faltering badly. and military analysts forecast that Russia will have tank and APC shortages by 2026, judging by the rate of loss of Russian tanks and APCs in the war. Russian elites will probably move to oust Putin and his clique from power in order to save as much of their economy as possible stop the war , remove sanctions and move to much better relations with the west, and probablyi order a complete withdrawal from Ukraine including the crimea. Russians will cut their losses.
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