Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Силиконовый занавес" channel.

  1. he knows he is losing, however he is hoping the Ukrainians will give up first
    101
  2. The USSR in WW2 won due to its main enemy the Germans fighting a two front war and the AMericans and British not only distracting the Germans in the west, but also bombing the crap out of Germany, it greatly helped ease up the German pressure on the Soviets when the Luftwaffe was very much slaughtered during the American and British round the clock bombing runs over Germany , also massively helped was the aid the USA and British gave to the Soviets in terms of weapons and food. most importantly was the thousands of US made trucks which modernized Soviet logsitics which at the start of the war mainly relied on horse and cart transport. those thousands of US made trucks made possible the Soviet 1944 to 1945. offensives into Germany and Eastern Europe and later the final act vs. Japan in Manchuria.
    78
  3. The Russians knew about the javelins and NLAWs and the Ukrs having substantial numbers of them, that is why they had a lot of cope cages before they invaded, however, these cope cages were really ineffective. It was quite hilarious, and the Russians did not know how to counter them except by bulling in more tanks against the Ukrs. this resulted in more lost tanks not only due to ATGMs but most importantly tanks destroyed thru Ukrs massed artillery strikes at massed congested Russian tank formations. also this strained Russian logistics to the point, that Russians had fuel shortages in the battlefield, that is why you see abandoned Russian tanks aplenty hahaha. Also Russian motivation and training sucks, so when the Russian tankers experience their ass getting whacked, they panic and run away abandon their tanks
    52
  4. I URGE Kamala Harris to put Malcolm Nance on her National security team, yah this has TRIGGERED ME SLAVA UKRAINE...Put the traitor trump in prison.
    38
  5. hahah true, I found it funny, that Zelensky told him his Russian was so so, a underhand remark on how much Zelensky did not like Friedman.
    32
  6. Meanwhile Russian soldiers in Ukraine are also freezing, poor winter gear. Russian gov and military is a joke.
    25
  7. after this war is over the political situation in Russia will be like the 90s on steroids the worse political situation since the 1917 revolution. noting many factors such as : 1. economic collapse, 2. Thousands of soldiers not paid going back to a economically collapsed Russia. 3. massive anger at the Russian gov. 4. Russian oligarchs forming their own PMCs(when political factions have their own private armies and the strong leader is gone, well this does not end well). 5. foreign meddling in the Russian political situation post Putin. 6. No strong leader after Putin is gone. 6. Secessionists. I dont think the Russian Fed will collapse and break up however I do think the Russian fed will lose territory to seccesionists.
    25
  8. Zelensky is one of the greatest leaders in history, much better than Putin.
    24
  9. unfortunately I think it will take a massive oil spill disaster to force the Europeans to act.
    24
  10. and Russia has proven itself to be the worst European army , imagine ,much smaller Ukraine held it off for nearly 3 years and bloodied it. and the Russians had to callt he North koreans to help out, embarassing.
    22
  11. Russian battlefield medical is very very poor. depending on the forces. but the vast majority of Russian forces get very poor medical, they have a bad shortage in first aid kits, Medevac is for officers. otherwise you get wounded you mend yourself or lucky you are near the Russian border you go to Russia and go to a hospital. Russians leave their dead and dont collect them, goes to show you what they think of their losses. Ukrainians, well equipped with first aid, excellent battlefield medical, near NATO standards, troops get Medevaced to NATO countries for treatment. This is very important in getting your injured back to fighting order. Ukrs are fighting for their country and motivated to go back to the battlefield after an injury, the Russians, if they are lucky enough to get evaced back to Russia, most of the time they wont go back to Ukraine. Russians fight for money and are forced to fight.
    16
  12. the Russians already experienced the folly of their invasion of Ukraine early in the war, and ten months later, the Russian position in Ukraine is worse off than when they started. First few months of the war, Russia conquered about 40 percent of Ukraine, by Jan 2 2022 the Russians now occupy 20 percent of Ukraine. The Russian military ten months into the war is substantially weaker than they were in Feb 2022.
    15
  13. Russia has a good chance of becoming a Titanic disaster in the next few years, esp. if it loses the Ukraine war. the biggest geopolitical disaster since WW2. I can see Russia becoming a massive geopolitical headache after this, similiar to China in the 1920s when China was ruled by warlords .
    14
  14. haha yes also high growth in the fertilizer industry, human fertilizer that is.
    12
  15. well Chechnya actually defeated the Russians in the 90s in the first war but Russia did not collapse since it was much supported by the west however coup attempts abounded for the Yeltsin gov. for years after that war.
    12
  16. well out of the 15 Soviet republics only 3 are economically and politically important, Russia, Ukraine and Belarus. everyone else second raters, when deciding on how teh USSR would be disbanded only Russia UKraine and Belarus leaders were meeting at first until Kazakhstan heard about it and demanded to be in the meeting, yep the rest were not even told that the USSR was being disbanded, and when the USSR announced the break, up chaos reigned in those republics that were not informed.
    12
  17. I dont think NATO will need to build their militaries to the levels of the cold war. Well Ukraine is really weakening the Russian military to the point that if Russia loses this war, then the Russian military threat will be removed(probably replaced by a refugee or criminal threat) and NATO would have fullfilled what it was created for. So NATO has to really support Ukraine so Russia does not win this war.
    11
  18. not surpirsed Friedman said that, he has to keep happy his backers namely Musk and the Russians.
    10
  19. yah its like the neighbourhood tough guy wanted to bully someone like Ukraine, then suddenly got a a bloody nose and a kick in the nuts
    9
  20. well in Afghanistan a disproportionate number of Soviet fighters came from the Central Asian Caucasus and Baltic states. that brought out a lot of resentment later, leading to unrest in those areas and later break up from the Soviet union, in Chechnya many of the rebels were ex Soviet Afghan war veterans who used their experience that they learned in Afghanistan to fight the Russian army defeating them in the 1st war,
    9
  21. Yes Ive figured this one out since the 90s. Russia may be a massive big power with thousands of tanks millions of men ready to sweep and attack Europe(or through the Fulda Gap west Germany in the cold war) but again we have always overestimated the Russians(and SOviets). Yes they may have a massive well equipped army which looks scary but in reality the Russian army has a lot of doctrinal problems, the command structure is overly centralized which results in poor flexibility of command during combat situations. the army is massively corrupt, the Russian patronage system favors who you know rather than ability so you get officers who are incompetent, discipline is poor, the Russian army is a peacock that likes to strut around likes its the best army in teh world, to hide its bad weaknesses. and it shows in Ukraine. The Russian army is good at fighting short fast wars like vs. Georgia, Syrian and Chechen insurgents(not so good with a determined able enemy like the Chechens as it took two decades and two wars to subjugate them with a population of around 10 million). Now Russia thought it could do a fast war with ukraine. Probably the most populous country that Russia has invaded post cold war. Even though the Russians have 10X the economy, 3-4 X the population, 10X the number of tanks planes, APCs vs. Ukraine and attacked with relative surprise, all these weaknesses in doctrine, leadership , command and control , training, discipline and esp. motivation and morale came to fore, that allowed Ukraineto quickly recover from the shock of invasion take back 50 percent of what it lost in 9 months and stalemate the bigger Russian army and inflict so far 300K to 400K casualties on the Russians in nearly 2 years of war. In nearly two years of war, the Russian army lost 50 percent more men than all the wars fought after WW2 combined. Heck Im not surprised by the time this war ends. it would be twice or three times that.
    9
  22. Also the Russians never evolved from that Soviet war doctrine of complete disregard of human lives . Heck the Russian Ukraine strategy of this Ukraine war 2022 to present is pretty much similiar to the Soviet combat tactics in 1940 to 43, which means unimgainative clumsy brutal frontal assaults with complete disregard for human lives and losses. The Russian army has pretty much devolved and did not learn the lessons from its past wars.
    8
  23. yes a very bad and possibly fatal miscalculation for Putin. in fact Putin is like that burglar who planned to break in and rob a house for years, then on the night he was going to carry on his deed he falls in a deep hole, a trap set by the house owner and Putin is trying to get desperately out but it will be very hard for him to do so. hahah
    8
  24. Silicon you should get Alan Lichtman in your channel. author of the 13 keys to the white house
    8
  25. these days the Russians learned from all these by using massed expendable convict light infantry to attack using WW1 tactics , with tanks used as infantry support. along with massive air and artillery support. Using massed armor tactics seems to be suicidal for the Russians in the face of the Ukrs using lots of ATGMs. so they respond with WW1 like infantry tactics. and that is the wagner group, the regular Russian army seems to be hunkering down and fortifying their positions, the Russians have been digging trenches and fortifcations several lines of them along the front . In the meantime, the RUssians have been hitting Ukr infrastructure with missles and drones. to disrupt Ukr ability to wage war. Ukrs having been using HMARs and artillery to hit Russian logistics and doing drone and commando attacks behind Russian lines.
    8
  26. I was actually marching in the people power revolution of 1986 in the Philippines and the 1985 protests near the Malacanang palace in Recto mendiola and also got caught up in a massive Pro Tinnamen student protests in Hong Kong in 1989( I was out shopping in Daimaru Causeway bay and was forced to march with the protesters since all the public transpo was closed). So yep I havef also seen what a revolution looks like.
    7
  27. Yes and what is also astounding is how the Russian military really poorly performed beyond the expectations of military analysts.
    7
  28.  @konstantinkelekhsaev302  whatever another Russian denier that the USA and British did not help the Soviets critiically if it werent for us giving the Soviets massive amounts of aid and distracting the Germans with a western front and bombing their industry, USSR would be speaking german by now.
    7
  29.  @ddoumeche  nope, Soviet generals were not the best of the lot, in fact the Soviets could not have conducted the offensives in 44 and 45 if it werent for the American British aid. oh yah Kursk 43 the German withdrew large portions of their army to deal with the Allied invasion of Italy, if the allies did not do that the Germans would have broken thru Soviet defenses.
    7
  30. In its current state the Russian army cant even win in Ukraine, its been pushed back by a smaller Ukrainian army, losing 50 percent of what it conquered in Ukraine and can barely take more territory. The Russians throw thousands of men and tanks at the Ukrainians and cant even make a dent on Ukrainian defenses, vs. NATO heck you can say goodbye to the Russian army. ala Saddam Iraqi army in Desert storm 1991.
    6
  31. and a militarized society is very bad when you lose the war, will contribute to unrest as large portions of the Russian popualtion are armed and have military training, and angry at the Russian gov in the midst of political and economic chaos. ....= we got a revolution civil war. Add to that Oligarchs are starting to form their own PMCs and private armies, even Gazoprom has a PMC. add to the mix, thousand of angry unpaid Russian ukraine war veterans unemployed with the PMCs being the only ones to pay them, plus rumbles of secession among the poor non Russian ethnic areas of the Russian federation. Also outside meddling from USA, China, Turkey etc.
    6
  32. and when Russia started mobilizing since Oct 2022, something its not done since WW2, you know Russians are losing this war.
    6
  33. it would be very amusing if we found out that the real Putin was kaput in oct 2023 and was not ruling Russia since late 2022 due to sickness. and Patrushev and Shoigu have been ruling through Putin doubles hahaahah. the fall of Russia will be a black comedy. and not surprised if movies were made about it. Heck Leonardo di caprio I hear still wants to play Putin, with Scorcese directing hahah
    6
  34. even if Russian "wins" this war, when I say win, most lilely a marginal wins with Russia keeping 20 percent of Ukraine, an d most importantly survival of the Putin regime in a armstice, its military and economy wont be in any shape to threaten its neighbours. Yep , the crash of the RUssian economy will happen post war, Russia's economy post war will be dangerously in war mode with western sanctons still in place and not letting up. Western investors are not coming back to Russia, which very much interferes with Russian economic recovery. After the war Russia will be busy trying to repair its economy. and maintain its army to confront the west. and also trying to rebuild infranstructure in the devastated areas of what it controls in Ukraine.
    5
  35. yah when USSR broke up China did not really take advantage of this for the following reasons: 1. No support from the west, and even threat of bad sanctions if China tries to reclaim historical lands from the USSR. 2. Russia the successor state to the USSR, still has a lot of nukes, and can use them on China. 3. China at this time was focused on massive economic reforms and not want to disrupt this by conquering ex Soviet lands.
    5
  36. not surprised if the Rusisans are also buying North Korean trains hahah
    5
  37. and even though Russia manages lets say to "win" by keeping its current winnings in the war, the captured territory is in ruins, infrastructure and industry mostly destroyed. depopulated, Ukr partisans still menacing the Russian army. Russia cannot exploit its winnings in fact, Russian economy is so damanged they wont have the funds to do it, even trying to maintain whatever army they mobilized is difficult. and very taxing on the Russian economy.
    5
  38. MONEY motivates the Russians mostly, Same can be said for the tens of thousands of foreign volunteers int he Russian army 2K USD per month is big money for many poor third world country and the Russians are getting thousands of African, Indian, Latino and Asian volunteers. well they dont get paid mostly, life expectancy for these suckers is one month and after they die their famlies dont even get paid. I remember watching a blog of a Chinese volunteer for the Russian armyi which he was given officer status to lead a squad of 20 nepalese. he was sent to southern Russia in late 2023, by the 2nd day, only 10 Nepalese troops were left alive and they were encircled and hiding in a house. with a Ukrainian bradley shooting outside. by day 5 they broke out, and only 5 nepalese were left alive. Its that bad. I also heard, that a number of African countries rumoed to be Cape Verde , Burkino Faso, DRC, Angola, Central African republic are sending their convicts to fight in Ukraine. . , its that crazy.
    5
  39. venezuela invades Guyana, UK and USA will intervene and Venezuela will get hit by some of the strongest sanctions , probably the same as Russia. and since Guyana in a British commonwealth country, expect Australia, Canada New Zealand, to send military forces to Guyana, and since guyana is also a OAS member USA will intervene. Maduro regime will be stupid to invade Guyana since he will be kaput.
    5
  40.  @murphy7801  yah not only did not get their money back but nyack nyack and denial from the Soviets. ungrateful the lot of htem.
    5
  41. if putin ever decides to suicidally start a war with NATO, Russia would get its ass kicked hard. Putin knows this. that is why its all bluster and he is scared white of NATO.
    4
  42. there was also a massive spike in violent crime in Russia post Soviet Afghan war and the 1st Chechen war, this war will probably spark a worst crime wave than the previous one in the 90s. in fact possibly unrest and rebellioin in the poorer ethnic parts of Russia.
    4
  43. The Russian army is not bad, but its leadership and training and motivation sucks bad.
    4
  44. also there is that mouse epidemic that is currently raging in Eastern Ukraine , seems the Russian leadership is not concerned with it, coupled with horrible overloaded Russian health care system, very poor battlefield medical, shortages in medicines and first aid kits, poor santiation in Russian positions, poor discipline. Im not surprised if you get viral and bacterial epidemics among the Russians. adding to their misery, casualties and disrupting their ability to fight. and as I said the longer Russia is in thsi war, the worse is it for them.
    4
  45.  @martstam2016  and that was when the Japanese were surrendering. and the Soviet army was more competent than the current Russian army, even more highly motivated.
    4
  46. well after the war is over Russia will be have a foreign investor attractiveness comparable to a skunk. After Russia nationalizes foreign assets along with unrest after the war, you would be crazy to invest back into Russia. It will take Russia a long time to economically recover from this war.
    4
  47. the Ukrainians probably knew what was in the ship that was it was targetted its now a submarine museum .
    4
  48. The Russians meddled hard in French Africa, and the French are doing retal vs. the Russians. French now find it vital that Russia does not win this war. or else Russian influence in French Africa will grow and French influence will end, and French economy is very much tied to its generous trade deals and control over the French African economies. and currency
    4
  49. also Russia seems to be trying to switch its economy to a war time economy, while advantagous in the short run it will be a disaster in the long run, after the war is over and Russia has lost the war , this will contribute to Russian economic collapse esp. when no foreign investor is stupid enough to come back to a Russia in unrest and economic political chaos to help it convert back to a civilian economy, not only contribute to economic collapse but also massively hinder the economic recovery of Russia, once Russian industry is retooled to a war economy its very hard to retool it back to a civilian one, without a stable gov. and foreign investments.
    4
  50. Im not surprised if there is a revival of the UK and USA PBS documentary battlefield but focusing on the Russia Ukraine war 2014 to ? after the war is over. Or how about a documentary comparable to the thames UK WW2 docu world at war.
    4
  51. well the best book Ive read on the Ukraine war in 2023 is War in Ukraine volume 2 Russian invasion Feb to April 2022 Helion publishing by Tom Cooper and Edward Crowther, military detailed book on the initial invasion of Ukraine. you guys should get the author Tom Cooper into the show, one of the best military analysts out there wrote books on various subjects going all the way back to the Iran Iraq war.
    4
  52. and the most dangerous veterans are the Z convict soldiers. They were already violent before they got sent to Ukraine, they will even more violent when they get back to Russia, and to add to my earlie post most importantly these veterans of the Urkaine war will have experience not only in killing people but also in using military weapons, they will add to the chaos after the war is over, heck they will probably be getting the best jobs in Russia after the war, since the oligarch PMCs, regional militias, criminal gangs will need soldiers to enforce their laws and rules and what better these former Ukraine vets.
    3
  53. Also another possibility is Russia becoming a decentralized semi anarchic state, while still semi stable with the technical Rule coming from Moscow from the Russians states esp. in the caucasus , far east central asia have a lot more leeway of independence, most of the centralization from Putin's time is gone, Like Russian states acting liek almost seperate countries but still defer to Moscow as the captiral of a Russian federation or more like a Russian confederation. After this war is over, the Moscow gov. will be focused on economic survival and maintaining stability. and not military and territorial expansion. I think the Russian confederation will be much influenced by its neighbours esp. USA/NATO, China and Turkey who influence their favorite puppet Russian state. While Russia certeinly will lose a a lot of central planning it will still maintain cohesion and stability more or less.
    3
  54. just finished Mark's latest book on Prigozhin and I have to say ITS EXCELLENT, listened to it on Audible at least three times, and its just excellent, I do suspect after the war is over , we will get more info on Prigo mr. Clean wannabe in the future and a more detailed book on Prigozhin will be written but for now this is jsut excellent. and Yes I think Putin's support in the Russian gov and mlitary is quite low, judging by the way no one tried to stop Prigo from his march to Moscow. I think the Russian elites reallyi want a way out, and is banking on Trump to win in 2024, if Biden wins, all hell will break loose in the Kremlin, I can see 2025 being the year the war ends with Putin suddenly dying of natural causes and war ending with a total Russian withdrawal from ukraine and massive Russian blame game on Putin. The Russian elites will cut their losses with Putin and end the war.
    3
  55. I think whether Russian wins or loses this war, Russia will be in a very bad shape economically and militarilly after this war is over and will be destabilized. I can see a Russian civil war being a several years slide to a break up. Decades from now, future Russians will rate Putin as the worst Russian leader ever and will wonder why the he had a lot of support from the Russians during his tenure.
    3
  56. for 2023 I forsee: 1. US and NATO giving the Ukrs even more major weapons systems like ATACMs, maybe even western tanks and jets. 2. The Russians mobilizing a few million more troops and trying out new major offensives vs. Ukraine. perhapts another invasion from Belarus but this time towards Lvov. to try to cut supply lines from NATO. possbily to coincide with a major offensive in the Donbass. 3. Ukr counteroffensives. Perhaps a major victory for the Ukrs which might cause Russian esclation. 4. Russian economy getting hit harder in 2023 with the upcoming world economic recession however this wont really be felt by the Russians probably until 2025. Saudis and OPEC will still try to keep oil prices from crashing. 5. NATO approving missle strikes into Russia and possibly Belarus. 6. War ending in 2023, I dont think so, it will go on. into 2024. Putin will stay the course and wait out the Ukrs and see what happens in the 2024 US presidential elections.
    3
  57. the morons the Russians are recruiting from the Indian subcontinent, Africa, Latin America and China is currently learning that the war is not all that is cracked up to be, in fact thousands of them are dying on the Ukrainian batttlefield being treated as cannon fodder. Very poor quality troops that are more of a burden than a plus to the Russian army. and this is only a temporary advantage for the Russian army, yes they will get tens of thousands of these cannon fodder in the short term but as the war goes and many of them are dying, and the results are being shown on social media, and the survivors go back to their families in their home countries and say signing up for the war is not worth it, since they dont get paid by the Russians, they get abused badly by the Russians, and are beaten if they refuse to fight, or worse shot if they attempt to retreat and the chances of the recruits dying and their bodies not recovered by their families is very high.
    3
  58.  @martstam2016  well the Ukraine war is akin to teh Russo Japanaese war of 1904 to 1905 but a more hyper version of it. Russia had a much bigger GDP than Japan 10X or more, the RUssian military as a whole was much bigger than Japan, Russia had a population of 150 million at the time, Japan had a population of 47 million. also land mass Russia had a much bigger land mass than Japan which back then included what is now Poland, Finland, the former USSR states etc. By all accounts Russia should have crushed Japan esp., in the land war. but nope it got beaten by Japan however the Japanese by near end of the war was already experiencing manpower problems while the Russians still had plenty of manpower but were afriad to deploy their more elite troops from European Russia in fears of possible war with Germany.
    3
  59.  @martstam2016  the Czar nicholas II also had a weak will a lot weaker than Putin, and did not have the will and stomach to continue the war with Japan, if Russia had done so and put their better quality troops to the east they would havbe won the land battles and possibly even conquered Korea from the Japanese or at least recapture Port Arthur but nope. also Japanese were also near bankrupt by end of the war.
    3
  60. well the FSB does not control the entire show, its rivalled by the Russian army and the powerful GRU which has been there a lot longer than the FSB. Its said teh GRU actually has more influence than the FSB.
    3
  61. everything about the Russian gov lately is bogus and delusional.
    3
  62.  @Songshare  yah so that they dont have to pay the relatives and they can claim that they have low casualties. Ive even heard they shoot their wounded, most prevailent in the storm Z units
    3
  63. After this war is over, the Afghan syndrome will be kindergarden the new word will be the Ukraine syndrome,,,,,the Afghan syndrome on steroids. Yep the disorder in Russia after the war is over will make the 90s look like paradise
    3
  64. Ukraine has come a long way since the start of the war in late Feb 2022 when many foreign analysts forecast Urkaine would be overrun and defeated by Russian in a few days or weeks to now where the Ukrainians are doing major offensive to take lost territory while the Russians are trying to hold on to what they conquered noting the Russians still have a superior(in terms of firepower, manpower number of vehicles and equipment) army and a way bigger GDP vs. Ukraine. Ukraine is not only holding on but actually retaking lost territory and have stalemated the Russians, that is a MASSIVE ACHIEVEMENT.
    3
  65. well the major reason why despite low oil prices worldwide in the 90s , a losing war in chechnya and economic and political disorder after the collapse of the USSR, Russian economy did not collapse and Russia did not go into civil war, is that the West, chiefly the USA poured in massive US economic aid and investments into Russia keeping its economy afloat. However after the Ukraine war is over, you wont see aid and investments like what you saw in the 90s pour into Russia, in fact, there wont be much. this will make it harder for the Russian economy to recover and will help in the disorder and chaos of post war Russia make it worse.
    3
  66. well the 300 billion USD locked Russian funds in Europe will be given to Ukraine as war reparations. from Russia.
    3
  67. yah the Ukrs are retreating slowly but making the Russian pay thousands of casualties hundreds of tanks and APCs for every KM lost, excellent price a bargain for a retreat. in fact what have the Russians gained for capturing towns and villages ruins and lots of Russian dead bodies which they never bury . or send back to Russia. and the towns and vilages ruins they wont get anything from it.
    3
  68. well I think Russia's neighbours will be intervening in Russian internal affairs in the fturue, most notably the Turks, Iranians, the CHinese, NATO EU,
    3
  69. Euromaidan happens in Georgia, Russia may invade and Russia will be even more massive sanctions. Im not surprised if one of those sanctions is the Russian money in western banks are confiscated and given to Ukraine.
    3
  70. doing purges in the middle of a bloody stalemated war where the Russians are not winning is a DISASTER....
    3
  71.  @blackberrythorns  too late for Russia .
    3
  72. the way the Russo Ukraine war is going , with the rise of Russian PMCs, succession of power in Russia might well be decided by the power of the gun , the military might of the PMCs, that is a civil war.
    3
  73. well I read a news article a few months ago about a Ukrainian fitness blogger who disrespected and was extremely rude towards Ukrainian soldiers on R&R in Odessa. Well the Odessa police tracked him,broke down his door and arrested, him, yep , beat the living crap out of him. Not surpried if they sent him to the front hahah.
    3
  74. the Russian army does not care if you are not fit, they recruit people with aids hepa C , force invalids to the front. heck even if you are lame and invalidated they wont allow you to go back home, as Putin made a decree with Russian soldiers in Ukraine serving until the war is over.
    3
  75.  @yurilytviak9066  that is true they make the perfect dupes and cannon fodder , imagine expendable guiliible, and they dont have to pay them most of the time. and they are volunteering by the thousands, suckers the lot of them.
    3
  76. Russian trolls here are attackng me a lot LOL. I enjoy it, that means what I am saying is really relevant, and true. too bad trolls, next time ask them to pay you in USD since the Russian ruble will be the same worth as Pepe coin. hhahahah
    3
  77. yah cause Russian front line military hospitals care centers suck at medical, Russian battlefield medical is horrible. most of the time, only officers get evaced to good medical care, everyone else, GOOD LUCK YOU ARE ON YOUR OWN....or if you are lucky enough to have a friend officer or have a pull with a gov official you might get also evaced out. Otherwise, the average Russian soldier at the front does not even have adequate first aid kits, they use clothes rags, tampons(LOL) for bandages and wound blockers. and yah vodka(the cheapo and fake one) for anaesthesia and disinfecton. That is why there a a lot more Russians dying of their injuries which can be treated than the Ukrainians and if Russian soldiers are wounded many cant even be put back in the field since they would be permanently injured or dead. and that is for regulars, conscripts , mobiks, the Z convict Russian troops its even worse, ive seen videos and heard stories where Z convict troops who are wounded getting executed by their officers. its that insane in the Russians army.
    3
  78. after this war is over and Putin gone and there is going to be a lot of wanted Russian war criminals starting with many gov and military officials, like Medvedev, shoigu, garasimov, Kadyrov and oligarchs like Prigozhin and propoganda pundits which will be arrested when they step out of Russia and sent to a a war crimes trial, and the Ukrainians will be hunting for them, kill on sight orders. I expect a lot of Russian officials and oligarchs will be falling out of windows after this war.
    3
  79. Zelensky is a churchill his legacy will be great there will be monuments, streets even towns dedicated to his name. While Putin will be revilied by his own people, his legacy shit, his money gone, his life forfeit,
    3
  80. the Russians these days are mostly on the defensive, their regulars and conscripts are mainly in trenches except for the Donbass where they are using Penal convict troops as expendable assault troops in WW1 style human wave attacks, supported by massive artillery and air strikes,. This shows the Russians have lost overall operational offensive capabilities, they cannot rely on their regulars and conscripts to do major offensives since they are deemed to have poor morale, motivation and training. I think in ten months of war the Russians have realized this and are now trying to end the war with the Russians keeping their winnings, and regroup , reform and rebuild their army. Also Russian penal troops are expendable and they are being used to distract Ukrs forces from doing major offensives and give the Russians time to bulid their defenses train their troops.
    2
  81. I think 2024 will be an important year as Russia tries to influence the USA presidential elections, I thinks tensions will be really high maybe to near war levels between NATO and Russia and Russia might even get more sanctions in 2024. and as said many times before the 2024 USA elections will be pivotal to the final outcome of this war. which I think will end in 2025 or 2026. also coinciding with the forecasts by even the Russian economists and analysts that the Russian economy can bare this war until 2025 when it starts experiencing economic downturns(or the Russian gov cant hide the bad efects of the war on the Russian economy anymore). and analysts estimate that Russia will start expereincing shortages in tanks, APCs and other military vehicles by 2026.
    2
  82. Ive read last week US intel estimates Russian total casualties to run to 500K with 250K dead. Ukrainian casualties are 300K with 60K dead.
    2
  83.  @SiliconCurtain  well we will find out after the war, heck maybe not even at all since Russian records are so spotty. heck Im not surprised it might even be worse as the Russians have been doing numerous micro mobilizations, even forcing migrants, and factory workers and throwing them into Ukraine and not putting them in the official mobilization numbers.
    2
  84. Russian battlefield medivacs are just for officers, if not your are on your own good luck.
    2
  85. I forsee after the Russians lose this war, a collapse in the Russian army in Ukraine occurs, with teh Russian officers first to abandon their troops, the Russian army in Ukraine becomes a mob confused no central command abandoned by their officers and leadership and desperate to go back home. It will be a catastrophe as their is poltical and economic chaos in Russia, Russian leadership in Moscow is more concerned in power struggles as to who will rule than the well being of their soldiers in Ukraine. It will be so bad, that I think the Ukrainian army will have to disarm and demobilize the Russian troops without assistance from the Russians. forcibly in many cases. I can see mass surrender by Russian troops reminiscent of the surrenders of Iraqi troops during Desert storm 1991. and I can see Ukrainians having to combat Russian troops who refuse to surrender or are trying to fight their way back to Russia with their weapons and equipment intact. I can see the Russian troops not only sacking what is left of occupied Ukraine but also sacking Russian border towns and cities. and they go back to Russia, made worse by collapse of law and order in Russia, and also there will be epidemics in Russia as the medical system also collapses.
    2
  86. The Russians before the war was touting how advanced their military is and how they could defeat NATO in a war. haha. well now they have just gotten a very cold dose of reality to their faces.
    2
  87. Well the Russian war in Ukraine is a bit worse in in terms of casualties nd intensity than even the Soviet Afghan war of the 80s and the two Chechen wars. In Ukraine the Russians lost around 100K casualties, in ten months, in Afghanistan the Russians lost probalby around 50K casualties in ten years and the Soviets never mobilized their population for that war. nor did they mobilize for the two chechen wars, Russia has not mobilized its population for war since WW2. and with mobilizations the Russian population is definitelyi feeling it albeit not the ones who are politically important since the Russians are mobilizing in the poorer less politically significant areas of Russia but once the Russians start mobilizing significantlyi from Moscow, St. Petersburg etc. then you will have a major even critical political problem in Russia regarding the war.
    2
  88. I think ever since start of 2023 after the Kharkov counteroffensive of late 2022, Putin has probably been under a LOT of stress, and I think he is hte type now to hide from his problems, probably sensing this war might be hte end of him.
    2
  89. I htink Russia will probably go into civil war after this war is over, notice other Russian oligarchs are creating their own PMCs , like Shoigu has his own PMC called Patriot and Gazprom has its own PMC, so after putin is gone, and there is a power struggle, in the Soviet days it was peaceful power struggle all political within the party but since these days the Putin political party is very much subordonate to Putin, so if there is a power struggle and all the factions have their own PMC that will cause a destructive civil war, which will remake society. top to bottom. add in other factions such as secessionsts, criminals , revolutionaries etc. Its going to be back to the Russian civil war of 1917 to 1923. which was a multi faction civil war.
    2
  90.  @surelyyoujokemeinfailure7531  it will be worse than the 90s, back then even with a losing war in Chechnya, low oil prices, the Russians were still able to grow their economy and keep their country stable. due to massive amounts of western investments and aid, the Russians were later even able to grow their military. After this war is over you wont have the massive western investments and aid, Russia will mostly be left on its own. Chinese and to a lesser extent the Indians will proably come in and start buying up Russian companies, put Russia into Chinese debt. Turn Russia in to a massive Chinese debtor nation. These indian and chinese investments will be a lot less than what the west could give and have a lot of strings attached to them.
    2
  91. Putin driven mad by not only power but also covid isolation and the steroids and other drugs he has been taking to keep him alive. So it can be said that Putin decided to invade Ukraine in a fit of roid rage. and cabin fever
    2
  92. @abot5381 highly doubt that.
    2
  93.  @sshumkaer  highly doubt that bot.
    2
  94. however I think the Ukrs might recapture Bakhmut in this counteroffensives and this will have a massive political blow to Putin. and cause more chaos within the Russian political situation.
    2
  95. After the war is over and Russia has lost the war, there will be a LOT of recriminations, accusations, excuses, on the Russian side, many will blame Putin and his cronies for everything , some will blame the west, many Russians will make excuses that they are also victims of Putin and of course you will have a small lot who still love Putin and think he was right. Well as for all of them there will be massive karma. The war will be a total lose lose for Russia at all levels. top to bottom, how about political and economic chaos will sees Russia is a gradual slide to break up of some sort. a situation simliar to Mexico in 1910s or China in the 1920s. where you had a fragile and unstable central gov that changes several times that has to deal with various warring factions. and practically no control over most of the country(except the major cities). and this unrest will be bloody, and brutal. The Russians will wish they had prevented Putin from invading ukraine.
    2
  96. the Russians will even be more poorly equipped and even poorly motivated in 2023. You'll probalby see more older Russian tanks like the T-62s on hte battlefield. Also casualty wise I think the Russians are losing a lot more men than the Ukrainians , mainly due to Russian poor battlefield medical. the Ukrs are able to put back their injured to battle faster and more efficiently than the Russian by a mile. The Russians cope by mobilizing more men and keep on replacing their casualties on the front,. The more the Russians mobilize the more it destabilizes Russia.
    2
  97. even if Putin manages to survive after this war is over, this war would have very seriously affected his heatlh, he will probably die shortly after, heck maybe die during this war. Like when Stalin died which ended the Korean war in the same year. PUtin's death might end this war.
    2
  98. I heard the real reason is that the NKs wanted to renegotiate the contract, so instead of 2K USD per NK soldier, its now 4K to 5K USD per NK soldier, Russia balked at that price. and also while the Russians can swindle other foreign volunteers and local Russian volunteers by not paying the full amount after they are dead. listing them off as missing. they cant do that to the NKs. the NKs want money up front before deployment. also the NKs were shocked at how much casualties they received. and that is why they wanted more money. So for the Russians its actually much cheaper to send in their own and other foreign volunteers. since they are easier to defraud.
    2
  99.  @mac_mcleod  quite true, poor discipline, bad corruption etc. I recast my statement.
    2
  100. Fox news is mixed , you have a number of pro putin pundits but the main news is pro Urkainian.
    2
  101. absolutely correct, Russia has been losing badly in Ukraine since oct 2022. yes people may hee and hawe that Russia has captured bakhmut and marinka, look the Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed, what people do not say is that 1. the Russian economy is getting degraded , Russian ruble is currently 1 USD to 90 rubles , price of eggs rose 50 percent, etc. 2. Ukraine despite all what the western analysts had said recaptured 50 percent of what they lsot pushing the Russians back against all the odds. 3. Ukrainians are sinking Russian ships big ones too and Ukraine does not have a navy. 4. Russians are fielding T-55s and WW2 artillery to Ukraine, the last time the Russians fielded large numbers of T-55s was during the invasion of Czechslovakia in 1968. 5. Russia is buying and begging weapons from Iran and North Korea. those countries were really looked down as laughinstocks by Russia before the war. 6. Russian army is recruiting from convicts and doing human trafficking to get recruits. 7. the front has not changed much since Dec 2022, its a bloody stalemate , however what's changed Russian casualties back in dec 2022 was about 100K casualties , Now near Jan 1 2023 , 356K casualties , the Russian losses have been horrendous since the moron Russian generals have been using WW1 style human wave tactics on fortified Ukrainian positions with no regard of losses. Im not surprised by the time this war ends you will have 1 million Russian casualties. Also out of those 50 percent are fatalities mainly due to poor Russian battlefield medical , shortage of first aid kits .
    2
  102. and I think the NATO advisors advised Ukr to fix the Russians at Bakhmut while at the same time saying on the world media that they are advising the Ukrainians to leave to lure the Russaisn more into the meatgrinder. to weaken the other areas in the front, so they can be vulnerable to a Ukr offensive.
    2
  103.  @kwaku3411  sorry Ukraine fixed Russia, Russia will soon be Yugoslavia 2,0 after this war is over, with 1 USD = 1 million Rubles.
    2
  104. if Kamala wins, and I think she will this come Nov 2024, Russia is F*** , I predict as I said many a time before the Russian elites will cut their losses and overthrow him in 2025 or in 2026. to save the Russian economy and save Russia, total withdrawal from Ukraine,
    2
  105. Putin is a careful operator however if he goes into something he goes all in until he wins(or wins something), he tends to double down in the face of challenges. when he is into it. That is why in Ukraine , he has his back to the wall, he cannot stop but double down all the time. This will not end well for Putin.
    2
  106.  @SiliconCurtain  I said the war is lost for Russia, Ukraine will win this war.
    2
  107. I think Biden will win 2024 this year and the dems will sweep and gain control of the house and senate, the Rep party is in a big mess full of maga whackjobs a big turn off for American voters. the polls might show Trump in the lead but I dont believe the polls. when the dems sweep the board this year 2024, 2025 will be annus horribilis for Putin , Trump , Russia, and Maga and the US rep party. with the dems in control of the white house, congress and senate, they will probaxbly approve the largest aid package to Ukraine, and this will have a massive effect on the war in Ukraine, in 2025, and beyond, and also the USA dems sweeping the board int he 2024 elections will have a massive impact on the Kremlin, I think mental depression will reign on the heads of the Russian leaders and propogandists, doom and gloom and all that. Im not surprised if the Ukrainians score major victories in 2025 forcing the Russians to mobilize more men and even worse the Russian economy starts going down in a major way in 2025 and 2026. Also Trump goes to Prison and his allies turn on him. Maga is kaput, and the rep party is in civil war between pro maga and anti maga factions.While the war wont end in 2025, I can see it being a ground work for the final outcome of the war which I think might end in 2026 or 2027. as the biden admin finally wants to get rid of the Russia problem once and for all.
    2
  108. I think this is the case of more like the US and her allies managing the Ukraine war in a way that does not cause Russia do have its back to the wall and possibly use WMDs esp. nukes on Ukraine. Escalation management. The main proponent of this is Jake Sullivan and the atttitude of the USA presidential admin may change with a Kamala win in the elections and Sullivan out of the job as Kamala puts in a brand new National advisory team which I have heard is very much Pro Ukraine and giving Ukraine everything it wants. Also in the grand strategic goal of the USA is that the war ends with the following goals: 1. Putin is removed from power and replaced with a moderate or even pro western regime that they can do business with. 2. Russia does not go into civil war or a simliar type of situation. 3. the war does not escalate to a NATO war with Russia. 4. The Ukrainian gov does not collapse and Ukraine does not become conquered by the Russians or a puppet of Russia. This is why Ukraine's Allies are delaying military aid to Ukraine since if they gave everything Ukraine wanted, I think Ukraine would have already kicked the Russians out of Ukraine or at least delivered major and critical defeats to the Russian army like they did in late 2022 and with that happening would have rapidly collapsed the rule of Putin , and Russia most likely might have collapsed into a civil war type situation. which would have a massive world wide political and economic effect as the price of oil might have shot up rapidly and cause a worldwide economic recession. I think the USA is just watching the political situation in Russia and just waiting for a strong political faction to oppose Putin to emerge that is moderate enough to do business with . and I think in the current situation no such faction has emerged yet and Putin and his buddy Patrushev(FSB) seem to have full control of the Russian political landscape for now, however things can change as the war goes on as Russia's economy and political situation gradually degrades as the war slogs on esp. without major Russian victories and esp. with Ukrainain major victories(like what the Ukrainians are trying to do in Kursk).
    2
  109.  @pcread  how about a 1917 history lesson, took out the Czar after losing to the Germans gave up and did civil war. Or how about withdrawing from Afghanistan and Chechnya
    2
  110.  @ailinofaolin8897  is this the same Russian army who was peacocking for decades to be the strongest army in the world with year of expereince defeating different types of enemies hahaha, NATO would kick Russia's ass anytime, RUssia pissing its pants when thinking of fighting NATO.
    2
  111. well the Ukrainian soldiers have not been committing atrocities vs. Russians even helping out old ladies. Ukr soldiers do not loot in fact Russian soldiers sent to fight the Ukrainians are looting Russian homes.
    2
  112. well I think the Gaza war was deliberately started with teh prompting from Iran , Russia and China in order to throw a monkey wrench in the US support for Ukraine with support diverted to Israel along with media attention but most importantly, to piss off American muslims, and they are concentrated in Michigan which is an important voting state for the democrats. So a war in Gaza helps Biden lose the 2024 USA elections with possibly American Muslims abstaining to vote for anyone.
    2
  113. while hundreds of thousands of Russian veterans will survive this war, I dont think they will threaten Europe anytime soon, unless maybe if they invade Europe as refugees in their millions and become criminals in the EU. Russia post war will be focused on economic recovery. and building up on what I said earlier most of these guys will become either criminals in Russia or join up with Russian PMCs of all stripes.
    2
  114.  @ned900  yep that is true but the GRU still has some clout its not been destroyed or absorbed by the FSB, Putin may be a dictator but he does not have full power, he has to still please certain factions to remain in power.
    2
  115. the whole Trump family a FAMILY OF TRAITORS..
    2
  116. after the war, Georgians will kick out the current regime and the Georgian Russian puppet pres. in jail or in exile.
    2
  117. Instead I predict when Trump gets his ass kicked in this 2024 US elections, he will go to prison in 2025 and he will be thrown under the bus by his so called allies and supporter who will stab him in the back and turn on him.
    2
  118. Why? because Putin is desperate to win or at least something that he can spin as a victory to the Russians. Its his own hide he is concerned with. Heck I bet he will sacrifice millions of Russians to survive politically because if he loses the war(or perceived to have lsot the war by his own people), he is KAPUT.
    2
  119. shortly after this war is over UKraine will enter NATO and EU
    2
  120. NATO is very lucky Russia fumbled as badly in Ukraine as it did, since if Russia ever succeeded in conquering Ukraine, wonder how NATO would be ready to fight a land war with Russia in the Baltics and Poland. with the sorry state of the NATO armies.
    2
  121. good thing the Russian army of 2023 is much less competent than the German army of 1941.
    2
  122. hey silicon just watched a new video on a Chinese volunteer for the Russian army, the guy says it all , tells the truth of the Ukrainian battlefield, and he says its too tough, Russians cant win the war. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_jdfaI5dyQ&t=236s
    2
  123. In short Putin is losing this war, getting desperate by demanding ceasefires. its not the Ukrainians demanding ceasefires but the Russian are the ones doing so and quite embarassingly, for a Russia which has 10X the economy of Ukraine and 5X the manpower, it seem to be failing spectacularly in Ukraine despite the Russian economy going on war footing. LOL How you can fuck up a war like this simply shows how Homer Simpson like is the Russian military leadership hahaahh
    2
  124.  @RodrickLionheart  Russian dupe
    2
  125. Agree with Sean Mcfate, bleeding Russia dry means collapse of the Russian economy due cost of war, destruction fo the Russian army, depletion of equipment, and most importantly loss of support for Putin. I think while the Soviet Afghan war analogy is apt I think its also apt comparison to the Iran Iraq war. where Iran was bled dry by the end of the war. Also the Iran iraq war benefitted the military industrial complexes of China, USA, Western Europe, Brazil etc. as they made mucho mucho dinero selling arms and supplies to both sides. People like Adnana Khashogi who was the preeminent arms dealer of the 1980s sold to both sides of the war was one of the richest men in the world at the time.
    2
  126. a sitrep on the current situation in the Kharkov offensive Note. III Regiment, X Brigade XX Division XXX Corps Russian Order of battle: 2nd Spetnaz X, 7th Motor Rifle III, 18th Motor Rifle XX, 72nd Motor Rifle XX, 25th Motor Rifle X, 138th Motor Rifle X, 104th Artillery X, 244th artillery X. Ukrainian Order of battle: 13th & 71st Jaeger Xs, 42nd Mech X, 57th Motorized X. aim to drive all the way to Kharkov and also drive into the rear of Ukrainian forces east of the Oskil river thus enabling Russian group west to assault Kupyansk. Well the Russian offensive is turning out to be a disaster . thousands of casualties for a few villages captured. in 8 days of fighting. The Russian were not even able to reach the Ukrainian first line of defense but were stopped several KMs north of it. Ukrainians seem to be well supplied with artillery ammo, and the Ukrainians did not redeploy other units from other front lines to stop the Russians. in fact its the Russians redeploying other units from other front lines to prevent the Russian offensive from turning into a full on disaster. also I find it amusing the Russian commander of this Kharkov assault is General Lapin The same General Lapin who was commanding Russian forces in Eastern Ukraine during the Ukrainian Kharkov counteroffensive in late 2022 which saw the near destruction of the Russian 4th Guards tank XX, the severe mauling of the 2nd guards motor rifle XX and the 11th army XXX. Lapin was fired in late 2022 due to this debacle and even Kadyrov wanted Lapin demoted to a private in the Russian army and sent to the front as cannon fodder. LOL. well it seems the Russians are really hard up for generals to command so they sent this chump to command the latest Kharkov offensive. Well if the whole operations turns out to be a disaster not surprised if Lapin falls out of a window.
    2
  127. bet you after putin is gone his own people will come out all blame him for eveything and they are victims. so very typical
    2
  128. yah just like their non working stored weapons they also stole a lot from infrastructure maintenance
    2
  129. I also think Russia's global informational warfare is encouraging volunteers for the Russian army from poor nations around the world since many of them think Russia is winning the war, and they will volunteer to get paid very good money , have an easy job and possibly get Russian citizenship, these dopes are fed a lot of lies, and when they get to the front, they become the new cannon fodder.
    2
  130. seems like the Ukrainians have been raising merry hell in the Kursk region, its a confused fight but the only one confused seems to be the Russians, the Ukrainian have full intel well coordinated know what they are doing, the Russians are just throwing anything and anyone they can get their hands on and with teh FSB taking over , its so bad that most of the Russian troops they are sending have been units in the process of being rebuilt after taking heavy losses in Urkaine. , its so rushed that many units are lacking even radios, drones, tanks, APCs etc. Just a warm body and a gun seem to be good enough to be send to try to stop or slow down the Ukrainians. Russian reinforcing units seem to be coming in and being assigned to already preexisting Russian units in the area eseentially rebuilding them. Then many of these units are being deployed shoulder to shoulder in order to create a semblance of a defence line to prevent Ukrainians from raiding their flanks and rear areas. Detachments of Rosgvardia and Chechens are being deployed as minders to make sure no one runs away. Then the Russians are donbassing the Ukrainians with continous multiple attacks. However the problem is that the Russians do not have much intel on the whereabouts of the Ukrainians who are constantly on the move and while the Russians are continiously trying to attack or advance to suspected Ukrainian positions, the Ukrainians are ambushing and attacking the Russians with FPV drones and accurate artillery strikes. along with ambushes.
    2
  131. yah that is why I think the Russians are suffering a lot more dead than the Ukrainians, due to their sucky battlefield medical system where officers only get evaced out of the battlefiled, shortages in first aid kits , an overloaded Russian civlian medical system and due to the Russian military leadership and gov not caring about their own troops. what could have been treatable battlefield wounds, are often fatal to Russian soldiers. Also the sanitation at Russian trenches is horrible, and there is a mouse epidemic that is spreading among the Russians, so the risk of fatal infected wounds or just sickeness is much highter. that is why the Ukrainians are able to recover their casualties a bit more than the Russians who just mobilize more men and send them to the front rather than recovering casualties, heck the Russians even force their casualties to stay and fight at the front. So yah according to western estimates Russian casualties run from 300K to 500K but out of that I think there is a 50 percent death rate due to poor medical and other factors I described above, so Russian dead I can picture from 150K to 250K dead, meanwhile the Ukrainians 300K casuatlies of that 30K to 60K dead. I think the Russians can sustain this loss rate for the next few years but it will impact their economy and society greatly as the war goes on, and the hardest impact will be post war whether the Putin regime survives or not.
    2
  132. as for suprises I remember when the Russian Kharkov front collapsed in late 2022, with the watermark being the Ukrainian capture of Izyum and the collapse of en entire Russian army with the remantns fleeing back to Russia by foot, stolen cars and bicycles LOL. and the Ukrainians capturing 450 Russian AFVs. As igor Girkin put it, the largest lost of Russian armour since the battle of Kursk 1943. in this case the Russians abandoned the armour haahaha.
    2
  133. Russian military doctrine emphasizes mobile warfare, but in reality they cant seem to pull it off due to their ponderous stiff command and control and combat doctrine.
    2
  134. I think the Current Russian position is consolidation of its forces, trying to keep their 25 percent of Ukraine that is why they are mobilizing and fortifying their holdings. While Putin would like to conquer all of Ukraine, I think he and his command realizes that is not possible. So now wants an out that is acceptable with 25 percent of Ukraine in their holdings. Ukraine of course wants the Russians back to at least the pre war borders. and Ukraine is still not exhausted in this war. The Russians are showing more signs of exhaustion in this war than Ukraine is. Russian morale already low at the start of the war is even lower. Ukr morale is still high . with a high motivation to kick out the Russians. also both sides have to watch their economies. Ukraine economy is devastated but is kept alive by massive financial aid from the USA EU and their allies. Russian economy is slowly dying from the sanctions. and kept alive by their sale of oil and other natural resources and possible financial aid from China and India. The war I think starting Dec of 2022 has entered the attritional phase.
    2
  135. Interesting that a year ago Russian media was talking on how weak the Ukrainian military was and they can easilly be defeated despite losing at Kiev, now the Russia media seems to be terrified of the Ukrainians army and talking fearfully of the coming Ukrainian offensive. Russians learned hard late last year with the loss of Kherson and the Kharkov offensive which climaxed at Izyum with the Russians losing 450 AFVs, mostly abandoned , according to Igor Girkin, the worst loss of AFVs since Kursk 1943. along with the bloody failure of the Russian winter offensive. my view is that the coming Ukrainian offensive will be somewhat disappointing but will inflict heavy Russian casualties, maybe enough for Putin to mobilize more men. and probably send more T-55 vintage tanks to the front.
    2
  136. the fall of Crimea will definitely kill the Putin regime. I look forward to this one.
    2
  137. my view is that Russia after a defeat in Ukraine, results in a much weakened Moscow gov and military and more decentralized Russia ruled by Oligarchs. Where Russian republics and oblasts have a bit more autonomy and Russian leaders who are puppets of the oligarchs, who are backed up by their PMCs. The real Russian military power will be the PMCs who serve under the oligarchs, politicos , army generals. These guys are the ones who will most likely maintain order in Russia. Russia will be a great game of influence between USA and China. (along with other countries), It will be like the 90s but lasting for decades, in fact, the oligarchs will not allow someone like Putin to ever come to power agian.
    2
  138. well 2 years 2025 which I think will be a horrendous year for Russia. NATO arms production comes into line, esp. artillery ammo production, USA massively increases aid to Ukraine. after a biden win for a 2nd term in 2024. and Russian economy starts collapsing with the Ruble possibly going to 1000 rubles to 1 USD and rapidly devaluing and Ukrainains still falling and Russians still stuck in the same front lines. and lost probably 500K men by that time.
    2
  139. hyperinflation will probably hit the Russians in 2025. as the Russian war fund runs out , currently its estmated to be 47 billion USD left in that fund.
    2
  140. true, I think Ukraine needs the following most importantly: Long range missles, capable ECM, defense anti aircraft and anti drone capabilities and western combat aircraft
    2
  141.  @jessehachey2732  and the Russians are the the gift that keeps on giving and giving and giving haha
    2
  142.  @blackberrythorns  haahha Russian bots have invaded
    2
  143. Mobiki are used by the Russian army not wagner, these guys are treated better than the wagner convicts better supplied and armed, however the Mobiki used by the Russian army are from non Russian ethnic areas of the Russian fed. the poorest eethnic areas with no political say in the Russian gov. in their case they are used to frontally attack Ukr positions and are husbanded by Chechen and VDV Spetsnaz troops from behind who will shoot anyone who retreats. However Ive seen va video of Russian mobiki from Buryat who refused to attack and complaining to their chechen handler that they were only only armed with Machineguns and they were going up against Urkainian tanks, and the Chechen officer was trying to negotiate with them so they can attack the Ukrs. In wagner, convicts dont negotiate , if they complain they get executed. The Russian army cant do that with Mobiki, however this is a bad situation for the Russians.
    2
  144. I think Putin well knows his situation and is super desperate to keep his regime alive , to get something out of this war and turn the Ukrainians to the negotiation table with him having the upper hand. That is why his health has been deteriorating even more recently, I think he has a bunch of doubles who have been standing in for him in public. and I think due to depression in realization of this current predicament is affecting his health badly.
    2
  145. 15 years of Russian military reform created several Russian cruise line sized oligarch yachts, while hollowing out the Russian army.
    2
  146. More like on drugs, from US police shooting videos Ive seen US criminals get shot several times with powerful 9mm hollow point rounds and still continue to attack the police. and the drugs being used are meth , crack and PCP(aka. Angel Dust), , probably also captagon. all these are easy and cheap to manufacture, and probably given to the convict wagner troops, hence you see them being shot but not falling. Of course these guys are walking dead men, since after the drugs wear out, they will die from blood lost and destroyed internal organs.
    2
  147. You can tell that Russia is losing this war and losing desperate...how???: 1. Russian propogandists are always threatening to nuke the west for this and that an they have red lines that will mean war with NATO, and yah NATO crossed those red lines and no war happened, this means Putin is scared of the west. 2. Russians may have gained on a tactical level dozens of Kilometers of land in the Donbass recently yep , they crow about capturing a town or village here and there, or hey how about that slag trash dump area near Bakhmut or Avdiivka. but it costs the Russians tens of thousands of casualties and hundreds of destroyed vehicles doing it. and the Ukrainians still retreat in good order to new lines of defense. suffering a lot less than the Russians. but on a strategic level the map has not really changed, the gain is infinitesimal. The Russians dont have the logistics the create a breakthrouh in Ukrainian lines and exploit it to cause the Ukrainians to collapse wholesale. The Ukrainians did it to the Russians in late 2022 in the Kharkov counteroffensive. where the Ukrainians caused a breakthrough in Russian lines near Kharkov and expoited it and collapsed the Russian lines, gaining thousands of Kilometers of recaptured Ukrainian territory , a whole Russian army collapsed(2nd GTD, 2nd GMRD and 11th army corps) which cultiminated at the recapture of Izyum Sept 17 2022 and the Ukrainians captured 450 Russians tanks and APCs in what Igor Girkin called the largest tank losses since the Battle of Kursk 1943, many Russian ran away stealing bicycles and cars and running back to Russia. The Russians have not been able to do the same to the Ukrainians despite doing far more attacks with larger amounts of men and tanks. 3, Russians are recruitjng thousands of convicts and foreign volunteers from third world countries. You only do this when you are desperate for manpower. 4. Russians are buying ammo and missles from North Korea, for Russia one of the largest weapons manufacturers in the world, this is humiliating and you only do this again when you are desperate. 5. Russians fielding tanks and miltary equipment from WW2 and the 50s and 60s.
    2
  148. my view now, PUtin is in regime survival mode. Putin knows he cannot conquer all of Ukraine or cause the collapse of the Kiev gov. so now Putin is trying to keep his minimal war goals which is Crimea and the Donbass. along with exhuasting the Ukrainians and its supporters.
    2
  149. the FSB were the ones who planned the terrorist attack in Moscow. So that the Russians can use that as cassus belli to declare a state of war as they are doing and mobilize much more Russians to fight in Ukraine, the war in Ukraine is a bloody stalemate and the Russians want to finish this war as soon as possible before 2025 at the best. since I think the Russians have deduced that biden will win in 2024 and the dems will gain control of the house and senate, USA will massively raise the aid to Ukraine. The Russian window to "win" this war will be lost by 2025. and when I say win for the Russians at the very least, the Russians end this war with the Putin regime solidly in control of Russia, the Russians remain in control of at least 30 percent or more of Ukraine esp. all of the Donbass. and Crimea. and the Russians are in a time clock since the longer the Russians are in this war , the Russian economy will degrade under the weight of war costs and sanctions, Putin hold on power will degrade in the light of failure to end the war in Ukraine with a Russian victory and mounting death toll not seen since the Great Patriotic war 1041-1945. in fact made even worse if Russia suffers major defeats in the battlefield and is forced to mobilize more men. The longer this war goes , all these factors I mentioned earlier will get worse and all come together to collapse the Putin regime. very similiar to how the regime of Czar Nicholas II collapsed in 1917. Perhaps like the prelude to the 1917 revolution , you gets massive strikes and protests occuring all over Russia esp. big in Moscow and St. Petersburg in the light of hyperinflation , rising food prices and the war. and the poor state of the Russian army which is suffering major defeats and losses in Ukraine . what will be the light to the gasoline which will cause the revolution? maybe like the 1917 revolution, orders to disperse the protests results in many deaths and causes a general uprising in the Russian army and security forces. that will be the end for Putin. When will this happen? maybe around 2027.
    2
  150. Yep I read that the Putin approached Hu Jintao in 2007 and asked Hu to team up with Russia to crash the USA economy by selling off US debts while the US was experiencing a economic meltdown. The Chinese were horrified instead they told the Americans during a visit to China by Henry Paulson US secretary of Treasury of hte plot. I think since then the Americans have been long trying to unseat Putin from power. and now when the opportunity presented itself in Feb 2022, Americans took advantage. to give some pay back to the Russians and oust Putin from power.
    2
  151. General Zaluzhnyi an excellent general in fact much better than his Russian counterparts. who most of them are morons on the level of the Soviet generals Pavlov and Budyonny , the only Russian general that I can say is good is General Surovikin but he got kicked out for being too good . Putin prefers morons to command his army. that is why Shoigu and garasimov are there. Heck the Russian army leadership is so shit even Prigozhin, a former hot dog seller, rapist, mugger and thug and convict is a better general than them.
    2
  152. Yes Putin is alreadyi shifting more of the Russian economy to a war economy, ive read currently 25 percent of hte Russian economy is devoted now to the war in Ukraine. As Putin gets more desperate, Putin will shift the Russian economy to a total war economy. This will be disastrous for Russia after the war is over since it will contribute to the economic collapse of Russia post war.
    2
  153. and the Russian army is so bad, that the USA is sending its old weapons to Ukraine, like the HMARs and MLRS missles are just expiring past its shelf life. the Cluster munitions the USA sent is from just expired old stock. and the Ukrainians are using those to defeat the Russian army. Its that embarassing for the Russian army, and the USA is not focusing on the war, USA industry has not yet revved up to supply Ukraine and its already causing the Russian massive problems. Putin is deathly afraid that if the USA and NATO get their act together, he is finished. If PUtin ever provoked NATO to war. the Russians would get kicked form Ukraine and Putin will be kicked out of power and probably lose his life. and monies.
    2
  154. as for the Russian nationalists yep , with the oligarchs and political figures forming their own PMCs private armies , this will really be bad after the war is over esp. with Putin gone and a Russian defeat coupled with political and economic chaos add to that the Russian army soldiers not paid , and the only one paying are the PMCs and there is a polititcal struggle for succession to the Russian leadership and add into the mix Russian ultranationalists, ethnic non Russian secessionists, criminals, warlords etc. also in the background no Russian central gov or a fragile central gov. with lots of weapons and lots of Russian ex military who know how to use them and angry at the Russian gov.
    2
  155. well Russia could well be the Germany of the 21st century that committs 2 major wars against its neighbours. in this case Ukraine being the target as what Germany did obsessed with defeating France and Russia in two world wars
    2
  156. I can see Lukashenko stepping down and blaming people for all his problems after putin is gone. I can see regime change in Georgia too.
    2
  157. the Ukrainians these days identify more with Poland and Europe rather than with Russia. After this war, Ukraine wants nothing to do with Russia.
    2
  158. not surprised Putin was former KGB with inbred paranoia, so not surprised he thinks this way.
    2
  159. well the economic damage goes both ways, true Ukraine is suffering some very strong economic damage and is kept alive thru Financial aid from USA and EU and allies but Russia is suffering massive economic damage too, due to the costs of the war, a Russian oligarch said that the Russians gov will run out of money by 2024. Also seems that a lot of Russian oil sales have not been paid to Russia since they were sold in the black market. I think by 2025, Russians will really feel the economic damage that has been done to it by sanctions since the start of the war in 2022 that is when Putin gets desperate to win. This economic damage will take decades and lots of foreign investments and end to sanctions to repair. and I dont think foreign investmetns will come to Russia even if this war ends. Also the oil prices will not remain that high forever. and I see a oil price crash in the next few years. This will strangle the Russian economy even more. I suspect that the Russian citizenry do not feel it since the Russian gov is preventing the true economic effects from belng felt by the populace but once the Russian gov is unable to do so, the Russian citiznery will be hit hard at a time of weakness. THis will result in massive unrest all across Russia.
    2
  160. well Post war, even if the Russians refuse to hand over their war criminals, I will not be surprised if many Russian war criminals suddenly fall from windows after the war, Ukrainian intelligence kill teams will be rife in Russia, and Russian gov military intel services are so corupt they will sell info for good USD.
    2
  161. This flexibility of command in western doctrine being used by the Ukrainians is key to the reason why the Ukrainians are able to hold off and even defeat the Russians who have firepower and numerical superiority
    2
  162. not only will 2024 be important to Russia but also the rest of hte world. a turning point in the Ukraine. war and probably the Gaza war too.
    2
  163. the Russians have not only lost 80 percent of their highly trained Spetsnaz SOF units but also many of their "elite" so called best of the best VDV, Marines , their pre war front line troops. what you have left are mobiks(newly mobilized troops) and Conscripts making the vast majority of the current Russian troops in deployment. the VDV Russian airborne units are only airborne in name only , and they have turned into Motorized infantry with no airborne training. Same can also be said for marines and Spetsnaz in name only but in reality made up of conscript mobik line infantry. So with the loss of these elite infantry, the Russians have now turned to meat tactics. and heavy reliance on Artillery .
    2
  164.  @Silver_Prussian  not all of them, have you seen their trenches, many are shit, make shift full of garbage and dead soldiers. Yah depends really which unit the Russians are serving in, Z convict trenches da shit, foreign recruits I ve seen some serving in nice trenches even given metal plated body armour before being missing in action haha. the more "elite" units or have a good influential commander who actually cares for their men, they have the good warm trenches and adequate winter gear.
    1
  165. ive heard Bortnikov is out and they replaced him with Aleskey Dyumin, probably since Bortnikov did not know what to do since Bortinkov is not a military man. but Dyumin is hahah.
    1
  166. Yes wagner has been battered at Bakhmut and they have been replaced by Russian VDV, 20th Guards Motorized rifle division and Shoigu's Patriot PMC troops. Wagner just like to take all the glory. while being in the rear. Russians have changed their strategy to blasting the Ukrs in bakhmut with artillery and TOS thermobarics. Ukrs counter with bobby trapping buildings luring Russians to the buildings then blowing them up.
    1
  167. this is just a taste of what is to come for Russia after thsi war is over. Imagine when there are no controls, a weak Russian gov and a weak Russian military and lots of PMCs gangs and militias. all vying for power.
    1
  168. as I see it, the longer Russia stays in this war , the more the Russian economy is hit and sinks. I think the real effects of the war will be after Putin is gone. like a spark has to happen to bring all the cards tumbling down like a successful military rebellion. with Putin gone ,Russia in disorder central authority shaky or non existent, the whole Russian economy will come crashing down with a massive weakening of the Ruble in the USD currency exchange rate. the collapse will be rapid. and at first hte Russians wont feel it but when suddenly the price of food goes up 10X and wages stay the same since there is no central authority and the crime rate explodes with bands of criminals former soldiers with miltiary grade weapons suddenly takes over your neighbourhood, well you know you are truelly fucked.
    1
  169. Putin thought the Ukrainian gov and military were very weak and will run at the first sign of trouble and he thought the war would be over in 3 days at worst 3 weeks, well he was very very wrong. Yep the war is now in its 3rd year and still going strong. and Putin is now faced witih an existential threat to his regime if he does not win in Ukraine and Ukraine has very much performed well beyond anyone's expectations.
    1
  170. the longer this war goes the end of Putin and Russia gets even worse. as they say the higher they go up and harder they come down.
    1
  171. I think the most pirvotal event in the war is the USA presidental elections of 2024. Putin is counting on anti Ukrainian elements of the US rep party to win the US elections. and I expect Putin to escalate this war in 2024 so that he tries to influence US voters and try to scare them to elect a Pro Peace USA pres. The escalation will include the use of Chemical weapons on the battlefield, moving Russian nukes around and doing more nuclear threat rhetorics and nuke tests. This might result in war jitters and possibly crash the US stock markets hard, which results in a recession in 2024. and that is the worse thing that can happen in a US elections cycle having a US economic recession happen during the year of US presidential elections. Putin will do anything to influence the outcome of the US elections. If a Pro Ukraine US pres. wins 2024, Putin will get even more desperate even with Chinese military support and probably order the use of nukes in 2025 to end the war in his favour, and I think that will be Putin's downfall. I think his own people will not only refuse the order but also isolate him from power and decision making. maybe even kill him. I think peace will come in 2025. with a total withdrawal from Ukraine by Russian forces, putting all the blame on Putin. and asking the west for financial aid and support to stave off Russian economic collapse as Russia slides into political and economic chaos. I think in the aftermath after this war is over. will be massive. the geopolitical face of the world will be signficantly affected similiar to the end of the Gulf war in 91 with a new world order. I think Xinping will not get a 4th term in fact , he might even be replaced during his term and replaced with a pro west Chinese leader. the Pro Russian leaders of Hungary , and Croatia will be replaced after the next elections. A massive stock market boom in 2025, I think a massve stock market crash in 2024 due to WW3 fears and a massive post war vicotry boom in 2025. Russia will have a decade long unrest stretching even into the 2030s. and there will vbe a low level civil war, as the new Russian gov. tries to take control of the Russian fed from armed groups. of ultranationalists to secessionists. Russia will be a geopolitical head ache for a decade or two to come after this war is over. and a great game in paticular for USA/NATO, China, Turkey etc. who wiill want to influence politics within the Russian fed for resource gain.
    1
  172. the Tucker interview proved to me that Putin is a ahole nationalist whackjob. yah like when Putin starts harping about, oh, you know 1K years ago this happened etc. etc. and goes on a long monologue on the reasons of the invasion, you know this guy is not all there in the head.
    1
  173. also Russian troops seem not to be really rotated out and kept at the front until they die. or desert. This keeps up hte low morale of the RUssian army. which is critical to their defeat in the war.
    1
  174. the economic storm will hit Russia hard after the war is over and Russia loses the war. its will be like the dam breaking , it will be swift sudden and violent. then it will result in a rapid Social chaos in Russia as the Russian economy collapses or near collapses and affects the average Russian as law and order collapses .
    1
  175.  @concernedrabbit9075  Yep true, and as said, the casualties in this war was not seen by Russia since WW2. and I dont think Russian society is ready to absorb WW2 like casualties, for Ukraine. the Russian motivation to fight and win this war and conquer Ukraine is not there. Unlike the WW2 generation.
    1
  176. estimate Russia has lost 50 percent of its convict troops which were deployed in Ukraine, more are coming however these days the Russians are force drafting convicts whether they want to serve or not. its said the survival rate for Russian convict soldiers is 5 percent. Russian convicts are being used to do WW1 stylie frontal attacks on Ukr positions, when these positions are revelated they get hit by Russian air and artillery, then another wave gets sent to take the position, all night attacks since the convicts dont have night vision, at night Russians use regular wagner troops. since they are well equipped with night vision equipment. These convict troops are drugged up and poorly armed, they dont even have anti tank weapons, they are given old rifles and some were found to have Chinese airsoft rifles. After these convicts run out, bet you they will start using Russian conscripts do do human wave attacks.
    1
  177. yah cause in those early days of the invasion, the moronic Russian military leaders predicated that the Ukraine war would be over soon within 1-2 weeks and Ukraine would surrender or at worst fight somewhat then retreat to Lvov. Nope Zelensky said I need bullets, stayed at Kiev despite being offered a helicopter ride out and the Ukrainians fought very hard much at the surprise of the Russians, who in the face of spirited organized Ukrainian resistance faltered and did not know how to deal with it except for mass shooting civlians. and the Russians still had it predicated they were fighting a weak Urkainian army right up until late 2022, until they were woken to the fact that they have a big chance of losing the war when they lost Kherson and large parts of Eastern Ukraine. Now with the failure of the Russian winter offensive, Russians are now in fear of the Ukrainian military and want to end the war ASAP. when they still hold substantial amounts of Ukrainian territory. I think the Russians well know they will not last more than one to two more year of this conflict, I think now Putin is trying to hold on until the USA presidential elections are finished. if a Pro Ukraine pres. is elected to the white house. I tihnk Putin will have no more options to go back on. and may well concede the war as lost.
    1
  178. russians want stability, the current events questions the stability of the Putin regime. and it will get worse when the Russians get major defeats in the Ukraine war that will trigger another bigger more aggressive rebellion , this time it will reach moscow.
    1
  179. Zelensky is the churchill of the 21st century, Putin is hitler/saddam hussein 2.0. There will be monuments and streets named after Zelensky, Putin nothng but insults , his name among future Russians will be an insult.
    1
  180. what transpired between Blinken and lavroff, probably Lavroff asking the best whore houses and bars in new york. and Lavroff asking Blinken for defection options when Putin goes.
    1
  181. the Black sea is literally turning black with Russkie oil You can all thank the Russians for this, and in the future Russians vacationing in the Crimea, will be so tough they will love bathing in crude oil. works wonders for the skin you knows Hhahaah
    1
  182. Russian way of war is not mathematics nad chess, its wishful thinking and Putin micromanagement
    1
  183. and the final shock will be Kamala winning 2024 and the USA massively upping the military aid to Ukraine in 2025, that will be the final nail in the coffin for Russia's war in Ukraine. I think the war will end in 2025 with a palace coup with teh elites cutting their losses and throwing Putin from power. I thought it might be 2026, but due to this Kursk offensive 2025 is looking to the be year the war ends.
    1
  184. well Putin wil have to assasinate Prigozhin or in the next rebellion he becomes a unifying leader.
    1
  185. Chinese and Nepali Indian volunteers, many are now fertilizer for the fields on Ukraine.
    1
  186. I think Putin wil hang on until the results of the US presidential elections are in. 2024 will be a pivotal year in the war, in fact, I think Putin will do anything to influence the US 2024 elections to his favour, including escalating in 2024 with the mass use of chemical weapons, conducting nuke tests near Ukraine, moving around his nukes in a provocative way or even doing big military excercise in the border with NATO. and really increasing the war rhetoric trying to scare the US voters into voting in a peace president. I expect Putin will try to affect the markets by creating so much fear the stock markets crash hard and cause a recession during the election year of 2024, and having a recession esp. during the election year can spell disaster for the Biden admin seeking reelection in 2024.
    1
  187. Ive heard a rumor that Putin since late 2022 has been trying to convince Kim to send North Korean soldiers to Ukraine but North Koreans demands are big like 2K USD at least per NK soldier to be paid in USD. Russians must equipped the NOrth Koreans and equip them with the latest equipment, and the NK troops be under North Korean military command. seperate from the Russians.
    1
  188. well if I were trump I would look at it like this: I made a deal with putin , he gives me billions of USD to get me nominated by the Rep party essentially bribing the Rep party through lobbies and super pacs. OK will honor my end of the deal which probably means as they agreed before the elections that I, Trump will lift all sanctions on Russia, stop supplying Ukraine with monetary aid and weapons, also unfreeze all assets of the Russians in western banks. and presure the Ukrainians to be a puppet of the Russians, and reduce the size of their miltiary and disarm However Upon becoming Pres. Trump realizes the he has the Russians over the barrell, also it is in his best interest to preserve the Ukrainians as a strong buffer vs. the Russians plus with the massive hundreds of billions of USD in reconstruction money, him and his friends can make a LOT of money from Ukraine's reconstruction, also Trump does not want to piss off the US military industrial complex since the USA military companies are making a LOT of money with the Ukraine war selling weapons to Ukraine(with the US gov paying for it). Also Trump does not want to piss off powerful people in the US gov and military if they let Russians get everything they want with Ukraine. It is in the best interest of the Americans to see a much weakened Russia with Putin preferrably out of power. but with Russia not in civil war. So leaving Putin in power until a strong Russian leader can be found to replace him is much preferrable , USA does not want civil war in Russia. From what I hear, Putin got really pissed off at Trump from that Election day phone call. That putin will not get all he wants, from what I hear the most the Russians will get is a armistice where the war stops at the line of control for both sides. Ukraine does not get NATO or EU membership. However NATO and UN troops will be stationed at the lines of contact between Russian and Ukraine to prevent the breaking of the armistice. No USA troops will be involved. however any attack on these peacekeeping troops will be considered an act of war on NATO. Ukraine is allowed sovereighnity, Zelensky stays in office, and Ukraine has the right to rebuild and reform its military in any way it wants. and the lifting of all sanctions on Russia and unfreezing of Russian assets is conditional in the Russians accepting the armistice. If the Russians do not accept the terms of armistice, then USA will continue to aid Ukraine and possibly give more weapons to ukraine and add sanctions ont he Russians. Yep , I think Putin is probably heavy with rage at being backstabbed by Trump in the business deal , but that is what trump does when he has enough leverage on his business partner to safely swindle him or her. in a deal with little to no repercussions. That is why the Russians showed naked pictures of melania in RT, and denied the phone call with trump. Musk is sort of working independent of Trump and trying to influence Ukraine's allies in Europe to vote for their far right parties, I think at the behest of Moscow. Musk is in it for himself having been paid a lot of money by the Russians and Musk also has a lot of factories in China, so the Chinese are threatening him in that regard. I think Putin and Musk will probably break with each other due to this.
    1
  189.  @sshumkaer  oh yah even worse a trumpist putin apologist sorry Biden will win this year.
    1
  190.  @sshumkaer  highly doubt that
    1
  191. I find it interesting the Russian mil bloggers are warning that there is a big build up of Ukrainian troops near Bakhmut possibly ready for an offensive. If I know the Ukrainians, this might be used as a ruse to pull in Russian reserves to bakhmut then the Ukrainians attack a soft spot somewhere else like say southern Kherson. that front is awfully quiet(except for Russian and Ukrainian artillery duels) but the Russians think the Dniepr is unbreachable.
    1
  192. the strategy is very simple as biden says as long as it takes in short the only way Ukraine will win is to do attrition vs. Russia. Many misconceptions on that Russia is the master of attrition , in this war its not , yes they may have a bit bigger economy and population and military compared to Ukraine but the Russians are on a time limit. Their national wealth fund is set to run out in 2025, even shoigu himself stated they can support the war until 2025. and I think the Russian economy will warp badly if the war goes past 2025. the war is already costing from 400 mil to 1 bil usd every day for the russians. and analysts say the Russian cold war stocks of tanks and apcs will run out by late 2025 and into 2026. this will result in the russian production and refurbishment of tanks and apcs to be cut by 2/3s. Russians will have a tank shortage. this will be very detrimental to the russian ability to fight. true the ukrs are on the backfoot now but the front line despite Russian succcesses in the battlefield has not really changed, on a strategic scale the Russians have not reaLLY expanded from the 20 percent they control and when biden wins this year 2025 and onwards will be horrible years for the russians. russians have to win by 2025 or its the point of no return. Sure the Russians may get a korean war style win armistice with russia getting control of the 20 to whatever percent of Ukraine but the russian economy and military will be so ruined and their economy in military mode and cant switch over to civlian due to lack of western investments , their economy will implode within a decade of the end of the war. and whatever territory they conquered and get to keep in ukraine they have to repair and pacify. that would cost hundreds of billions of usd. I can see a ciivl war happening in russia or some sort of time of trouble 2.0 whether russia loses or "wins" this war.
    1
  193. yep Ukraine is also starting with drone swarms, as its recently launched hundreds of drones in a massive attack on Russian refiniries airbases etc. in Russia and Crimea. As the war goes drone swarms will be increasingly common on both sides., Yep both sides will be ramping up their cheapo drone productions and of course who will benefit, China will get lots of dinero for this as both sides by drones and spare parts from it and China has cheapo labour. I can see NATO farming out drone production to allied and friendly third world nations like the Philippines, Mexico, etc. for cheapo drone manufacture. to support the Ukrainians in outproducing the Russians. That is also another reason why both sides have not deployed a lot of their tanks to the battlefield since these can easilly be destroyed by drones these days and its becoming a infantry intensive war.
    1
  194. well the Russian military doctrine is the best defense is an offence. constant offensives is the best defense. and also their scaling up is that they probably know 2024 is a very important year due to the Russian and USA elections coming in the same year. and they want to get hte upper hand before certain events force their decisions.
    1
  195. Russians civilians who are naive about this war, who do not want to know or who dont know how bad is it for Russian soldiers at the front, when the war is over and these guys come back in massive numbers, the shit will hit the fan, they will experience first hand , they will get a taste on teh brutality of teh Ukraine war, they will experience it in very violent crime waves. Heck not surprised in the disorder these guys will use their skills to gain power, in local areas, become warlords and become the law in Russia esp. in the countryside as law and order collapses . This will also illicit millions of Russian refugees to flood Europe, and among those refugees will be Russian veterans, Im not surpirsed if they also contribute to high crime rates in Europe and other neighbouring nations to Russia. Im not surprised if a sizable number of these vets opt to refugee to the EU. and claim to be political victims. Also they will cause disorder in Ukraine as many will probably not leave and try to blend in with the local populations , the Ukrainians will probably brutalize them too. It will be a mess.
    1
  196. in the USSR post stalin there was a three way fight for influence KGB vs. Communist party vs. GRU(Soviet armed forces). After the dissolution of the USSR it was a fight between the FSB vs. the GRU. After Putin the FSB won and is dominant and the GRU is suborned to the FSB. if Russia loses this war, it will all be up in the air. I think the FSB will lose a lot of its power and you will see the rise of other forces. possibly the oligarchs and the resurgence of Russian army GRU influence.
    1
  197. that is why the Russian gov survived after the debacle of the 1st chechen war. the Russian economy was growing , and was stable and did not collapse and USA and her allies still kept on trading with it and giving economic help. After the ukraine war is over, I can see Russian economy imploding but the west will probably prop it up since they cannot afford Russia going into civil war.
    1
  198. A source told me the Moscow black market rate to buy USD is 400 rubles to 1 USD, to sell USD its 50 rubles to 1 USD hahah, the bank rates went to 200 rubles to 1 USD LOL. Russian economy is being artifically being propped up. with the Russians using its currency reserves to prop up the currency however long term it will be worse as the Russians run out of their currency reserves.
    1
  199.  @klaasvakie  you Russian bot is a boat load of bs hahahaha
    1
  200.  @SiliconCurtain  I want putin kaput ASAP, the shorter his life is, the shorter this war is potentially
    1
  201. I think it will take decades after the war, at least two decades, of bloody brutal civil war(or maybe not even civil war but bad political economic social chaos). Russian prestige and pride rock bottom into the toilet, for the Russians to come around and become a proper European state. Not surprsied you might even have UN or even NATO troops deployed in Russia for peace keeping.
    1
  202. those kids who are studying to be soldiers, will become new future Russian PMC recruits or use their skills as criminals or they refugee out of Europe and forget about their training.
    1
  203. I think the breaking poiint for this war would be the results of the 2024 USA elections I think this would determine the final outcome of this war. If Biden is reelected, and even worse the demos get a majority in congress and senate, holy crap, this will be the breaking point that the elites will remove Putin, his double patrushev etc. from power since the war is lost and they want to salvage whatever is left of their economy and get normal relations with the west again, I predict this would be an intial withdrawal from Urkaine except for the crimea which will be negotiated, I think the Russians will withdraw from Crimea later. in exchange for total lifting of sanctions. and normalized relations with the west and possibly billions of USD in economic aid.
    1
  204.  @uzstiklo7141  from what Soviet vetrs of the Afghan war told me, many of the soldiers sent were from the Baltics, the Central Asian Caucasus and Far East states. The Baltics were considered by the Soviet leadership having questionable loyalty hence many were sent to Afghanistan. THe Russians , Ukrainians , Belorussians , the three main political states of the USSR got the nice quiet jobs of being sent to East Germany and other warsaw pact states facing NATO.
    1
  205. I think Russia still believes Article 5 will deter it from invading Europe. that is why Putin is just threatening and not invading, all talk no walk. Russian army cant even win in Ukraine what more if it invades NATO Europe. Putin does not want to be the main lead starring role in a remake of Desert Storm 2.0 with Putin playing Saddam Hussein. I do however suspect all this western media rhetoric about war with Russia is to deter the Russians and respond to Russian threats, that is how you deal with Russia.
    1
  206. this has been going on before the war in Ukraine started, Russia has been heavilly funding the far right and far left groups in the west, Now Putin has been pulling out the IOUs and get them in action.
    1
  207. these days bet you Russian gov officials are building up money bags in overseas bank accounts so they can run away when things go crazy
    1
  208. As I said many a time before, this war's final result is dependent on who wins the 2024 USA elections. If Kamala wins, Ukraine at least will come out on top and at the very least will have the upper hand in the final negotiations to end the war, Also the Russian war machine I think will experience significant problems by 2026 with vehicle and even ammo shortages meanwhile the Ukrainians will greatly benefit from more increased USA and allied military aid, USA and NATO artillery ammo production will come into play signifincatly by 2025 for example. I think Ukraine will probably be able to even able to match and surpass Russian in the artillery arena by 2026. All these will be disastrous for the Russians. and help end the war to Ukraine's favor
    1
  209.  @СергейСуровикин-н9к  sorry the Russians are also running out.
    1
  210. I think the Russian army leadership finally put its foot down and demanded to Putin to hobble Prigozhin or else, Putin had to agree with his military . meanwhile kadyrov and prigo did not even attend the Putin's big speech a few days ago. Kadyrov also stated he is forming his own private army. The base of a future Russian civil war is forming up. and seems Putin is losing political power from all this infighting. and if you look at the audience during his speech, most of them looked like they did not want to be in the room, like a bunch were sleeping, rolling their eyes, looked very unhappy, heck even Lavrov looked like he did not want to be there.
    1
  211. when you deal with Putin it has to be from a position of strength, atl east with overwhelming poltical economic and military strength. Putin only respects force back up with military power. and Putin will never give up he will try to compromise to get at least something out of it and he will see it as a win. and he has a low opinion of the west. However in this case USA does not want Putin in power anymore he has become a grave geopolitical threat. and Putin still thinks he can compromise his way out of this war and still retain power. wont happen, this war will be Putin's death blow.
    1
  212. Belousov made an impact, he started deploying lots of Soviet loaf vans UAZ 452 at the battlefield to be used as troop transport hahaha not seen since the mid 80s hahah.
    1
  213. I have a strong feeling the USA dems now want to end the war on Ukraine's terms , get rid of Putin and get someone in power who the west can do business with, Putin has become to unreliable to deal with. that is before the 2028 USA elections where the reps will most probably come to power.
    1
  214. yah they fear the 90s coming back but after Putin is gone, the 90s will come back on steroids. civil war revolution it will make the 90s Russia look very stable. and safe and orderly.
    1
  215.  @davidlium9338  hahah yes and no, I was in Manila in 85-86, at the time , did not like Pres. Marcos at all, and the I was caught up in the protests, was in downtown Manila watching movies in the cinema while the protests were happening so why not participate then after I get tear gassed go watch Terminator or a Django rerun later. in 86 I really went out to march in EDSA and it was like a party atmosphere. In Hong KOng I again got caught up in the protests that one time. haha.
    1
  216.  @thinker646  Yes Putin will be a prime example in history, heck bet you Leonardo Di Caprio will play Putin in a future movie LOL>
    1
  217. the Russians have been trying to destroy the Ukrainian energy infrastructure for more than a year now, nope not happening. and the Russians are forced to buy North Korean missles and Iranian drones since they ran out of their own stock.
    1
  218. I think the doubles know they are on borrowed time since he can be killed anytime if his usefullness is done and gone. I think the story of the doubles is fascinating, heck just like the Saddam doubles coming out after the Iraq war, their story will also be told, probably a movie made
    1
  219. I predict Argentina will be given a massive economic boost by the western powers over Brazil, Brazil will soon be experiencing economic problems after the war is over, blame Lula for your woes.
    1
  220. and looks like Trump may not be allowed to run in 2024, and I think if he wins the GOP nomination he will lose to Biden, at this point, the Ukr war is lost to Russia.
    1
  221.  @SiliconCurtain  no problem my wordage was wrong I should have said for instead of to.
    1
  222. a good example is this moron, the Russian army officer Igor Mangushev went onstage and bragged about torturing and killing ukrainian soldiers and displayed a skull of the Ukr soldier onstage and on social media in August 2022 was assasinated in a roadside ambush in Feb 2023.
    1
  223. yep the Russian war machine wheels started falling off. in early 2024 when the Russians started buying lots of North Korean missles and arty ammo.
    1
  224. that is why wild berries and the bigger businesses are forming their own PMCs to protect themselves from criminal and gov thugs.
    1
  225. when Russia goes into civil war, Georgian dream party will be gone, and its leader in prison. Georgia will get EU and NATO membership.
    1
  226. and Putin is really loathe to mobilize , he does not want to see a repeat of the late 2022 mobilization, most of the morons who signed up are now casualties.
    1
  227. if most of what Russia has in the fight is in Ukraine and Russia literally had nothing in Russia seeing how easilly how wagner advanced to Moscow. and the Ukrainians are doing a slow but sure offensive and Russians steadilly losing ground, the Russian military must really be in bad shape. So imagine in this kind of political environmeent the Ukrainians inflict a big defeat of the Russians in Ukraine and Putin has to mobilize more troops , this will cause a rebellion. however without prigozhin, well, the rebellion might be more decentralized. but this will cause chaos in Russia.
    1
  228. I think Russia in the future will become a Euro centric democratic liberal country but after a long bloody civil war where Russia loses 25 percent of its terrritory to secession, a war which cleanses the old USSR , start from year zero, and adopt western European style liberal democratic values and reform everything, the economy , the gov , society top to bottom.
    1
  229.  @martstam2016  however what you have in the Ukraine war is Russia having a GDP 10X that of UKraine, a military that has 10X the firepower vs. Ukraine, and 5X the population. land mass Russia is much bigger than Ukraine. so by all accounts, Russia should have beaten Ukraine conventionally in at most a year, but Ukraine has resistend and stalemated Russia for nearly 3 years now inflicting nearly 700K casualties and tens of thousands of destroyed military vehicles, Ukraine has sunk dozens of Russian ships despite not having a navy. and Ukraine is even bombing the Russian mainland with impunity even hitting Moscow ith drones that the so called vaunted Russian air defenses cannot shoot down. Also Russian military is 85 percent committed to Ukraine and its so bad the Russians got a large chunk of their territory seized by the Ukrainians in a week and 3 months now they cant kick them out and are calling the NOrht Koreans for help. Its that bad and embarassing.
    1
  230.  @martstam2016  well comparabvle as to the capabilities on both sides, yah the Ukrainian diaspora they like to cheer on the sidelines not come home to fight. Same with the RUssians, RUssian diaspora never came back at all to fight so the RUssians got volunteers from poor nations to be suckers to be meat .
    1
  231. I have a feeling that Russia will get massive GREAT GAME KARMA in the future, in fact, Russia and GB played the great game on Central Asia Afghanistan, well I predict Russia will become a great game between USA and China after the war is over and Putin is gone.
    1
  232. in this war Russian generals have simply been the worst , comparable to teh worst Soviet generals of WW2, like Budyonny and Pavlov. total incompetents. a few have been competent but nothing on the level of good generals like the Ukrainians have.
    1
  233.  @speckgens  More Russian propoganda, hey if the west and Ukrainians are lacking the will to fight so why is Russia still stuck in trying to hold on to 20 percent of Ukraine it conquered in 2022. now down from 40 percent hahaah. and lost 350K men so far hahahaha
    1
  234. yes the SU-35s getting shot down is bad for future arms sales, heck not surprised if in the future China makes improved copies. and Im not surprised if the Russians are still using the SU-35s as their most advanced fighter well into the 2070s. hahah(well the Russians are still using the SU-24s & 25s as an example). since the Russians will not really be rebuilding their armed forces after this war is over focused on economic recovery. (or economic survival). Heck Im not surpirsed if the Russians will be buying Chinese warplanes in the future , something developed from Russian scientists hired by the CHinese since there is no money by teh post putin Russian gov.
    1
  235. my view after Russia loses this war and putin is gone there will be a period of economic social and political chaos. the new Russia that will come out will be a Russia with a weak oligarch controlled moscow gov and Russian army and the Russian provinces having strong autonomy and semi self rule. The Real power in Russia will be the oligarchs and their PMCs, in fact PMCs will be numerous in Russia and they will be the real military of Russia. Oligarchs will never allow someone like Putin to rule the country. Also Russia will be more of an association rather than a federation. and Russia will be a geopolitical great game between USA and China as both try to influence political factions, oligarchs and provincial governments. Russia will still be together technically but it will be a geopolitical mess.
    1
  236. After this war is over, you will probably have a big African refugee population in Russia and Belarus. yep esp. when Russia civil wars. it will be an interesting mix.
    1
  237.  @sanityshorror  Really??? so why do the people of eastern Ukraine fight hard vs. the Russians, hey so far 800K casualties in 3 years of war, and the Russians cannot even take Eastern Ukraine.
    1
  238.  @sanityshorror  whatever bot propogandist you live in 2025 so you time is much wasted, go peddle your Pro Russkie propoganda somewhere else.
    1
  239.  @i1-L22Belarus  the guy is a bot, bullshit artist. useless talking to him
    1
  240. and I think he was appointed since the war is really badly impacting the Russian economy. and the real reason why Shoigu was fired to keep shoigu on the leash and lessen his power. and Berlusov is a perfect yes man nobody who putin can control much more easilly than Shoigu
    1
  241.  @brianbozo2447  LOL
    1
  242. my reply to Andreas, the Russian people have not felt the economic impact of the war, yet, when they do, they will rebel.
    1
  243. also besides sinking the Russian black sea fleet, the Ukrainians have been bombing Russian air naval bases, oil refiniries in Russia, with drones with IMPUNITY....where is the vaunted Russians air defenses???? let me guess all sent to Ukraine or used as cruise missles by the Russians haha.
    1
  244.  @ned900  yep I was old enough to remember the KGB I remember I was in the Cosmos hotel Moscow in 81, saw all these suppoed Russian civilians in the lobby suddenly jump up and confront a local Russian who went thru the front lobby door. Cosmos hotel moscow as I recall the only 5 star hotel in moscow in the late 70s early 80s and the only hotel where foreigners were allowed gto stay iin with KGB minders and probably bugged hotel room. HOwever as I said, the GRU is a seperate intel dept and at times rivalled with the KGB and the NKVD. GRU is not so well known and they control or are controlled by the Russian army chief of staff and the GRU controls the Russian army's spetsnaz units.
    1
  245. when the Ukrs take Crimea, they will probably deport all Russian citizens back to Russia. and fill Crimea with Ukrainians.
    1
  246. after this war is over, Putin is going to be super scrutinized by historians, I predict future Russian historians will compare him to hitler. yah Putin's legacy is shit, he wanted to be compared to Peter the Great now he will be compared to hitler.
    1
  247. I think the Russian elites will be critically shaken by a Kamala harris win in 2024 and even worse if the dems sweep the house and senate. I predict by 2025 the Russian elites will be sharpening their knives plannign to remove Putin. Cut their losses. Meanwhile I think Putin will want to do an all out offensive to try to force the Ukrainains into an armistice in 2025 before increased US and allied aid to Ukraine comes to fore. Not to mention an major increased attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and ammo dumps by Ukrainian drone swarms. and I predict it will be even worse for the Russians in 2025. I think Putin will try to knock out the Ukrainain will to fight in 2025. probably some sort of mobilization if that fails esp if it fails badly, Putin will be gone in 2026.
    1
  248. well I do predict after Putin is gone and Russia loses the war in Ukraine the 90s will be back with a vengeance on Russian, 90s on steroids with Oligarchs backed up by PMCs controlling the Russian gov military and economy. This time the Oligarchs hold on power will be steel clad backed up by their private armies something that was not present in the 90s. and they will make sure no one like Putin ever comes to power again, the Russia will be a corrupt third world failed state in Europe for decades to come. I dont think there will be a civil war since the Oligarchs will probably cooperate with each other , but they will play games of influence , money , assassinations and maybe even some military clashes to control Russias economy , natural resources and politics, and the USA and China will play games in this environment to influence the oligarchs.
    1
  249.  @oldernu1250  Yep the upcoming Russian civl war will be a MESS, multi faction civil war similiar to the 1917 to 1922 civil war, with various oligarch private armies or coalitions of them vs. secessionists, vs. nationalists, vs. warlord/bandits vs. liberal democrats etc. When you have Russian oligarchs forming their own PMCs, like wagner, Patriot, Gazoprom(yes they just formed their own PMC) etc. and Putin is gone and no strong leader to replace him what happens next in a battle for succession, and in the political chaos secessionists like Chechens will take advantage.
    1
  250. yep when the FSB is being given military command , you know the Russians are losing the war, getting desperate.
    1
  251. the more people the Russians mobilzie the more monies they spend the more it hits the economy.
    1
  252. the Americans are trying to balance things in Ukraine, I dont think the Americans want Ukraine to win too quickly , the USA wants the Russians to grind their military to oblivion in Ukraine and in the long run, Putin gets removed from power and a moderate pro western Russian leadership takes over smoothly and its back to business with the difference that the west has the driver's seat in Moscow. with a much weakened Russia. All this without the Russians using nukes or doing WW3 with NATO.
    1
  253. I think the Ukr backed Russian insurgent army has been creating more trouble recently you dont really hear anything about it except that the Russians in the past few days have beeen heavilly bombarding Sumy Ukraine , one of hte main bases of the Russian insurgent army. hmmm...maybe a renewed offesnive by the Russian army to finally get rid of this army.
    1
  254.  @SiliconCurtain  Yep as said earlier, Russia will be a massive geopolitical problem after the war is over. Like China of the 1920s in civil war and under warlord rule.
    1
  255. well the Russians have learned painfully from their disastrous defence near Kharkov. and their defensive strategy are blocking forces of entrenched Russian infantry, and massive numbers of mobile reserves who are far in the rear who respond and counterattack to any breaches of the Russian lines by Ukrainians. as shown in teh recent Ukrainian probes of Russian lines. Also seems Russian air and artillery are used to support the Russian counterattacks. Also the Russians blew up the dam, near the nuke plant, in order to flood the Dniepr and prevent a Ukrainian crossing of the river.
    1
  256. well the Russian invasion was a boon to the west as it allowed them to trap Russia is a bloody war that will eventually pull Russian power down significantly, in fact, its a bit better than Ukraine performed very well, and held up and stalemated the Russians in a attritional conventional war which is much better than a guerilla war, since a attritional conventional war does a lot more damage to a country's economy military and political stability in a shorter amount of time . This war has been a catastrophe for Russia. Even if Putin manages to get out of it with his regime intact, his army economy and political stability will be significantly weakened by the war.
    1
  257. Russian politics is really black comedy, if all this was true, it would make a very excellent movie hahahaah
    1
  258. and there is even a civil war within the Russian ultra nationlist mil blogger commnity with a bunch supporting Prigozhin fighting with anti Prigo critics like Igor Girkin.
    1
  259. I can see Putin ordering the use of nukes which leads his own people to depose him,
    1
  260. as for the moron Russian minister who said to invade Uzbekistan, not surprised he will fall from the window after the war.
    1
  261. I think the oligarchs getting bumped off in large numbers in Russia can also mean Russian is cleaning house, getting rid of people who gave information to Foreign intel agencies, the Russian gov and military is so corrupt to the point anything has a price, I think intelligence on Russian gov and militarhy is so leaky that the US gov. knew the invasion date when many Russian generals did not. Also I think many oligarchs gave the info freely since they were really opposed to the war.
    1
  262. I think Ukrainianian deserters are much rare than their Russian counterparts , if they escape to Europe they get deported back to Ukraine, it will be funny if these deserters run to Russia then get drafted in the Russian army.
    1
  263. and all this will not end well for Putin and he will probably drag Russia down with him. Russia will have to deal with the TIme of Troubles 2.0 after he dies and the war ends. It will be a disaster for Russia comparable to 1917. Putin will be blamed for all this by his own people. Putin wanted to be compared to Peter the great, he will be compared to Nicholas II, Ivan the Terrible and hitler. his legacy will be shit, his wealth and family probably gone. the Putin name will be an embarassment and much hated , Russian prestige down the toilet, and the Russian federation will probably be significantly smaller. with large parts of it breaking up and becoming new countries. and the former Russian Fed will be a great game of influence fought between USA and China.
    1
  264. and Bakhmut caused Prigozhin to go apeshit and try to overthrow Putin , yep if the so called Russian "victories" like Bakhmut keep on going, well you will have Prigozhin 2.0 happen again in the future but this time it will be successful.
    1
  265.  @RodrickLionheart  I find it very amusing it took you this long to answer to 2 words hmmmm....
    1
  266.  @SarahMould  yes while Putin can place Russia on a war footing, it will really adversely affect his public support. I dont think Russians want to go to a stalinist North Korea style economy again.
    1
  267. Yep Plus nto only those Russian politicos who have stepped out of the allowed roles before the war and Putin not having a valid successor but also all those oligarchs, military leaders and politicos forming their own PMCs and private armies, yep after Putin is gone , suceession will be determine with the force of arms by these PMCs and we have word for that its called CIVIL WAR.
    1
  268.  @sammenter1  they amuse me when they swarm at me
    1
  269.  @SiliconCurtain  yep seems like it since WW2. They always seem to refer back to the Great patriotic war or the Fall of the Soviet union.
    1
  270. how about this thought how about the real Putin is dead, died in Oct 2023 the rumors were correct, and the Putin you see running around are all doubles. and that is why Boris is saying what he is saying since he knows or believes that rumors that the real Putin is dead, and he can do it. and I think he has some powerful backers behind him. The girl was not allowed to run since she has no strong backers behind her, and she is for real. Boris on the other hand will be a good puppet of the elites. I think the Putin is dead scenario is correct, Putin may still win the elections(the only time I know hof where a dead guy won an presidential election LOL) and Boris has made a name for himself in the elections that he can be a viable future successor to Putin. They are waiting and seeing how the US elections turn out. If Biden wins, well the Rusians will be looking for a way out, declare putin dead end the war and withdraw from Ukraine, in exchange for lifting of all sanctions and normalized relations with the west. Boris is being positioned to be a future leader of Russia by his backers. So the elites can have a viable puppet to control.
    1
  271.  @j.dunlop8295 moist of the Russian offiers performed like shit, the competent ones like Surovikin got kicked out. Heck its so bad even Prigozhin who does not really have military experience was a better general(more like better manager) than most of the Russian army generals its that bad.
    1
  272. also Feb 24 will be a day of mourning and embarassment for future Russians, the embarassment may be so great as to eclipse their pride in their achievements in the great patriotic war. Future Russians will curse and blame Putin for all their misfortunes.
    1
  273. I can see Belova the Russian child thief either fall from a window shortly after Putin is gone, or get arrested go to the hague and do Milosovich 2.0 die of poison in a Hague jail cell.
    1
  274. I think after this war is over Russia will turn inward, and focus on domestic problems which will be a LOT. I think the only threatening stuff comign from Russia after the war is over are the millions of refugees running away from Russia , along with Russia becoming a failed narco state. with criminals both Russian and foreign using Russia as a base of operations. also with the collapse of law and order in Russia, you might see the Black sea becoming plagued by Russian pirates. But also the foreign powers will be meddling in Russian affairs, and I think the Ukrainians will also be meddling in Russian affairs after the war is over, supporting their favored political military faction. and heck I can see the Ukrainians actualy doing limited military actions invading Russian terrritory to suppress bandits etc. even after the war is over.
    1
  275. The current reason of Putin in this war is not to conquer all of europe or dethrone the USA world order but to do political regime survival. all that stupid mouthing off whackjob propoganda about nuking everyone is bullshit , just to scare everyone , or as we call it in Vancouver bar scene, peacocking. Like to show off but fails badly when the action happens for real.
    1
  276. The Russians think they understand the west, they dont, they have severely underestimated Biden, Zelensky and NATO and their resolve they think we are weak, hahahha, it shows in reality who is really weak. haah.
    1
  277.  @klaasvakie  WTF are you smoking???? hjahhhahahahha
    1
  278. yep its losing the war lets see the reasons: 1. Russia's performance in 2024 is a D, less than satifactory, Russians throughout 2024 captured land area in UKraine 1 percent the country , the size of Luxembourg or Rhode Island New York while suffering 400K casualties. The front has not changed much. and the Russians suffered massive casualties roughly around 3 times more on avearage than the Ukrainians. and the Ukrainians are still fighting hard and have not collapsed. the Russians have not inflicted a strategic operational defeat on the Ukrainains. 2. Ukraine's Kursk offensive captured an area the size of Los angeles in two weeks. in 5 months the Russians recaptured roughly half that territory or an area the size of Denver CO. while suffering 40K casualties. The Ukrainians are still fighting hard and have done counteroffensives, also the Russians had to beg the NOrth Koreans for help to try to evict the Ukrainians from Kursk. a month now after North Korean troop deployments and they reportedly suffered 4K casualties. 3. Ukrainians are drone and missle bombing Russian oil refiniries, ammo depots and factories in Russia itself and the so called vaunted Russian air defense systems seemlingly cannot shoot down Ukrainian drones, 4. Russian economy is starting to break, rising food prices, high inflation rates, 5. Ukrainians significnatly helped Syrian rebels oust Assad and crucial Russian ally. 6. Reportedly 60 percent of Russian artillery ammo and 30 percent of Russian missles are north korean made. and of all this, Russian elites are reportedly mad at Putin with many Russian military leaders wanting to escalate the war even further with a general mobilizaiton of the populace . If Putin does a general mobilization and war is still a bloody stalemate, that will be the beginning of the end for Putin, just like the Czar Nicholas II of Russia back in 1917 lost his crown due to a failed unpopular war.
    1
  279. well I think the western view now is to weaken Russia very much to the point that it does not become a military threat to its neighbours. and Russia is doing that in Ukraine. Its military is being ground down. with massive casualties equipment losses and Economic disruption. Russia will become a pariah state when it uses WMDs in Ukraine.
    1
  280. well in the 90s Putin was also out int he street himself, he lost his KGB job and had to become a St. Petersburg Taxi cab driver ferrying hookers to customers, Prigozhin used to be a robber and rapist, and ex convict. who would havet thunk 30 years later those two would become strong threats to teh USA and their allies.k
    1
  281. I think all this western delays is on purpose its for Ukraine not to win too fast and for the Russians to be embroiled in this war, for as long as possible, the western goal is for the Russians to be stuck in this war doing the same thing its been doing since the longer Russia is in this war, the more its economy is destroyed, the west wants the Russian economy to be kaput its military much diminished and Putin gone so that Russia will not only be cancelled as a threat to the west but also Russia to be more easilly controlled and influenced by the west
    1
  282. I can see EU and NATO expanding to Georgia. but by that time Russia will be in turmoil unrest civil war, I can see Russia becoming part of EU NATO in 50 years haha.
    1
  283.  @shooster5884  Im thinking China does not annex Russian territory but makes a bunc of former Russian puppet states all under Beijijng's ecnomic and political control, heck even have Chinese bases in them too. NATO I dont think will colonize anyone , you will just have a bunch of Russian euro states that allies with them from time to time.
    1
  284. the other major opposition figure is Boris Nadezhdin. if he continues to try to run for the elections well, he might die of "natural causes" , Im not surpirsed if more Russian opposition figures fall out of windows in 2024.
    1
  285.  @SiliconCurtain  agree, then again the fake may actually come out and become real in the right conditions.
    1
  286. ive been saying since the start of the war, this war will result in a break and civlil war in Russia, possibly 50 percent of the Russian fed esp. the ones past the Urals and int he Caucasus will become independent republics, Russia will still be the largest of these successor states.
    1
  287. well the Ukrainians are dong the same thing to the Russians too, paying off local Russians to do sabotage and hits on certain Russians. like the ones who initially blew up the Kerch bridge in 2022 were local Russians. but organized by the Ukrainians. Not surprised, heck the Soviets did the same thing during the 70s and 80s when a wave of terrorism hit western europe done by the local Soviet communist proxy euro terror groups like Baader Meinhoff and Red Brigade.
    1
  288. The Russian diaspora after this war is over Putin gone and Russia sliding into political and economic chaos will be worse than the 90s and even 1917 to 1922. millions of Russian refugees flooding into Europe to escape chaos and unrest and economic collapse in Russia.
    1
  289.  @SiliconCurtain  Russsia will be a geopolitical headache for decades , a massive somalia mirroring the warlord era of China in the 1920s. Russia will become a great game in the 21st century with USA , China Turkey and other players trying to influence Russian factions to control reseources again very simliar to how the great powers of USA, GB, France, Japan were influencing the warlords of China in the 1920s for cheap resources and economic gain. along with profiting selling weapons to the warlords. Something simliar will happen to Russia post war.
    1
  290. also for 2023, a possible Ukr counterinvasion of Belarus , if there is another Russian invasion from there again.
    1
  291. More signs of Russian desperation. All peacocking trying to scare the west and bolster Russian morale.
    1
  292. this is a good video on the current state of the Russian economy. main takeaways the Russian economic numbers a well doctored the true Russian economy in 2023 is smaller than Chile , Russia needs the oil prices to be 60 USD just to break even. since it costs Russia 45 USD to take a barrell of oil from the ground and 12 USD to ship the barrel of oil. and India and China are getting 20 to 30 percent discounts buying Russian oil. Russia in effect is losing half a billion USD a day in just oil sales alone. , massive flight of foreign investors from Russia. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QU0resswOds
    1
  293. and not surprised many of these African refugees are being used as cannon fodder in Ukraine.
    1
  294. Allan Lichtman is DA MAN...the most accurate election predictor since I started following him in 1988. Yep so far if you look at the keys. 2 keys are definitely false.(Key #1 Reps control the house since the last midterms . Key #12: Biden is not a charismatic pres. .) and the rest are currently true. (#2. no serious contest to Biden's position in the dem party though lately after the first debate you might have stronger contenders but looking at the DNC line up vs. Biden they look all uncharismatic nowhere near the backing of Biden), #3 Biden is the sitting pres. and still running for a 2nd term. 4. There is no significant 3rd party to challenge biden in fact RFK threatens Trump more than biden. 5. strong economy no recession all time high stock markets. 6. Strong long term economy, yep massive improvement from the last covid crash of 2020. 7. Yes Biden has made several major policy changes during his term like his Covid decrees etc. 8. no unrest, the pro palestine unrest is bullshit, did not affect the USA much, irritating but the Trumpers might cause problems.like BLM did in 2020. 9. No scandal, hunter biden went to jail , he has been forgotten. 10. No foreign military failure, both the Ukraine and Gaza wars while tense have been managed well and not escalated. 11. Bidens decision to aid the Ukrainians massively stopped the Russians from conquering Ukraine, I consider that a major foreign policy success and currently Russia is stuck in a costly unwinnable war in Ukraine and getting desperate. 13. Trump is not charismatic , he is trying to be like fist pumping after his attempted assasination trying to emulate Reagan well this did not garner him more support in fact it just galvanized his supporters. the keys I consider shakey are keys #2, 3 due to the aftermath of the first debate, and key #8 for possible 2020 style riots by the Trumpists after their lord and saviour Trump got assasianted. However I do think all that will pass with Biden getting nominated with strong backing during the DNC in the next month. Also Biden has to come back strong in the 2nd debate. Also the attempted Trump assasination has to be treated reallyi carefully by BIden to avoid the trumpists going crazy and doing shit. but so far Biden has been very conciliatory to Trump. acted like a true gentleman
    1
  295. the Russians are not laughing at us now, the Russians are threatening us with destruction foaming at the moutn...LOL. complete change in attitude.
    1
  296. I predict the USA voters will decide otherwise and vote Biden. in what I think is the biggest upset in US election history. a possible trump win galvanizes anti trump voters who normally dont vote to vote.
    1
  297. More defeats in Ukraine will result in putin mobilizing more troops, more mobilization leads to more rebellion esp. at this time. For the Russians mobilization means defeat , running out of troops.
    1
  298. well looking at it, the Russians are living on borrowed economic time. and the west has not brought out its big guns yet, yes Russia is subjected to very bad sanctions from the west, supposedly the worst ever but its not the worst, the worst would be total sanctions, like total cessation of trade with Russia from the west, the tightening on loopholes regarding trade with the west with Russia. sequestration of all Russian assets, including all oligarch assets, deportation of all Rusian citizens esp. kids of oligrarchs living in the west. and forcing all the other countries in the world to levy economic sanctions on Russia or else. they get sanctioned to. what would prompt that, Russia using nukes in Ukraine, war with NATO,(this would result in Russian cargo ships, planes being impounded in the west, & blockade of Russian ports)Russia using chemical weapons on a wide scale esp. on Ukr cities. This would really bring down the Russian economy.
    1
  299. as I said many a time before, Trump is a putin paid stooge, bankrolled to the tne of billions of USD through Musk and Thiel. Heck Putin even has kompromat on Trump . However I think this will fail and trump will initiate a trade war with Ukraine and her supporters and stop all aid to Ukraine. war will rumble on, while the Russian economy will get a big boost, there is still a major war on, however Ukrane's supporters raise their aid to ukraine.
    1
  300. and before the said Russian strong man succeeds putin, it seems all the Russian candidates are forming their own PMC private armies, and you know the mentality of the strongmen when the big boss is kaput, and there is a power struggle and they all have private armies and add to that Mafia like criminal mentality in the Russian gov .....civili war, there will be a period of civil war before the winner is crowned champion. over a devastated Russia. Just like Mexico after 10 years of civil war, or China after 33 years of civil war and Japanese invasion.
    1
  301. my view Putin more likely wants to get out of the hole he is in right now, the survival of himself and his regime is the most important goal, if that happens, he can say he wins, very similiar to Saddam Hussein by in 91.
    1
  302.  @LisaNH934  haha and by the looks of it they are hiring 3rd world trolls to do it haha
    1
  303. after this war is over and Ptuin is gone, the new Russian gov is going to be begging the west for financial aid and end to sanctions. and in the stipulations will be repatratriation of Russian war criminals for arrest and trial at Kiev and Hague. I think the Ukrs will be sending out kill teams in Russia and elsewhere to hunt down Russian war criminals, you might see lots of Russian war vets falling out of windows.
    1
  304. I remember Galtieri back in the day, the guy was a clown, an idiot. again making excuses why he did what he did, embarassing.
    1
  305. I predict by 2025 or in 2026, the Russians will be buying North Korean tanks. its that bad.
    1
  306. yah those foreign volunteers fighting for Russian in Ukraine are supposedly hired on by PMCs, yep when they get there they will find they are at the bottom of the totem pole in terms of supplies logistics, poorly treated bad conditions at the Russian front lines. facing very determined high morale and well equipped Ukrainians. Many of these volunteers fighting for the Russians will be fertilizer in Ukraine.
    1
  307. Im thinking Ukraine war ends in 2025 to 2026. the results of the US Presidential elections of 2024 will be pivotal on how the war ends. If you get a pro peace US pres. in the white house in 2025, said pres. will probably force Ukraine to do a negotiated peace with Russia, with Russia keeping whatever territory it occupies at the time, and significantly lower aid to Ukraine. In this scenario I can see Ukraine keep on fighting until 2026 then go for a negotiated settlement. Putin "wins" with regime survival. If Biden or a Pro ukraine US pres. wins the 2024 elections, well you might see a ramp up of aid to Ukraine, and Putin gets really significantly desperate to find a way out of the war. and will escalate to end the war in 2025. That includes, use of large numbers of chemical weapons, and even tactical nukes. in Ukraine. if his orders for the use of tac nukes is followed, well i can see total sanctions on Russia and a conventional response , air and missle strikes on Russian forces in Ukraine, sinking of the Russian navy in the black sea. Russia will also retaliate with conventional strikes on NATO military bases outside of Ukraine. I dont think there will be ground combat, since NATO does not want to invade Russia and Russia is probably too weak to do so by this time, with much of its military power focused on defeating Ukraine. More like a tit for tat missle and air strikes on each other military assets. Might even extend to other places outside Ukraine like in the Pacific or in Moldova and Kaliningrad. At some point massively high near WW3 tensions which both sides are but not quite there yet as no big ground combat. just a missle and air war between NATO and Russia, NATO troops enter Ukraine but stay away from the Russians and demand a ceasefire and armistice, after much bluster Russians accept and do a korean war style peace agreement with Ukraine. where UN troops deploy to keep the Russian and Ukrainians apart. Russia gets to keep whatever it has conquered but again not recognized by Ukraine and her allies. Russia will still be under worse sanctions than North Korea. with no let up. Sceanrio #2, The Russian military does not follow Putin's nuke launch orders and arrests or kill Putin. This results in a period of infighting in the Russian leadership with the a Junta combining Russian military leaders and oligarchs taking over. Then blaming everything on Putin , and withdrawing all Russian troops back to pre 2022 war borders. Either way the aftermath of these two scenarios will be very similiar with Putin(in scenario #1) and the Junta(scenario #2) not having full political control , in a unstable political and economic environment where the Russian economy is crashing and is bankrupt. along with a good number of political & regional groups contesting the authority of the Kremlin with their own private armies. Along with a perceived defeat in the Ukraine war. where Russian public unrest is strongly rising. I think Russia will post Putin or with Putin in charge with a much weakened Russian military and economy causing Russia to slide to civil war. I think the civil war wil be started with Russian republics esp. in the far east declaring independence and with a bankrupt much weakened Russian army not being able to do anything about it. then it will domino to a general civil war, with multiple secessions , a general collapse of the Russian army in munities since the soliders have not been paid or fully paid. and Russian political groups with their own miltias taking advantage of all this. I think Russia in the late 2020s or even early 2030s will be a very bad Geopolitiical problem for the USA and China and esp. on its neighbours. which will lead to a break up of Russia with Russia losing 50 percent of its pre Ukraine war territory to secession. Russia basially becomes like China in the 1920s, with no central gov. and the country ruled by warlords, revolutionarieis and various armed groups.
    1
  308. and Igor girkin supposedly is being denied early release.
    1
  309.  @carolwilliams8511  yep well on the Ukrainian part this is a public service , criminals as fertilzer for Ukrainian wheat fields. Heck not only Russian criminasl you also got African criminals too being sent as fertilizer
    1
  310. I believe not only Putin has doubles but he actually died a few weeks ago, but he has been debiliated for several months now so Patrushev shoigu have probably been ruling Russia for almost a year now. I think they are just waiting for the results of the 2024 USA elections and with the results they will decide whether to stop this war or continue it. I think this war will end in 2025 or 2026 with a either a decisive Ukrainian victory with Russia totally withdrawing from Ukraine including Crimea. or a marginal Russian victory with Russia still keeping Ukrainian terrtiory before an armistice.
    1
  311. sorry still think Biden will win 2024 Alan Lichtman 13 keys, only 2 keys are false.
    1
  312.  @strongbow3896  big chance.
    1
  313. In the end Russia collapses, Ukraine regains its lost territory but at a massive tragic cost. But in the end Ukraine regains all its territory , joins NATO and gets trillions in reconstruction monies. Russia on the other hand, probably sliding into civil war, economic collapse political chaos, break up etc.
    1
  314. well #3 asset of the Russians.
    1
  315. in the future yah there will be the Russian liberals vs the nationalist conservatives vying for power int he Russian post Putin post war political landscape how I do think the oligarchs will be the real power behind the throne. and of course both parties will be allied with foreign powers USA UK EU would support the liberals while China wouuld support the conservative nationalists. but at the back the oligarchs would be the ones really calling the shots, and have their own PMCs to back them up. with Russian oligarchs having their own PMCs Im not surprised you have small wars wihtin Russia being one group of oligarchs fightin gone another for territory and resources with the pMCs of local politicos and the Russian army thrown in for good measure. to keep things interesting.
    1
  316. I think the real turning point of the war will be the US elections of 2024, Putin will hold out hoping Trump or someone like him wins the elections and pressures the Ukrs to negotiate with Putin. However failing this , Putin will get desperate and he will do anything to have regime survival including the use of WMDs.
    1
  317.  @SiliconCurtain  so he hopes.
    1
  318.  @robertpendzick9250  who cares if western media is not paying attention its the big boys in washington DC who are calling the shots. They said the same thing about Saddam, Noriega, Bin Laden etc. they all kaput eventually. Putin is rumored to be kaput already hahaa
    1
  319. well I think 100 years from now, there will be no Putin monuments and statues, and he will be remembered alright as hitler 2.0, bumbling hitler waanabe, for the Russians, he will be seen as a severe disappointment, and his name will be cursed and synonymous to catastrophic failure. due to overreaching ambition. As for Russia, I can see a Russia going thru a period of political social and economic chaos. while I dont htink Russia will break up. I think the new post war post Putin Russia that will emerge will be one where the oligarchs are the real rulers, the moscow gov and military are just puppets of hte oligarchs and their PMCs and tehy will never allow any leader like Putin to emerge, the Russian army will be kept weak , the real military power will be in the numerous PMCs, Moscow will be weak, and the Russian provinces and republics will have a bit more autonomy and have their own military power in their PMCs while swearing fealty to Moscow. The 90s will be back in style and on roids and will last for decades. Meanwhile Russian leaders will focus on economic recovery while also enriching themselves, corruption will never be resolved and will actually get worse, and even Russian leaders miltary and civlians will have their own PMCs. Russia becomes the largest narco state in the world and a criminal activity haven due to poor control of the Russian gov and very bad corruption. Also Russia will be a battleground of influence between USA and China, for their resources along with other actors such as EU, Turkey, various neighbouring states. Meanwhile millions of Russians leave Russia for better greener pastures.
    1
  320.  @20chocsaday  The Russians can only blame themselves in what ever happens to them next, but not surprsied they blame everyone else except themselves. for their woes
    1
  321.  @SiliconCurtain  Yep even back then Putin has a big hate on for the USA , very ambitious. After this backstabbing, Putin had bad relations with China until Xinping ousted Hu Jin Tao from power. However I do think the Chinese will backstab Putin again in the future, when the time is right and Putin is sufficiently weakened politically.
    1
  322. I read recently , western military analysts are predicting that towards the end of 2025, the Russians will run out combat vehicles left over from the cold war and still in storage. This will cut Russia's ability to refurbish and produce by two thirds or more and the head of Russia's central bank said that country's economy cannot maintain stability at these levels indefinitely. Each month , Russia feeds around 15-30K men into Ukraine and these men are removed from an economy that is already short of 5 million labourers since December 2023 and Ukrainian drones are also attacking Russia's weapons production facilities. The Russian strategy is to first do air and artillery bombardments followed by mechanized and dismounted attacks , frontal attacks at that without much imagination, the Russians attack until they run out of men , ammo and equipment. Then after a few days of refurbishment , they attack again. Such attack strategies are very costly in Russian lives and materiel but its slowly taking ground. Meanwhile the Ukrainians are not suffering as high losses as the Russians but the Ukrainians are being forced to give up ground in these attacks due to artillery ammo shortages and the use of Russian glide bombs which the Ukrainians cannot stop. So Russia is on a time limit to win this war. The longer Russia is in this war the more damaged the Russian army , economy and poliitical situation is. I think 2024 is the most important year of the war, its pivotal due to the USA elections of 2024. If Biden wins, Russia has probably until the end of 2025 to acheve some sort of win in this war, since 2026 is in my opinion the point of no return year for Russia. I still think the way Russia loses this war is similiar to how Russia lost WW1, due to revolution and civil war. Putin will never give up , he will fight this war to victory no matter the cost. He will probably have to be removed by civil and military uprising. as of 2024, the Russian people are still tolerant of this war, however there are cracks starting to appear, but I think when the Russian economy cannot support how this war is going , going into Venezuela style hyperinflation , rising food prices along with Ukrainian major victories int he battlefield....well we might see a repeat of 1917.
    1
  323. and also the USA I suspect will want to end this war before the 2028 USA elections where most likely the rep party will take over the reins of the US gov(depending on where the Rep party stands in 2028), so with this , I think the Kamala harris gov will up the aid to Ukraine and loosen restrictions.As for Putin faced with a Kamala harris dem win this year, he will try to hang on until the 2028 USA elections , but as said many a time before, the longer this war goes, the more degraded Putin's political standing is and also degraded the Russian economy. and a Kamala harris win will result in a massive political tsunami in Russia, the Russian elites will probably think the war is lost and will be sharpening their knives to get Putin out of the Kremlin and save whatever is left of the Russian economy and military and focus on renewal of normal relations with the west their best customers and a focus on internal stability of the Russian state and healing and progressing the Russian economy.
    1
  324.  @bernhardhaas8424  Unfortuantely that is what the American view is. Ukraine is a tool to bring down Russian power and possibly control Russia. Putin is stupid enough to fall for the Ukraine war trap and that will be Putin's most fatal decision which will destroy his life, legacy and regime.
    1
  325.  @SiliconCurtain  Yep and all two decades and trillions of USD of building up the Russian military for this moment and turning out to be nearly a masssive disappointment ,a waste of time and money and PUtin has to rely on a massive amount of military stockpiled equipment bult up since the cold war which also turn out to be mainly unusuable due to corruption and poor maintenance....
    1
  326. yep peace talks are meaningless, however depends on who wins the 2024 USA elections, If Biden wins, I think the Russians will really want a way out as their economy starts collapsing as Russian economists pointed out the Russian economy can only hold on until 2025 when its starts badly deforming and analysts say the Russian will experience tank and APC shortage by 2026. and Shoigu himself has stated that the Russian army will fight to at least 2025, which is the year the US pres. who won in 2024 will come to office. My view the Russians will see who wins the USA elections in 2024 , if Biden wins I think the Russians will probably cut their losses and withdraw by 2025 or 2026.in exchange for lifting of all sanctions, normalized relations with the west and possibly economic aid to prevent their economy from collapse so they can minimize the damage to their economy , the impact of which will be felt after the war is over.
    1
  327. Well After putin is gone his other boyfriend Xi jinping will also be gone. as China will want better relations with the west .
    1
  328. yep heck even the Russians are supplying Ukrainians with tanks and APCs etc. by abandoning them hahhah. heck the Russians are by far the largest donor of tanks and APCs to Ukraine, Russians abandon them Ukrainians capture and repair to put to service in a better way than the Russians, and make tik tok videos hahahha. You knows I have to complain that the Russians must give Ukraine more aid like it was 2022, why is Ukraine only complaining to USA and EU when you have to complain to Russia to please abandon more tanks to give to Ukraine hahahaha
    1
  329. well in 2023 the Russians tried a offensive vs. Kharkov with around 100K men and hundreds of tanks, well it failed badly due to overstretched poor Russian logistics which was hit hard by the Ukrainians and the fact the Russians were attacking uphill, in open heavilly mined areas vs. strong Ukrainian positions. The 2023 Russian offensive vs. Kharkov failed badly with thousands of casualties and most of these guys were withdrawn and repositioned to the Donbass.
    1
  330. I think the next major war will be drone and AI intensive. Yep Cyberpunk warfare. The Russia Ukraine war is a petri dish for this. The Chinese are probably intensely looking at the war in ukraine and Ukraine's use of sea drones to augment their navy to take on the US Navy in a future invasion of Taiwan.
    1
  331. yep this guy is a shit war criminal but he was honest about the situation in Ukraine, and hated Putin for being a incompetent
    1
  332. well that is the point, the longer the war goes the more damaged the RUssian economy and military gets, the more damaged the Russian economy gets the less it can support the war leading to a more damaged military and political situation. Ukraine is dependent on its allies support which can change but the allies who support Ukraine combined have 40X the economy of Russia. So as long as the allies of Ukraine support it , it can still fight Russia. and the Russian economy is degrading as time goes on despite support from China, India, NOrth Korea, and Iran,
    1
  333. highly doubt it the Russians will help the Armenians if there is a war with Azerbaijan. taht Russian base is bare bones staffed.
    1
  334. well its not fascism but Russian style mafia autocracy. or a dictatorship that is trying to masquerade(and doing it badly) as a democracy. Putin has been leader of Russia for 24 years now. Heck when he supposedly stepped down ,he was puppeting medvedev.
    1
  335. I think this war will end in 2026, with the victory of Joe Biden in the 2024 USA elections. with a Biden victory, the oligarchs will know that the Russian economy and the Putin regime political stability cannot stand another 4 years of war in Ukraine. so they will move to salvage whatever is left of the Russian economy , they will probably remove Putin from power dead or alive. I think Ukraine will get back all of its lost territories including Crimea. since the new post putin Russian gov will want all economic sanctions lifted, relations with the west back to normal and leaving ukraine totally is a major step to that.
    1
  336. I think Russia is being set up to be ground down by this war. which is a good thing. with a leader like Putin who seems to only want to hear what he wants to hear like to micromanage the war incompetently and has staked his regime survival to getting some sort of "victory" in the Ukr war. THe longer Russia stays and fights this war, the more it will be horrible for Russia economically militarilly and even socially. Even with a Russian "victory" which I think means the Russians keep whatever they have conquered in Ukraine. The economic and social trauma of the war where several hundreds of thousands of Russian casualties and in the state of the Russian economy I doubt it if the surviving Russian trooops will be fully paid and compensated by the Kremlin, this will cause social chaos and unrest back in Russia when you have hundreds of thousands maybe a millioin or so by the end of the war. coming back to Russia who are psychologically damaged, not paid or underpaid, angry at the kremlin gov. coming back to a Russia with no jobs facing economic collapse and depression, and if Russia lost the war, facing discrmination being blamed for losing the war. but they do bring back military skills how to kill , how to use military weapons, ....taking up the example of the crazy Russian 90s where Russia expereinced a bad wave of law lessness and unrest due to defeat in the 1st chechen war, fall of the USSR economic depression, and defeat in the Soviet afghan war. Well looking at the potential results of the Ukr war on Russia which is even significantly bigger than the Soviet Afghan war and 1st Chechen war. and the fact no help is coming to Russia from western foreign investors like in the 90s, Russia will experience an unrest not seen since perhaps 1917.
    1
  337. as for when the war will end, well if you believe Putin is already deado and Shoigu and Patrushev really rule Russia , I think Shoigu and Patrushev are just waiting to see who wins the USA 2024 elections, if Biden wins, I think they will negotiate an end of the war, possibly in 2025 or in 2026 with a complete withdrawal from Ukraine in return for lifting of all sancton and renewal of regular relations with the west. and then blame everything on the dead Putin then Patrushev becomes the new Russian leader officially. claiming to be a liberal hahah and all Russian leaders will claim to be victims and cliam to be bully victims of Putin hahaha.If Trump wins, then they will continue the war hoping Ukriane will quit the fight and negotiate with the Russians have the position of strength int he negotiations.
    1
  338. from what I hear that Patrushev FSB has won the political power struggle for now with the imprisonment of various Russian army officers close to Shoigu Russian army. So the FSB is now helming the Russian gov and the direction of Russia's war in Ukraine. So while the Patrushev FSB has won the power struggle for now. the Shoigu GRU/Army is now down and out and still a strong force, so if the FSB flops, the Army will be in ascendant. Putin himself is a bit more closer to Patrushev FSB than he is to Shoigu so he favours the FSB a bit more however he has to counterbalance the FSB with the GRU/Russian army, since keeping both sides weak as to not being strong enough to overthrow Putin is imperative. However the Russian army leadership really does not like the FSB and being put under the military leadership of the FSB I think will be disastrous. since the army leadership might act in a way to throw the war .
    1
  339. There are strong persistent rumors Putin is already kaput and Shoigu and Patrushev are running Russia thru multiple Putin doubles since late last year. I also heard another rumor that Putin was poisoned to hasten his demise. Reason is that Putin has become a liabilty to the Russian elites his decision to start the war and disastrous micromanagement of teh war really created a catastrophe for the Russians in Ukraine. Now the micromanaging is being done by Shoigu and Garasimov who seem to be somewhat of an improvement. I think the group who is really ruling Russia are waiting for the results of the 2024 US elections, then they will decide what to do.
    1
  340. esp. most important, loss of captured Ukrainian territory recaptured by teh ukrs with heavy Russian losses will continue to smash Putin's political hold on Russia.
    1
  341. yah after teh war the RUssian economy will be in near collapse for several years . in fact Russian economic recovery post war will be made worse by foreign investors shunning Russia like it had the bubonic plague. THe Russian gov will msot likely be reliant on foreign aid from USA EU China India to survive. in fact that is when Chinese will swoop in and start taking over Russian corporations and Chinese companies. start coming in and buying Russian companies , taking over resources at bargain basement prices. funding local warlords and oligarchs trying to debt control the Russian gov and economy. Russia will be the wild west all over again a new great game of influence, political and economic control will be fought over Russia between USA, EU, China, Turkey, for control of its resources and Russia is a very useful gateway to Europe and central asia. Also not surprised if Russia becomes the most massive narco state in teh world , since with the collapse of law and order and law and order in the hands of oligarchs, criminals , regilnal govs. it will be easy for criminal groups worldwide and locally to use Russia as a base for their activities. Heck not even surprised the situation in Russia might be so bad, that the UN might come in and intervene, or the Russian currency dollarizes. I dont thnk Russia will collapse in fact I think the Russian federation will survive mostly intact, but it will become a bit more decentralized state with the real power being in the hands of the oligarchs and regional govs. and their PMCs. and the Moscow gov and Russian military being very weak and puppets of the oligarchs.
    1
  342. I think war ends in Ukraine with a Russian revolution which unseats Putin, and causes the collapse of the Russian army in Ukraine command and control coupled with an all out Ukrainian offensive which effectively collapses the Russian army in Ukraine not seen since the collapse of the Iraqi army in Kuwait in 1991.
    1
  343. I think after this war is over future historians will ponder on Putin's mental functions, Putin will be a historical case of a mental state of denying reality and seeing reality as what he believes it to be rather what it really is, this is a cope mechanism, Putin will destroy his country for his own personal view of reality. Putin does not care about anyone except himself first his family second and third his close friends, everyone else is disposable.
    1
  344. Im not surprised the major reason why Russians oligarchs are dying in large numbers since this war started is that many RUssian oligarchs hate Putin and do not like this war and many of them collaborated with western intelligence agencies. and probably gave a lot of info on the inner working of Putin's inner circle and top secret info, like the start of the war in Feb 2022, USA seemed to know the exact date on when it would happen. Also not only the oligarchs but also many Russian gov and military officials gave intel to western intel agencies. Russian gov and military are so corrupt anything can be bought at the right price even super top secret info.
    1
  345.  @ИльяСапрыкин-б5е  sorry boy you dont know anything about logistics, go back home to mommy and live in the basement LOL
    1
  346. agree Ben Hodges has a accurate view of the war love his talks
    1
  347.  @kwaku3411  nonsense 10 Russian dead = 1 Ukrainian dead.
    1
  348. I highly suspect the USA wants to manage the war, so that Russia does not lose to quickly so they want Putin gone but they dont want Russia to collapse, or heck they dont want Putin to get desperate and decide to use nukes to settle Ukraine. USA wants a Russian soft landing with Putin gone, and a peaceful transition of power to a more moderate Russian gov without a civil war. and the Russians will be allowed to save face. I think with this in mind, I can see the Russians be allowed to keep 10 percent of Ukraine, what is left of the frozen Russian funds given back to the Russians to help stave off economic collapse and stabilize Russia post Putin however a part of those funds given to Ukraine will be considered Russian reparations. While the Russian keep Crimea, the Ukrainians are offered EU and NATO membership shortly after the war is over.
    1
  349. John Mersheimer is a hack, a laughingstock , after this war, is over, well. he will be laughed at very much he will be making lots of excuses.
    1