Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "POKROVSKE & SEMYHIRIA HAVE FALLEN" video.

  1. My view is , the war will end by late 2023 and even extend into early 2024. From what I hear the Russian strategy is to force the Europeans to stop supporting Ukraine by waiting until winter then turning off the energy taps to the Europeans and damange the European economy through I think will be some of the worst winters in history in Europe. I think while this will cause a lot of damage to the EU economy NATO with some dissent will stick behind Ukraine. The Europeans offended will probably mostly stop buying energy from Russia. and the RUssian strategy will backfire and the Russians will lose a major customer from the Europeans. and the Russian economy will suffer badly. So failing this ploy , the only strategy to fall back on is escalation. By mid 2023, the Ukrainians are now doing major offensive operations vs. the Russians, NATO miltary aid and training are finally paying off big time, , the RUssian army is decrepit, and increasingly more brittle, yes they still have a lot of men in Ukraine and the Russians still have strong manpower reserves but the RUssian economy is collapsing, there are shortages, unrest , the weapons they are deploying on the front are increasingly getting vintage. also the crash in oil prices have really affected teh economy , the Russians only hold ten percent of Ukraine as a rejuventated Ukrainian army is increasingly defeating the Russians on the battlefield. while the Russians are still able to field lots of men and equipment, these Russian soldiers have very low morale and poorly trianed, also Russian leadership is also still poor. now using incrasingly older military equipment. and in contrast the Ukrainians mainly have high morale , very motivated, well trained and well experienced armed with high quality advanced NATO weapons with good leadership and tactics. So I think Putin in order to avert a military disaster and total defeat in Ukraine , uses a number of low yield tactical nuke weapons in Ukraine to force a ceasefire scare NATO leadership and force the Ukrainians to accept Russian peace terms. Ceasefire happens and tensions between NATO and Russia go to near war levels. and NATO threatens the Russians any more use of nukes and chemical weapons will result in NATO intervention in Ukraine and war with RUssia. total sanctions by USA EU and their allies vs. Russia and threats vs. Chiina India to include sanctions on them if they dont sanction Russia. Russian economy collapses even more. Russia is economically isolated. peace talks occur while this is happening the ceasefire is broken a several times mostly by the Russians. who do offensives vs. the Ukrainians but these offensives are defeated. with heavy losses of the Russians, however Ukraine is heavilly pressured not to do offensives vs. the Russians, just counteroffensive but dont retake more Russian territory. NATO meanwhile supplies Ukraine with even more weapons like front line warplanes even maybe NATO tanks. Peace talks extend into 2024 all the while the Russian economy is collapsing and there are more shortages unrest Putin gets more desperate and plans to break the stalemate with the use of nukes and planning war with NATO. Before Putin can enact the pan, Putin dies of "natural causes" or removed from power through other means , moderates take over. peace talks continue but with a lot less tensions. Then Russia announces complete withdrawal from Ukraine except for Crimea. The Russian republics of Donetsk and LUhansk are abandoned, and are conquered swiftly by the Ukr army. Crimea is not returned. in exchange, most sanctions are withdrawn. HOwever the war has left a bad taste on the mouth of Europeans and a state of war still exists between Ukr and Russia viewing that Ukraine still does not recognize the Crimea as Russian territory. The Europeans are sitl not buying Russian energy and do not trust the Moscow gov. even though run by moderates who were former close putin associates though not his inner circle. While the Russia is not anymore economically isolated most foreign investment do not come back to Russia and low oil prices are really impacting Russia's ability to economically recover. in fact , Russia's economy has really been damaged by 2 years of some of the worst sanctions ever imposed on a country. Also the many thousands of Russian troops going back to Ukraine have not been paid going back to unemployment weimar style inflation and discrimination due to them being blamed for losing the war. also a collapsed economy means massive cuts to army budget as Russia tries to economically survive. This results in high unrest , very high crime rates and Russia undergoes a decade or two or political , social and economic chaos. probably going to civil war levels. Russia probably gets desperate and gives back Crimea to Ukraine in exchange for massive economic aid and the removal of the rest of hte sanctions. I can see Russia losing 50 percent of its territory to secession. esp. in the Caucasus central asia, Siberia and Far East.
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  2. yah plus North Korea is sending volunteers too haha. more meat for hte meatgrinder.
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  3. I say part of a larger offensive. Putin can afford to throw a lot of expendable cheapo infantry at the Ukrainians. I still think the Russians have held back their "best" troops. and are throwing their conscripts and so called "volunteers" at the Ukrainians, heck not surprised they are also throwing North Koreans at the Ukrainians. as the North Koreans have been said to be sending soldiers to Ukraine in exchange for oil gas, grain. As for the Ukrainians yes they are losing a lot of troops but also they can afford to replace them for now. Russia vs. Ukraine is a very interesting see saw attritional war. and I think in the end it will boil down to the economy, whose economy collapses first. or a negotiated settlement. Russians have a economy only held up by high oil prices and the fact the Europeans are still buying their gas and oil and make up 40 percent of their energy sales. however due to the sacntions Russian economy is increasingly getting hammered. the Ukrainains have a worse economy but its held up by USA EU and their allies help constant billions of dollars of cash flows into the Ukrainian economy is keeping it alive. On the ground both teh Russians and Ukrainians have strong manpower reserves of course the Russians have ten times the manpower reserves than the Ukrainains , weapons wise , the Ukrainians are getting massive inflows of some of the most advanced weapons from NATO, The Russians are increasingly going through their reserve weapons and are incresaingly sending older weapons to the front.
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  4.  @tayikolla6205  yah really ruskkie troll , his army sucks balls and getting worse, he wil have to resort to nukes to get what he wants
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