Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Foreign Affairs" channel.

  1. prolonging this war is paramount to world arms industries. the world weapons manufacturers are making a killing out of this war esp. the artillery industry.
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  2. my view war ends sometime in 2025 to 2026. it ends with a military rebellion which becomes successful in forcing Putin to flgith with his gov. with significant military fighting within Russia, the loss of central authority like taht means rapid collapse of the RUssian economy, Russian republics , local govs. form their own militias to keep order independent from Moscow. take sides int he civil war. Military rebellion is caused by major Russian defeats in the battlefield. , USA and her allies continuing military aid to Ukraine even raising it after the USA 2024 elections elect a USA pres. who is committed to continuing to military aid ukraine. Russia in civil conflict without central authority means collapse of the Russian army command and control in Ukraine, probably a civli war within the Russian army in Ukraine. Ukrainian army takes advantage of this and does major offensives. Ukraine will win when the Russian fed implodes in civil war. 1.5 years into the war, the Russian political regime is showing major cracks as shown by Prigozhins march to moscow, recent purges of Russian military officers who are speaking out against the Russian political and military command. and in the backdrop the Russians having lost 50 percent of their gains in Ukraine since the start of the war on the defensive vs. a resurgent Ukrainian army which is much stronger than they were at the start of the war still with high morale motivation, better training, better combat doctrine having largely adopted NATO combat doctrine, much better battlefield medical and evacuation of casualties(to NATO military hospitals in Europe and in NATO equipped field hospitals)much better equipped with NATO weapons. while the Russians have to deal with poor morale , relatively poor training, artillery ammo shortages, supply shortages, Russian logistics getting regularly hammered by NATO supplied smart missiles. , a worsening political situation with high ranking Russian officers speaking out vs. Putin and the Russian military command. , worsening economic situation, high casualties in the battleifield, very high cost of war. maintaining their army in Ukraine which is now supposedly 95 percent of the Russian army. along with rising aid to Ukraine by NATO and the EU and her allies all of whom have a combined GDP much dwarfing Russia by 40 times.
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  3. and it might even end sooner than my predicted 2025 to 2026, if the Ukrs manage to inflict a major defeat on the Russian army this year. you might see open revolt in the Russian military by Putin. and this might be the start of the end of the Ukraine war with Ukraine recovering all of its lost territories including Crimea. in a series of military offensives and negotiations with Russian military commanders taking advantage of the loss of Russian command and control due to civil war in Russia.
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