Comments by "Bigg Picture" (@biggpicture2930) on "US State Department edges towards Taiwan recognition" video.
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@TrilobitesRTasty BIG Problem with Poll NUMBERS! The working age group is only 71%,(Statistica) from 15 to 64 years old and includes high school students, girls, women, 64 years men and women.
They will not all give up security, money, children welfare, risk mortgage default payment for any fight that endanger their well being- financially, health-wise and lifestyle. 15 year old school girls will not bear arms. Nor will 60's year old grandma fight any war that endanger her grand CHILD. There is No way the entire 71% workforce age group will want their livelihood interrupted,, if not destroyed, as such a nonsensical 'fake' 72.5% number will require.
It is most likely that this group will tear the politicians apart, like the Sri Lankans did, if their livelihoods are threatened by Politicians that won't keep status quo. CHINA will not wait for US nuclear missiles to be based in Taiwan, once an Independence is declared.
"-- Taipei Times, Dec 30, 2021: "Poll says 72.5% of Taiwanese willing to fight against forced unification by China"
-- Taiwan News, Mar 4, 2022: "76% of Taiwanese believe Taiwan already independent under status quo"
-- Taipei Times, Aug 11, 2021: "Nearly 90 percent of public identify with Taiwan: poll""
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@TrilobitesRTasty BIG Problem with Poll NUMBERS! The working age group is only 71%,(Statistica) from 15 to 64 years old and includes high school students, girls, women, 64 years men and women.
They will not all give up security, money, children welfare, purposely default mortgages to lose their home, or secured jobs for any fight that endanger their well being- financially, health and lifestyle. No small business owners will simply give up , as they needed the money to keep life and business going. No 15 year old school girls will bear arms. Nor will 60's year old grandma fight any war that will endanger her grand CHILD. There is No way this entire 71% workforce age group will want their livelihood interrupted,, if not destroyed, as such a nonsensical 'fake' 72.5% number will require.
It is much more likely that this group will tear the politicians apart, like the Sri Lankans did, if their livelihoods are threatened by Politicians who won't keep Status Quo. CHINA will not wait for US nuclear missiles to be based in Taiwan, once an Independence is declared.
""Poll says 72.5% of Taiwanese willing to fight against forced ..."
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For a declaration of independence to work , CHINA must ignore it and let it be, so life in Taiwan is uninterrupted.
Maybe CHINA can be so intimidated that it will not act. BUT this is silly, as then Taiwan leaders will then flood the island with Foreign troops and set up a nuclear missile base. The Okinawans don't want them, but Taiwanese want them, so no problem!
Foreign troops and "Cuban missile crisis" is undoubtfully much more worrying to CHINA. So no matter how intimidated CHINA is, CHINA will act.
As this will disrupt the life of Taiwanese. The working age Taiwanese will either blame China or Taiwan's treacherous leaders, depending on how informed and smart of the individual is. If they are the 'smart' ones, they will tear the politicians apart and present them to the CCP on a platter. Maybe they can be fed disinformation, or a facilitation whereby the ''Not so smart' ones could lead the MOB, directing the blame on CHINA. IMO, Taiwanese are smart (although some brainless ones in this forum), so the politicians, by declaring Independence will have CHINA, and Taiwanese to contend with.
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@TrilobitesRTasty Whether I agree with or not , is not important. The data has to be reasonable-- so just need to think a little deeper.
"76% of Taiwanese believe Taiwan already independent under status quo" is consistent with the demography of a working class age 15 to 64 years-71% who has desire to keep status quo, like normal people with financial commitments, family obligation and financial rewards. The other Two are questionable.
The '72.5%' group is bizarre, super nationalistic, so much so that they will, commit themselves financial disasters, neglect family obligations and face starvation to fight for national independence- there are no such humans, only zombies.
In face of starvation, the DIE HARD Azov battalion NEO NAZII gave up the fight at Azorstal Steel Plant recently.
The other " 90%'" is much extended that you get 10 years old and the old 70's. 80's, to be part. So you have to question whether they were part of data, they understood the question or the data size random and large enough.
@Bigg Picture Here are some facts...that you will enjoy and agree with:
-- Taiwan News, Mar 4, 2022: "76% of Taiwanese believe Taiwan already independent under status quo"
-- Taipei Times, Aug 11, 2021: "Nearly 90 percent of public identify with Taiwan: poll"
-- Taipei Times, Dec 30, 2021: "Poll says 72.5% of Taiwanese willing to fight against forced unification by China"
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@TrilobitesRTasty An another thing, statisticians will never announced their collected DATA as FACTs! They will always state their confidence level, method use, size etc. If you want to fool those who has no training in statistic, then SIMPLY state them as FACTS. But then if you present them as such, you are always acknowledged as a fool by people with some knowledge of collected data. Even when, a valid statistical conclusion can be made. It is then needed to read out in context to determine if it make sense.
ADVICE: go back to school to learn a little more!
"Here are some facts...that you will enjoy and agree with:
-- Taiwan News, Mar 4, 2022: "76% of Taiwanese believe Taiwan already independent under status quo"
-- Taipei Times, Aug 11, 2021: "Nearly 90 percent of public identify with Taiwan: poll"
-- Taipei Times, Dec 30, 2021: "Poll says 72.5% of Taiwanese willing to fight against forced unification by China""
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