Comments by "John Walsh" (@johnwalsh4857) on "Could Russia Become a Failed State?" video.

  1. and Russia does not really need to be physically kicked out of Ukraine to cause a civil war , it can collapse due to the strains of the war, then Ukraine can easilly get back its conquered territories due to the loss of Russian command and control as it goes into civil war.
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  2. Yah and Putin is the one responsible to the possible break up of Russia, if Putin did not launch this war, Russia will still be OK, but nope, Ukraine is turning into a Russian military disaster and the longer Russia is prosecuting this war, the deeper Russia digs a hole for itself which it cant get out of.
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  3. and another thing is the formation of Russian PMCs, to counter wagner, other Russian leaders like Shoigu are forming their own PMCs . if there is a lot of PMCs like wagner (Prigozhin), Patriot(Shoigu), Chechens(Kadyrov) and others. which are in essence private armies who answser to their leader and not the armed forces of Russia, then we have a problem. In an event where putin dies or is removed from power, these guys will engage in a struggle for power. and these guys will use these private armies to attain power. and that results in civil war. I think the break of Russia will be that and it will be gradual in the next ten years or so, where the rule of law in Russia breaks down, due to political infighting, high crime rates, depressed economy. this leads to Russian states deeming it a liability to remain in the federation since the central gov cannot seem to effectively govern the country, yep , you have a civil war to decide who rules Russia, results in Russian states forming their own milittias and not answering to Moscow, so this results in a confusing civil war between nationalists fighting to rule Russia and also fighting secessionists and other armed groups. A throwback to the Russian civil war of 1917 to 1923, then you also have meddling from USA NATO, Turkey, China and other neighbouring states.
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